Construction labor research-analyst since 2003 (@NorCalCarpU) Trying to tweet less, research/strategize/act/(sleep?) more. @slittlehale.bsky.social
Northern California
Joined January 2012
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hey, @YouTube mods: There's a concerted attack on Gil Duran intended to mess with his book launch, and you have deplatformed him.
His content scrupulously avoids IP violations (the pretext used in the concerted complaints).
Make it right!
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Decision Desk HQ projects Scott Wiener wins the CA US House 11 Primary
#DecisionMade: 11:31 PM EDT
Scott Littlehale retweeted
More broadly, if one looks at the 400 wealthiest Americans, our research shows the billionaires tend to have low individual income tax rates.
Why?
Simply put, the ultra-wealthy can easily structure their wealth so that this wealth generates little – sometimes even no – taxable income. Hence little or no income tax owed.
gabriel-zucman.eu/files/BSYZ…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Your claim that the top 1% pays 40% of taxes and the bottom 50% only 3% is misleading:
It captures just one tax – the federal income tax – and ignores all the rest: payroll taxes, state income taxes, sales taxes, excise duties, etc., many of which are regressive.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
The NCSCU is proud to support Tom Steyer for Governor of California.
“As Governor, Tom Steyer won’t be beholden to special interests,” Pete Rodriguez, Vice President of the United Brotherhood of Carpenters said. “Union carpenters know what it means to put in long hours and still struggle to afford a roof over our heads.”
“Tom respects and values the hard work and dignity that comes with earning a living with your hands,” Rodriguez added. “He understands that strong unions and strong working families-built California’s middle class. We need leadership willing to stand up, make tough decisions, and fight for the people who build this state every single day. It was hardworking men and women, backed by bold leadership and investment in America’s workforce, that helped lift this country out of the Great Depression — and that’s the kind of fight and vision we need again today. That’s why we’re supporting Tom Steyer for Governor.”
#NorthCoastStatesCarpentersUnion #CarpenterUnionPower
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Why is retention bad absent a union?
1) Working conditions aren't family friendly
2) There isn't a compensating income differential!
* There is a household income "penalty" for families with young children.
** That penalty has grown, not shrunk, over time.
My fundamental critique of @ezraklein's framing of the housing construction/labor issue is that it ignores the "skilled construction labor shortage" constraint I hear contractors and developers complain about constantly.
Status quo labor standards perpetuate the capacity problem
Here's @XavierBecerra on how he'd balance his pledge to cut California's home construction costs against the parts of his plan that would appear to raise them:
Source & methods note:
To generate "survival schedules" of California carpenters I fed an LLM:
1) union: the schedule of pension plan participants' years of credited service (a mandatory annual report).
2) non-union: Census Bureau J2J, QWI, and ACS data.
This is a 1st, rough-cut.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
The "abundance agenda" aims to solve our supply crises, but often ignores a critical factor: worker power.
In our new report, Kate Andrias & @awh argue for "Democratic Abundance"—a vision where workers shape the future they’re building.🏗️💪
rooseveltinstitute.org/publi…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
People who leave California for other states improve their financial situation and are much more likely to buy a home, a landmark 10-year datat analysis shows. The results speak to affordability crisis so stark one expert says: It's just sad latimes.com/california/story…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Beneficiaries of Trump’s tax law: bankers who can use the juiced tax refunds to build a sauna in their backyards.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Takeaway for social scientists the AI era:
1️⃣ Never trust a single AI estimate.
2️⃣ Use Multiverse Analysis: run many agents to see the full range of plausible results.
3️⃣ AI NSE may serve as a "lower bound" for human NSE.
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Pop quiz: What US MSA has the highest 10th percentile wage, adjusted for cost-of-living using the BEA RPP?
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Scoop: Trump Labor Dept. "will give greater scrutiny to employers whose market power permits them to dominate their respective labor markets in ways that can facilitate employment-law violations," labor solicitor Jonathan Berry told staff in a memo today bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Scott Littlehale retweeted
PS: This standard of ballot initiative proponents being transparent and revealing themselves sounds great, like say if you're backing multiple measures to defeat the wealth tax iykyk
Scott Littlehale retweeted
Veteran CBS News producer Mary Walsh takes leave (first reported by Guardian)
"We've been told to aim our reporting at a particular part of the political spectrum. Honestly, I don't know how to do that."
Scott Littlehale retweeted
I HB 4089 passed the Oregon House today with bipartisan support. This bill takes direct aim at illegal labor broker schemes and wage theft that undercut standards in the construction industry. We’re fighting to protect workers, responsible contractors, and fair competition. Senate is up next!
#NorthCoastStatesCarpentersUnion #CarpenterUnionPower
