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“It is easier for a camel to go through the eye of a needle than for a rich man to enter the kingdom of God" Matt 19:24 & “Nothing is impossible with God” Luke 1:37
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
What it journey it has been for $RIG shareholders. Congratulations to all my fellow longs
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
$RIG is about to own 68 rigs & ~1/3 of the world's drillships after the Valaris deal closes, and nobody has a single new drillship on order.
Leverage is down from 5.2x to ~2.5x at close, 81% of 2027 days are already sold, India just put out a surprise tender for 5 rigs, and a congresswoman's household bought in Sept.
Supercycle loading?
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
Akre on $CSU and Topicus: It took the Constellation family of businesses less than eight months of 2026 to nearly match 2023’s all-time record for annual capital deployment.
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
Transocean has just released a new SEC filing that brings very good news.
1. Banks are ready to finance the new $RIG / $VAL
The new credit facility increases from $510 million to $750 million, and its maturity is extended from 2028 to 2031, provided the merger is completed.
2. Banks offered more money than Transocean asked for.
This is particularly interesting to me. The credit facility was oversubscribed, meaning banks were willing to provide more financing than Transocean requested. Heavily indebted offshore companies don't get this, but my readers have known for a long time that RIG can handle its debt relatively easily. This is just further proof.
3. Less debt.
Transocean has repaid $165 million of debt carrying an 8% interest rate, reducing future interest expenses.
4. And here is something particularly interesting. Shareholder returns.
Section 6.25 of the credit agreement contains provisions allowing future dividend payments and share buybacks.
Think about that for a moment.
A company that spent years struggling with debt now has banks offering more money than it requested, is repaying expensive debt, and has a credit agreement that allows for future returns of capital to shareholders.
Debt goes down, moat goes up, and future cash goes to shareholders.
Cheers, Sandro
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
李录:“半神”的IPO,你不必参与🧙
(“半神”指Anthropic)
在哥大对谈中,李录用一份未具名的募资文件,解释了他为什么对“造神式”融资保持距离:
1.巨额投入依赖极端的未来预期。 从 AI 自我改进,到超越全人类的超级智能,再到“人造半神”,这套叙事用想象中的巨大经济影响,为今天的投资成本提供理由。
2.募资承诺本身充满矛盾。这家公司一边宣称技术将改变世界,一边写着“有10%的概率杀死所有人”,却邀请投资者按2万亿美元估值,至少投入1000亿美元,其中的“一致性”是讽刺。
3.他认为,两种结果都不会通向“人造神统治人类”。 技术可能根本没有朝那个方向发展;如果确实朝那个方向发展,人类会在某个时点联合起来阻止它。
4.人类参与是必须守住的边界。 他肯定 AI 极其有用、极具变革性,也强调其危险:必须始终有人类参与,把 AI 牢牢放在“工具”这一侧。
所以,他给投资者的回答很直接:你不必参与。
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
🎯 “Never lose money permanently. That's the cardinal sin in investing.” — Li Lu
#ValueInvesting #Investing
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
Li Lu at Columbia Business School's 36th Graham & Dodd event (Oct 5) 🎧
Value investing's six principles, AI as a tool not a god, a market split between a few hot names and many neglected ones, and compounding in markets and in life.
Full talk: youtu.be/FwDKCNfHHtY ❄️
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
Replying to @EarningsB4Hugs
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
I very much enjoyed my 2nd podcast aimed at a South Korean audience. This one should have universal appeal:
youtu.be/HtY9LPpQIuQ?is=tjt6…
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
Hero
Had this man not found the courage to fight back after being repeatedly attacked with an axe capable of cutting through metal—while bleeding profusely—and had the presence mind to trigger the hijack/emergency code, initiate the emergency response and open the cockpit door to allow passengers to assist him, the aircraft’s subsequent dive could have had catastrophic consequences.
Had that aircraft not been recovered, the geopolitical consequences for the Middle East could have been profound and potentially irreversible.
Sometimes history turns on the courage, resilience and presence of mind of one person.
Yes. One Indian man.
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
My takeaways from Mark's fireside:
- he's super humble despite incredible returns
- he's read all the books, he's an encyclopedia
- has come back strong from recent health challenges
- he's deeply entrenched in the details of Constellation despite having a step back – at Toronto, Ontario
Holy crap - the legendary Mark Leonard at the @MaverixPe agm on stage with @ruffoloj
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
This is something I've felt for the last five years, and just assumed I was imagining it. This is horrifying.
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
Go Grok!
Replying to @transumanism @michaeljburry
Burry sees the AI boom as a dot-com-style bubble. He argues OpenAI and Anthropic valuations near or over $1T rest on unprofitable LLMs that are not AGI, face commoditization of compute, and show weak long-term ROIC. Massive IPOs would lock in the mania and misallocate capital at historic scale. A hard market drop blocking them now could avert a larger later crash and greater economic harm.
CMPD26: Bradley James retweeted
When intelligence becomes cheap and ubiquitous, you want to own its indispensable complements, like data, attention, trust, love, physical scale, proximity, and regulatory capture.










































