Hold, trade, enjoy & get rekt since 2017. I write about things that make me curious.
Planet Earth
Joined April 2017
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Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
Translation if you don't speak Korean:
LEE HYOUNG-IL, SOUTH KOREA’S DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER AND MINISTER OF FINANCE AND ECONOMY: WE ARE PREPARING TO DEPLOY MARKET STABILIZATION MEASURES IF STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY INCREASES.
WE WILL DECIDE WHETHER TO IMPLEMENT SPECIFIC MEASURES, SUCH AS ACTIVATING THE STOCK MARKET STABILIZATION FUND OR TEMPORARILY BANNING SHORT SELLING, BASED ON MARKET CONDITIONS.
Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
I’ve spent a few days thinking about the Tesla Roadster reveal and landed somewhere I haven’t seen much discussion. I’m neither a Tesla fanboy nor a Tesla hater. And I couldn’t care less whether what we saw technically qualifies as a flying car. Three takeaways: (1) The risk of that live demonstration going horribly wrong was real. Almost no CEO would willingly expose their company to that kind of public humiliation for a product with so little financial upside. Elon did. (2) That willingness to attempt the seemingly impossible is what makes Tesla special. It’s also arguably Elon’s greatest contribution to America. He’s helped bring back something we’ve lost. The American spirit of chasing big scary ideas that most people think are impossible. That mindset is spreading across a new generation of founders and its long term impact on America’s future could dwarf anything Tesla ever sells. I think this is deeply underappreciated. (3) Can we just acknowledge how insanely cool that moment was? We’ve reached a strange place culturally where even extraordinary feats of human ingenuity immediately become arguments about why they don’t count. Not everything needs to be a debate. Sometimes we should just be able to stand back together and marvel at what humans are capable of. I’ve been both bullish and critical of Tesla’s ambitions over the years. But watching Elon and his team push the boundaries of what’s possible reminds me why I’m glad we have him. Whether the Roadster ever makes Tesla a dollar or impacts $TSLA stock price is almost beside the point. We need more people willing to risk failure in pursuit of things the rest of us think are impossible. Because when they succeed we all win.
Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
50% probability of making $2000 and 50% probability of losing $1000.
Following the breakout, possibility of reducing the $ loss to $500 by raising initial stop.
Think about that.
and stop with the nonsense of yeah but its 50/50.
Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
Newbies and inexperienced traders/investors are so fixated on predictions that they have no idea what to do when the 50% of cases where they're wrong shows up.
“But you said it was going to do #A and it didn’t.”
Well yeah. I also said it could do #B, and sometimes #C. Didn’t you plan or position for those outcomes too?
Bitcoin recently is a good example. It didn’t follow through on my preferred path, which is just the one I thought was more likely. But so what? I still bought back a good amount at $64k after going 100% cash at $94k (avg), because guess what, option #B possibility was gaining traction.
That’s the point. It’s not about the prediction. Your social clout does not build your portfolio.
Sadly, most inexperienced players can’t even make money when their prediction comes true because they’re so consumed with being right that they never properly think about positioning, risk, or what they’ll do next.
“Oh, so you’re just covering every base. Could go up, could go down.”
No shit. That’s exactly the point.
I don’t want to be surprised. I want to be positioned to get the best possible outcome across all viable scenarios.
Stop becoming so attached to one idea that you get trapped inside it. Think and trade in possibilities, be early enough and push harder when an outcome becomes clear.
Yes, you’ll give up some upside to maintain that flexibility. That’s the cost. But you’ll still participate when you’re right and you’ll be protected when the market chooses one of the other paths.
The goal isn’t to predict but be prepared to capture.
Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
🚨GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN FORECAST HITS 50 DAYS
The federal government shutdown has stretched to 39 days, with markets now forecasting it could last around 50 days, according to Kalshi data.
The Senate is holding a rare Sunday session at 1:30 p.m. but no votes are currently scheduled
kalshi.com/markets/kxgovshut…
Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
>china discovers huge gold mine
>aggressively buys gold to push its price up
>gold price does a 2x in under 2 years after stalling at the exact same price for a decade
>mass hysteria ensues
>people line up in front of stores to buy physical gold
>everyone suddenly thinks they are early to an ancient $30T asset which is just a shiny rock
>the chinese gold mine makes the news
>who knows how many more gold mines they're keeping a secret
>china dumps gold on everyone
xi sends his regards
Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
blablabla we support ecosystem blablabla
Spotlight on how Binance listings actually work.
Here are benefits we are pleased to provide to the project team:
1️⃣ Binance does not make money from the listing process. All project token allocations go 100% to users through marketing campaigns, including Alpha Airdrops, Launchpool, Hodler Airdrops, trading events, Earn APR campaigns, and more.
👉 Our business model is simple: small trading fees, not listing revenue.
2️⃣To protect users, Binance requires a refundable security deposit from projects. It acts as a safeguard against short term exploitation and ensures the project team stays committed post listing. Once a project meets its commitments, the full deposit is returned.
👉 User protection remains at the core of everything we do.
3️⃣If you’re in the early stages of your project, Binance Alpha is the best go-to-market path. No listing fees, just visibility, education, and growth. Alpha connects real users with promising projects through airdrops, Booster Programs, Pre-TGEs, and TGEs, building transparency and trust ahead of exchange listings.
👉 As of Oct 2025, 217 projects have joined Alpha, 103 listed on Futures and 36 on Spot after proving growth and meeting standards.
Join us! If you’d like to learn more about our listing process and apply to have your project listed.
Further details on Binance Listing and Requirements 👇
binance.com/en/support/annou…
Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
?
Trump is reportedly one of the largest Bitcoin, $BTC, holders in America with over $870 million in Bitcoin exposure, per Cointelegraph.
Fowler ⚙️ retweeted
We’ve seen a number of rumors circulating since the launch of XPL and want to set the record straight.
1/ No team members have sold any XPL. All investor and team XPL is locked for 3 years with a 1 year cliff.
2/ Of our team of ~50, three spent time at Blur or Blast. Our team members also come from Google, Facebook, Square, Temasek, Goldman Sachs, and Nuvei. To say our team is "ex-Blast" is to say it is "ex" any of these firms. We are proud of the team we've assembled at Plasma.
3/ We have not engaged Wintermute as a market maker and have never contracted with Wintermute for any of their services. We have the same information as the public on Wintermute's ownership of XPL.
We are laser-focused on building the future of money and won’t be commenting further. We remain incredibly grateful for our community's support. Now back to work.
Trillions.
