Emmy Winning Meteorologist l Founder of Raining Angels | James 4:10 | Nature lover | Artist | Author of “Under the Weather” Purchase it: https://xitter.cf/t.co/KMveN4qKBr
Dayton, OH
Joined July 2011
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Britley Ritz retweeted
🌀AI Models Dominate Isaias Forecast
By now you’ve heard that Google Deep Mind nailed the #Hurricane #Isaias track forecast, but this shows just how dominant it was. The graph shows the forecast error… less error = more accurate.
~72 hours before landfall out the Google Deep Mind AI ensemble was only off by 19 miles, Euro AI by only 36 miles! There are lots of negative uses of AI, but weather forecasting is one example in which AI can be beneficial.
Winds of now 100mph.
Life threatening storm surge continues.
900 PM CDT Friday Oct 9 Update: Isaias moving across the western Florida Panhandle. Life-threatening storm surge and hurricane conditions occurring. Follow the latest on #Isaias at hurricanes.gov
Britley Ritz retweeted
HUGE SURGE hitting in Destin, FL! #FLwx
#Isaias makes landfall!
830 PM CDT Friday Oct 9 Update: Isaias makes landfall near Destin, Florida with maximum winds near 105 mph. Follow the latest on #Isaias at hurricanes.gov
This is insane!
BIRDS TRAPPED IN THE EYE 🌀🐦
Hurricane Hunters and Doppler Radar have confirmed that there are birds trapped in the eye of #Isaias right now because the winds are too strong in the eyewall. As a result, they stay within the calmer eye until reaching land. In this image, the blue colors are birds, the red color is rain. Unfortunately not all birds survive due to exhaustion, starvation or even drowning, but most do...especially depending on the type of bird. Landfall is this evening, so they just have to hold on for a little bit longer!
Britley Ritz retweeted
Live emergency update as inner core of category 3 Hurricane Isaias is pounding the barrier islands near Fort Walton Beach, Florida
#Isaias is intensifying! A well defined eye has show itself with the last few images.
This will likely become a CAT 3 sometime very soon.
This isn’t a good set up.
He’s right!
Panhandle and Big Bend friends, my thoughts are with you.
I am VERY concerned about this zone from Panama City to Tallahassee to Dothan, Alabama and Albany, Georgia. I actually think the impacts here may be more significant than in the eyewall.
Isaias's core is going to pass to the west, probably closer to Mobile or Gulf Shores (or even Pensacola). To the east, however, it will swirl robust tropical moisture northward and pinwheel a string of thunderstorms ashore.
High-resolution computer models suggest a feeder band (strip of downpours/thunderstorms swirling into Isaias) will take aim at the highlighted region for between 18 and 24 hours. Rainfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour are possible in the heaviest downpours within this band. I could easily see a narrow strip of 10 to 22+ inches of rain falling, causing locally significant to extreme flash flood cocerns.
If you find yourself under a flash flood emergency, it's a time to move IMMEDIATELY to the highest point you reasonably, and safely, can.
Models simulate plentiful convergence, or gathering/colliding air. When air is squeezed together, it is pushed upwards. That lifts moisture upwards into storms. That moisture then falls as extremely heavy rain.
Meanwhile, I also expect some tornadoes in this area, and the chance of an isolated significant (EF2+) tornado. Changing winds with height will help thunderstorm cells to rotate, and several tornadoes are possible. Machine learning models are highlighting this region too.
On Saturday afternoon, the threat will shift north toward Valdosta.
If a tornado warning is issued, seek shelter in an interior room away from windows as low as you can be without putting yourself at risk of flooding.
Waters at Destin beach as of 10AM Thursday.
Surf picking up and still some sun trying to peek through the clouds. Tomorrow morning the Emerald Coast will be sadly, completely different.
Winds now at 80 mph #Isaias
Hurricane #Isaias Advisory 7 (4 AM CDT, Thu Oct 8): NOAA Hurricane Hunters Indicate That Isaias Continues to Intensify. hurricanes.gov
Britley Ritz retweeted
Isaias is expected to strengthen and be a strong hurricane when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. A life-threatening storm surge is expected along a portion of the northern Gulf Coast, and a Storm Surge Warning is now in effect from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Steinhatchee, Florida. Residents in the warning area should follow advice given by local officials and evacuate if told to do so.
Damaging hurricane force-winds are expected over portions of the Florida Panhandle, southern Alabama, and southern Mississippi, and a Hurricane Warning is now in effect from Ocean Springs, Mississippi to the Bay/Gulf County Line, Florida. Residents in these areas should prepare for the possibility of long-duration power outages.
Isaias will bring areas of heavy rainfall to the central U.S. Gulf coast and much of the Southeast Friday into the weekend. Flash and urban flooding, along with isolated river flooding, will be possible.
Visit weather.gov for more.
ALT National Hurricane Center forecast for Tropical Storm Isaias, issued October 7, 2026, at 10 PM CDT. Isaias has maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and is moving east-northeast at 9 mph. The storm is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane before approaching the northern Gulf Coast Friday evening, with its center potentially moving inland across Mississippi and Alabama Saturday. Hurricane warnings are in effect along portions of the northern Gulf Coast. The cone represents the probable path of the storm's center, not the extent of hazardous conditions.
ALT National Hurricane Center map showing forecast peak storm surge from Tropical Storm Isaias along the northern Gulf Coast. Storm surge of 5–7 feet above ground level is forecast from Ocean Springs, Mississippi, through Mobile Bay, Alabama, to Indian Pass, Florida. Surrounding coastal areas could experience 3–5 feet near southeastern Louisiana, 4–6 feet east of Indian Pass to the Steinhatchee River, and generally 1–3 feet along portions of coastal Louisiana and the Florida Big Bend. Forecast values represent water heights above normally dry ground.
Only two complete Atlantic seasons on record—1907 and 1914—passed entirely without a single hurricane forming.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season has set a record for the latest first hurricane in the modern satellite era, with October 8 marking the previous historical late-season record set in 1905.