Tweets ≠ advice. Analyst since 1998. Monitoring charts for macro trends, changes, extremes and THEMES: 2025: Precious Metals, Int'l 2026: Commod, Int'l

Joined November 2012
RATIO: Bear + Money Market Assets / Bull Assets Here is an inverted chart to show just how bullish the dumb money is compared to 2009-2011 levels. The complacency picture has flip flopped. Anyone's guess if this 5% level can go any lower, but it is getting very stretched.
1
187
Offense vs Defense - $SPY $QQQ The past 7 days clearly show defense. Momentum has begun to roll over on 5 different relative viewpoints. Negative divergences abound.
1
144
YTD Performance Energy and Commodities are on top by a wide margin. $XLE $PDBC
145
S&P 500 - $SPY Updated chart... be careful out there... 👇
S&P 500 - $SPY Is this time going to be different?
3
181
Mag 7 - $MAGS A bearish wedge inside a bearish wedge with 2 years of negative divergence.
170
Commodities - $PDBC The volume is still well below what we saw in 2022. That continues to suggest this move still has a ways before it matures.
Commodities - $PDBC The volume this week is so far away from the high volume we saw in 2022. That suggests this move still has a long ways before it matures.
1
135
China Tech - $CQQQ Down 28%+ since June 30.
1
119
Cybersecurity - $CIBR Having its worst week since the 2020 lows.
3
111
Discretionary / Staples - $XLY $XLP Downside momentum continues... Weekly momentum is having a 2nd consecutive negative divergence. This is a stronger signal than a single negative divergence. If you are bullish on equities, be very careful here.
1
164
Discretionary / Staples - $XLY $XLP Weekly momentum is having a 2nd consecutive negative divergence. This is a stronger signal than a single negative divergence. If you are bullish on equities, be very careful here.
3
192