Evaluating high school & college football players using our proprietary CAPS analytic (Competition Adjusted Production Score).
Ellicott City, MD
Joined March 2021
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NFL Week 6, graded. Our 5 on-record pass-yd calls:
Prescott 265, actual 260 (hit)
Mahomes 245, actual 270 (hit)
Love 235, actual 275 (hit)
Stafford 305, actual 220 (miss)
Nix 230, actual 105 (miss)
3 hits, 2 misses, 0 pending. #NFL
competitionfactor.com/pro/we…
CFB Week 7 receipts, projected / actual yds:
Chambliss 275 / 240
Sayin 255 / 235
Kromah 55 / 45
Daniels 200 / 300
Jeremiah Smith 115 / 70
Hoover 230 / 295
Mensah 250 / 325
Lines: Ohio State -13 and Miami -21, both right. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/week/2…
CFB Week 7, on the record:
Trinidad Chambliss 275 pass yds vs Missouri
Julian Sayin 255 pass yds at Indiana
Jeremiah Smith 115 rec yds
Darian Mensah 250 pass yds, 2.2 TD vs FSU
Our lines: Ohio State -13 at Indiana. Miami -21 vs FSU. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/lines
NFL Week 6, on the record before TNF:
Stafford 305 pass yds vs ARI (slate high)
Prescott 265 at GB
Mahomes 245 vs LAC
Love 235 vs DAL (avg 282)
Nix 230 vs SEA (Thu)
Penix (rib) flagged, not featured. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. #NFL
competitionfactor.com/pro/we…
CFB Week 6 receipts, projected yds / actual:
Sayin 270 / 240
Jeremiah Smith 115 / 95
Maiava 255 / 300
Manning 230 / 260
Russell 205 / 185
Smothers 75 / 40
Stockton 195 / 250
Our lines: Ohio State -40 right. Penn State -9, Texas -1 wrong. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/week/2…
Georgia at Alabama tonight. The game's biggest unit gap:
Alabama rush O, 89th pct
Georgia rush D, 100th pct
Edge: -234, defense
Every other unit in the game rates 96th pct or higher.
On the record: Alabama QB Keelon Russell 205 pass yds. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/week/p…
Week 6 numbers are posted, and every FBS-vs-FBS game now has our own line.
Slate high: Julian Sayin, 270 pass yds vs a 65th-pct Maryland pass D. Our line there: Ohio State -40.
Frozen at kickoff, graded Sunday, misses included. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/lines
New: our own spread and total for every FBS-vs-FBS game, built from the players on each roster. Ohio State -40 vs Maryland. Penn State -9 vs USC. Texas -1 vs Oklahoma.
Frozen at kickoff, graded on the final. #CFB
competitionfactor.com/lines
competitionfactor.com/week/p…
CFB Week 6, on the record before Saturday:
Julian Sayin 270 pass yds vs Maryland
Jeremiah Smith 115 rec yds
Jayden Maiava 255 pass yds at Penn State
Arch Manning 230 pass yds vs Oklahoma
Hollywood Smothers 75 rush yds
Last week we had Smith at 100. He had 205.
NFL Week 5 passing yards, on record:
Stafford 290 vs BUF (slate high)
Goff 285 at ARI
Prescott 270 vs TB
Purdy 225 at SEA
Love 225 vs CHI (avg 260, our biggest cut)
Lamar 205 at ATL: ankle, monitoring.
Graded Mon/Tue, misses included.
competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL
Last week we put six numbers on record Wednesday. Five landed within 20%.
Same rules this week: frozen at kickoff, graded against the box Mon/Tue, misses at the same size as hits.
competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL
NFL Week 4 receipts. On record Wed, graded:
Bo Nix 225 pass yds → 215
Josh Allen 235 → 255
Stafford 285 → 315
Smith-Njigba 90 rec yds → 75
Jordan Love 240 → 195
Stroud 235 → 345 (our miss)
Mayfield's 200: void, ruled out pre-game.
competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL
Week 5, graded. The 8 numbers we put on record Friday and Saturday, scored against the box. Misses same size as hits.
Closest: Hank Brown, 120 pass yds projected, 130 actual.
Furthest: Jadan Baugh, 105 rush yds projected, 15 actual.
competitionfactor.com/week/2… #CFB
NFL Week 4, on the record before a snap:
Stafford 285 pass yds at PHI
Love 240 at TB
Stroud 235 vs DAL
Nix 225 at SF
Smith-Njigba 90 rec yds vs LAC (405 in his first 3 games)
Frozen at kickoff. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included.
competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL
Correction: Baker Mayfield was ruled out (thumb), so his 200 pass yds is off the record, voided pre-game.
Still on record: Stafford 285, Love 240, Stroud 235, Nix 225, Allen 235 pass yds; Smith-Njigba 90 rec.
Frozen at kickoff. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. #NFL
CFB Week 5 is on the record.
Slate high: Jayden Maiava, 260 pass yds vs UW.
Biggest cut: Kamario Taylor, 165 vs Alabama. He's averaging 298.
Last week we had Maiava at 255 (he threw 326) and Baugh at 100 (he ran 142). Graded Sunday.
competitionfactor.com/week/p… #CFB
NFL Week 3 receipts:
We had Mahomes at 260 pass yds, 1.8 TD. He threw for 245 and 2.
We had Mayfield at 200. He threw for 215.
We had Stafford at 270. He threw for 390.
We had Allen at 1.6 TD and Maye at 1.5. Both threw 0.
Week 4 is up: competitionfactor.com/pro/we… #NFL
CFB Week 4, graded. Misses included.
126 projections. 73 of 120 beat the naive baseline. Edge calls 3-2.
Maiava 255 → 326 (red)
Houser 230 → 263 (green)
Underwood 170 → 276 (red)
competitionfactor.com/week/2… #CFB
CFB Week 4, on the record — 7 Saturday games, posted pre-kickoff: Maiava 255 pass vs Oregon (slate high) · Manning 240 at Tennessee · Baugh 100 rush vs Ole Miss · Bishop 1.1 rush TD vs Texas · Stockton 1.9 pass TD vs OU. Graded Sunday. #CFB competitionfactor.com/week/p…
