
Construction labor research-analyst since 2003 (@NorCalCarpU) Trying to tweet less, research/strategize/act/(sleep?) more. @slittlehale.bsky.social
Northern California
Joined January 2012
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Scott Littlehale retweeted
Decision Desk HQ projects Scott Wiener wins the CA US House 11 Primary
#DecisionMade: 11:31 PM EDT
Scott Littlehale retweeted
More broadly, if one looks at the 400 wealthiest Americans, our research shows the billionaires tend to have low individual income tax rates.
Why?
Simply put, the ultra-wealthy can easily structure their wealth so that this wealth generates little – sometimes even no – taxable income. Hence little or no income tax owed.
gabriel-zucman.eu/files/BSYZ…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Your claim that the top 1% pays 40% of taxes and the bottom 50% only 3% is misleading:
It captures just one tax – the federal income tax – and ignores all the rest: payroll taxes, state income taxes, sales taxes, excise duties, etc., many of which are regressive.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
The NCSCU is proud to support Tom Steyer for Governor of California.
“As Governor, Tom Steyer won’t be beholden to special interests,” Pete Rodriguez, Vice President of the United Brotherhood of Carpenters said. “Union carpenters know what it means to put in long hours and still struggle to afford a roof over our heads.”
“Tom respects and values the hard work and dignity that comes with earning a living with your hands,” Rodriguez added. “He understands that strong unions and strong working families-built California’s middle class. We need leadership willing to stand up, make tough decisions, and fight for the people who build this state every single day. It was hardworking men and women, backed by bold leadership and investment in America’s workforce, that helped lift this country out of the Great Depression — and that’s the kind of fight and vision we need again today. That’s why we’re supporting Tom Steyer for Governor.”
#NorthCoastStatesCarpentersUnion #CarpenterUnionPower
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Why is retention bad absent a union?
1) Working conditions aren't family friendly
2) There isn't a compensating income differential!
* There is a household income "penalty" for families with young children.
** That penalty has grown, not shrunk, over time.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
The "abundance agenda" aims to solve our supply crises, but often ignores a critical factor: worker power.
In our new report, Kate Andrias & @awh argue for "Democratic Abundance"—a vision where workers shape the future they’re building.🏗️💪
rooseveltinstitute.org/publi…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
People who leave California for other states improve their financial situation and are much more likely to buy a home, a landmark 10-year datat analysis shows. The results speak to affordability crisis so stark one expert says: It's just sad latimes.com/california/story…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Beneficiaries of Trump’s tax law: bankers who can use the juiced tax refunds to build a sauna in their backyards.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Takeaway for social scientists the AI era:
1️⃣ Never trust a single AI estimate.
2️⃣ Use Multiverse Analysis: run many agents to see the full range of plausible results.
3️⃣ AI NSE may serve as a "lower bound" for human NSE.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Pop quiz: What US MSA has the highest 10th percentile wage, adjusted for cost-of-living using the BEA RPP?
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Scoop: Trump Labor Dept. "will give greater scrutiny to employers whose market power permits them to dominate their respective labor markets in ways that can facilitate employment-law violations," labor solicitor Jonathan Berry told staff in a memo today bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
PS: This standard of ballot initiative proponents being transparent and revealing themselves sounds great, like say if you're backing multiple measures to defeat the wealth tax iykyk
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Veteran CBS News producer Mary Walsh takes leave (first reported by Guardian)
"We've been told to aim our reporting at a particular part of the political spectrum. Honestly, I don't know how to do that."
Scott Littlehale retweeted
I HB 4089 passed the Oregon House today with bipartisan support. This bill takes direct aim at illegal labor broker schemes and wage theft that undercut standards in the construction industry. We’re fighting to protect workers, responsible contractors, and fair competition. Senate is up next!
#NorthCoastStatesCarpentersUnion #CarpenterUnionPower
🚨 VOLKSWAGEN WORKERS MAKE HISTORY, RATIFY FIRST UNION CONTRACT AT MAJOR SOUTHERN AUTO PLANT 🚨
In a historic victory, Volkswagen workers have voted by 96 percent to ratify their first union contract. The deal locks in 20 percent wage increases, healthcare cost reductions, job security guarantees, an enforceable grievance procedure, and much more. The ratification vote caps a years-long campaign by Volkswagen Chattanooga autoworkers to join the UAW and win a better life with a union contract.
“Volkswagen workers have moved yet another mountain,” said UAW President Shawn Fain. “From having the courage to stand up and form their union, to having the backbone to authorize a strike and hold out for a contract that honors their worth, VW workers are leading the way for the entire labor movement and non-union autoworkers everywhere. Welcome to the UAW family.”
The over 3,000 Volkswagen workers in Chattanooga voted overwhelmingly to join the UAW in April of 2024. In October of 2025, after more than a year of negotiations, workers voted to authorize a strike in order to win a fair contract. In early February, they reached a tentative agreement with the company, which has now been ratified.
“This victory shows what happens when workers stand up and refuse to be ignored. We didn’t just win better wages and raise standards at our plant — we forced respect onto the table and got it all in writing,” said Yogi Peoples, a Bargaining Committee member from Assembly. "Our victory here at Volkswagen should send a message to autoworkers everywhere: don’t let management divide you. When workers fight together – united and unafraid -- we can beat the odds and win!”
"Southern autoworkers are standing up, and I expect many more to follow Volkswagen’s lead,” said UAW Region 8 Director Tim Smith. “Workers are done being left behind, and VW is just the first step towards justice for autoworkers everywhere. Who are we? U-A-W!”
Volkswagen workers in Chattanooga voted 3-to-1 to join the UAW in 2024, with support from the Volkswagen Works Council and IG Metall. Soon after the victory, workers elected a 20-member negotiating committee made up of their peers. After months of negotiations, the contract marks a breakthrough for nonunion autoworkers and manufacturing workers across the South. The agreement ensures that Volkswagen workers have a legally binding, enforceable contract guaranteeing fair pay, more affordable healthcare, safer working conditions, and clear protections against favoritism.
The details of the agreement are available at UAW.org/VW.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
“The key finding is that switching from a chronological to an algorithmic feed shifted users toward more conservative positions: policy priorities, views on Trump's criminal investigations, and attitudes toward the war in Ukraine all shifted to the right.”
Can feed algorithms shape what people think about politics? Our paper "The Political Effects of X's Feed Algorithm" is out today in @Nature and answers "Yes".
nature.com/articles/s41586-0…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
How ironic that one of my most viewed tweet, about an influential econ paper whose finding was grounded in error, should itself contain an error. And no correction from me at this point would circulate as widely.
Nonetheless, unlike R&R, I am happy to apologize, bemoan it, and correct the record.
Fuller context: the source I originally quoted oversimplified in attributing everything solely to the simple excel error. But what the then grad students Herndon, Ash, Pollin actually found was that correcting R&R’s excel error omitting five countries (Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark) modestly moved the >90% debt group’s postwar average growth going from -0.1% to +0.3%.
When HAP also corrected selective data exclusions and R&R’s (imo very weird) weighting choices, the >90% debt group’s postwar average growth became about +2.2% rather than −0.1%. As Curr explains below, R&R disputed the weighting choices correction, and thus the majority of the correction.
I regret the error and oversimplification.
Replying to @JonathonPSine
Your post is not accurate. Correcting the error changed the average from -0.1 to 0.3
Scott Littlehale retweeted
There's been this endless, tedious discourse about the role of "the groups."
These are the fucking groups!
These 3 PACs have nearly half a billion dollars to spend on elections. Slightly more power than a goddamn questionnaire.


































