Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
Gainesville, FL
Joined September 2012
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Michael McDonald retweeted
THE person to follow on EV.
In my continuing series of #earlyvoting analyses, here is a party registration and race analysis of North Carolina, with a Georgia comparison on race (GA does not have party registration) michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
Michael McDonald retweeted
I purchased the Pennsylvania voter file this morning and replicated the NC weekly new partisan registrations trend analysis. The long-term trend of increasing share of Democratic registrations is evident, but there isn't a sharp mid-Sept. drop-off like NC michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
Michael McDonald retweeted
The tub of goo on the left is the real @RheinAmacher.
The one on the right is the stylized creation out of his demented imagination.
This is the scumbag that made up the sick lie about James Talarico going to a mental care facility.
Michael McDonald retweeted
A plot of NC new registrations by party registration during Trump's second term of office. I include @50plus1news Trump approval trendline. There's good correlation until the bottom drops out for Republicans mid-Sept. More analysis here: michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
Michael McDonald retweeted
I've posted an analysis of early voting activity, focusing on mail ballot return rates michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
Michael McDonald retweeted
I've posted an analysis of what we can learn from early voting so far michaelmcdonald.substack.com…
Michael McDonald retweeted
We added 2022 and 2024 election data for Indiana.
Thanks to @ufelectionlab (@ElectProject , VEST) !!!
Michael McDonald retweeted
“Debra OConnell, the Disney executive who directly oversees ABC News, dined with Mr. Trump’s incoming chief of staff, Susie Wiles, in Palm Beach last Monday, according to two people briefed on their interaction.” nytimes.com/2024/12/14/busin…
Michael McDonald retweeted
NEW: The elections director of Fayette County, Pa., says in a court filing that a township election judge allegedly plans to hand-count ballots after polls close & asks a state court to order the official to comply with state law that does not allow that
documentcloud.org/documents/…
ALT Screen grab of the court filing
Michael McDonald retweeted
BREAKING: Milwaukee is going to recount every absentee ballot that had been counted because of this issue. They had already tabulated 30,000 ballots.
The count will go very late
Michael McDonald retweeted
Dawg, if you don’t think we are calling, texting, DMing, showing up at people’s houses, literally screaming into the void, then you don’t know #youthvote organizers.
Michael McDonald retweeted
Reuters: FBI SAYS IT IS AWARE OF APPARENTLY FAKE BOMB THREATS TO POLLING LOCATIONS IN SEVERAL STATES, MANY OF WHICH APPEAR TO ORIGINATE FROM RUSSIAN EMAIL DOMAINS
Michael McDonald retweeted
EDay Turnout - Clark County, NV
11/5/2024 - 12:50pm
Dem 25,304 (31.5%) +2,106
Rep 23,198 (28.9%)
Other 31,742 (39.6%)
Total 80,244
Dems now at D+2.6 vs Reps. Dems' raw vote margin starting to increase a bit faster, separating them from Reps in the graph.
Michael McDonald retweeted
HAPPENING NOW: A federal judge in Georgia has thrown out the RNC's claim that Georgia counties broke the law by accepting absentee ballots over the weekend.
The judge says their complaint lacked a "basic level of statutory review and reading comprehension." Details TK
Michael McDonald retweeted
BREAKING NEWS📢
🗳️ Polls in Cambria County, PA are now open until 10 PM ET.
Michael McDonald retweeted
High Noon Maricopa Update:
Indy voters had the most check ins the past hour. GOP totals are decreased while Dems are just under 4k again
Last Hour: 18.3k
🔵: 3.8k🔴: 7k⚫: 7.5k
All Day Total: 112.2k
🔵:22.7k🔴:46k⚫:43.4k
All Day % of ballots
🔵: 20.3% 🔴: 41% ⚫:38.7%
ALT Maricopa County Poll Voter Check Ins
Michael McDonald retweeted
Update the man admits to being paid by the Kremlin
cnn.com/2024/11/04/politics/…
Pro-Trump influencer AlphaFox78 says Russian agent paid him ... - CNN
Michael McDonald retweeted
Rob, thanks for watching the press conference. Maricopa County expects 400,000 ballot envelopes will be dropped off today. Those have to be verified, opened, & then 800,000 pages will be fed into tabulators. We have room if you want to help, Rob. You can do it!
DEAR Assistant County Manager Zach Schira,
As a resident of the great State of Arizona and more importantly a United States Citizen, WAITING DAYS FOR THE RESULTS OF THE ELECTION IN MARICOPA COUNTY IS UNACCEPTABLE.
We are NOT some BANANA REPUBLIC,
WE ARE THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.
I will do EVERYTHING in my power to have ELECTION OFFICIALS THIS NEXT ELECTION CYCLE THAT CAN COUNT ALL BALLOTS BY THE END OF THE SAME DAY OF VOTING.
Even if I have to run and become Governor myself.
Michael McDonald retweeted
Mail ballots must be RECEIVED by your county elections office by 8 p.m. TODAY.
Ballots received after that time, even if postmarked before the deadline, WILL NOT COUNT. Find your county elections office's designated locations at vote.pa.gov/ReturnBallot to hand deliver your voted ballot.
Remember: You cannot return your completed mail ballot to your polling place, unless you are surrendering it to vote at the polls.
ALT Return your completed mail ballot. It must be received by 8 p.m. Nov. 5, 2024.