NFL Week 6, graded. Our 5 on-record pass-yd calls: Prescott 265, actual 260 (hit) Mahomes 245, actual 270 (hit) Love 235, actual 275 (hit) Stafford 305, actual 220 (miss) Nix 230, actual 105 (miss) 3 hits, 2 misses, 0 pending. #NFL competitionfactor.com/pro/we…

CFB Week 7 receipts, projected / actual yds: Chambliss 275 / 240 Sayin 255 / 235 Kromah 55 / 45 Daniels 200 / 300 Jeremiah Smith 115 / 70 Hoover 230 / 295 Mensah 250 / 325 Lines: Ohio State -13 and Miami -21, both right. #CFB competitionfactor.com/week/2…

CFB Week 7, on the record: Trinidad Chambliss 275 pass yds vs Missouri Julian Sayin 255 pass yds at Indiana Jeremiah Smith 115 rec yds Darian Mensah 250 pass yds, 2.2 TD vs FSU Our lines: Ohio State -13 at Indiana. Miami -21 vs FSU. #CFB competitionfactor.com/lines

NFL Week 6, on the record before TNF: Stafford 305 pass yds vs ARI (slate high) Prescott 265 at GB Mahomes 245 vs LAC Love 235 vs DAL (avg 282) Nix 230 vs SEA (Thu) Penix (rib) flagged, not featured. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. #NFL competitionfactor.com/pro/we…

CFB Week 6 receipts, projected yds / actual: Sayin 270 / 240 Jeremiah Smith 115 / 95 Maiava 255 / 300 Manning 230 / 260 Russell 205 / 185 Smothers 75 / 40 Stockton 195 / 250 Our lines: Ohio State -40 right. Penn State -9, Texas -1 wrong. #CFB competitionfactor.com/week/2…

Georgia at Alabama tonight. The game's biggest unit gap: Alabama rush O, 89th pct Georgia rush D, 100th pct Edge: -234, defense Every other unit in the game rates 96th pct or higher. On the record: Alabama QB Keelon Russell 205 pass yds. #CFB competitionfactor.com/week/p…

New: our own spread and total for every FBS-vs-FBS game, built from the players on each roster. Ohio State -40 vs Maryland. Penn State -9 vs USC. Texas -1 vs Oklahoma. Frozen at kickoff, graded on the final. #CFB competitionfactor.com/lines competitionfactor.com/week/p…

CFB Week 6, on the record before Saturday: Julian Sayin 270 pass yds vs Maryland Jeremiah Smith 115 rec yds Jayden Maiava 255 pass yds at Penn State Arch Manning 230 pass yds vs Oklahoma Hollywood Smothers 75 rush yds Last week we had Smith at 100. He had 205.

Week 6 numbers are posted, and every FBS-vs-FBS game now has our own line. Slate high: Julian Sayin, 270 pass yds vs a 65th-pct Maryland pass D. Our line there: Ohio State -40. Frozen at kickoff, graded Sunday, misses included. #CFB competitionfactor.com/lines

Last week we put six numbers on record Wednesday. Five landed within 20%. Same rules this week: frozen at kickoff, graded against the box Mon/Tue, misses at the same size as hits. competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL

NFL Week 5 passing yards, on record: Stafford 290 vs BUF (slate high) Goff 285 at ARI Prescott 270 vs TB Purdy 225 at SEA Love 225 vs CHI (avg 260, our biggest cut) Lamar 205 at ATL: ankle, monitoring. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL

NFL Week 4 receipts. On record Wed, graded: Bo Nix 225 pass yds → 215 Josh Allen 235 → 255 Stafford 285 → 315 Smith-Njigba 90 rec yds → 75 Jordan Love 240 → 195 Stroud 235 → 345 (our miss) Mayfield's 200: void, ruled out pre-game. competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL

Week 5, graded. The 8 numbers we put on record Friday and Saturday, scored against the box. Misses same size as hits. Closest: Hank Brown, 120 pass yds projected, 130 actual. Furthest: Jadan Baugh, 105 rush yds projected, 15 actual. competitionfactor.com/week/2… #CFB

Correction: Baker Mayfield was ruled out (thumb), so his 200 pass yds is off the record, voided pre-game. Still on record: Stafford 285, Love 240, Stroud 235, Nix 225, Allen 235 pass yds; Smith-Njigba 90 rec. Frozen at kickoff. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. #NFL

Widest unit gap on the slate: Iowa's 33rd-percentile pass offense into Ohio St.'s 100th-percentile pass defense. We have Hank Brown at 120 pass yds. He's at 175 a game so far.

CFB Week 5 is on the record. Slate high: Jayden Maiava, 260 pass yds vs UW. Biggest cut: Kamario Taylor, 165 vs Alabama. He's averaging 298. Last week we had Maiava at 255 (he threw 326) and Baugh at 100 (he ran 142). Graded Sunday. competitionfactor.com/week/p… #CFB

NFL Week 4, on the record before a snap: Stafford 285 pass yds at PHI Love 240 at TB Stroud 235 vs DAL Nix 225 at SF Smith-Njigba 90 rec yds vs LAC (405 in his first 3 games) Frozen at kickoff. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL

NFL Week 3 receipts: We had Mahomes at 260 pass yds, 1.8 TD. He threw for 245 and 2. We had Mayfield at 200. He threw for 215. We had Stafford at 270. He threw for 390. We had Allen at 1.6 TD and Maye at 1.5. Both threw 0. Week 4 is up: competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL

CFB Week 4, graded. Misses included. 126 projections. 73 of 120 beat the naive baseline. Edge calls 3-2. Maiava 255 → 326 (red) Houser 230 → 263 (green) Underwood 170 → 276 (red) competitionfactor.com/week/2… #CFB

CFB Week 4, on the record — 7 Saturday games, posted pre-kickoff: Maiava 255 pass vs Oregon (slate high) · Manning 240 at Tennessee · Baugh 100 rush vs Ole Miss · Bishop 1.1 rush TD vs Texas · Stockton 1.9 pass TD vs OU. Graded Sunday. #CFB competitionfactor.com/week/p…