If you want to debate polling with me, please be aware that I ABSOLUTELY nailed the 2022 results - closer than RCP (by a lot!), 538, Crystal Ball, Cook.
Below was my call on election eve.
Actual results -
House margin was 4
Senate was D 51
Replying to @JakeSherman
Way too high on the house. It’ll be more like 5 - 10.
Wrong on the senate. It’ll be D 51, possibly D 52.
Feel free to bookmark. I’ll be closer than them.
I was very optimistic going into this evening - there’s nothing I’ve posted that I didn’t absolutely believe.
I don’t know what else to say. We have to hope it’s not as bad as our worst fears.
Take care of yourselves and those closest to you, now more than ever. All I’ve got.
LOL he monitored the polling locations and made up new polling numbers 🙄🙄🙄
Mark Penn is a total con artist.
@ArmandoNDK @tomwatson
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
What stands out here is that Kilmeade comes across as harried, agitated and aggressive -- while Buttigieg remains calm and unflustered amid the Fox host's constant agenda-driven haranguing.
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
Every guy who does this stuff ends up becoming a Trump supporter
Police ask prosecutors to charge Russell Brand for the sexual assault of four girls, one was 16-years-old at the time. theguardian.com/culture/2024…
Hannibal Lecter LOVES Trump 😏😏😏😏😏
Liz Lemon Harris+69
Scarlett O'Hara Harris+1
Apollo Creed Trump+5
Tony Soprano Trump+38
How Americans think 54 fictional characters would vote in the 2024 presidential election
today.yougov.com/entertainme…
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
when filing challenges to today’s election. The bar presidents specifically remind the legal profession of the lawyers who filed lawsuits challenging the 2020 election who were disbarred or disciplined for filing challenges that were not based on fact and supported by law.
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
Non-Jews who have been talking about Jews voting for Trump as though there’s been some big increase.
Here’s how we voted in the last 4 presidentials elections:
2008 - 78% D
2012 - 69% D
2016 - 71% D
2020 - 68% D
And here’s the latest poll for tomorrow - 71% D
/1
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
This is not a line outside a poll site.
This is a line of Harris volunteers filling up six buses on W. 62nd St., headed to PA this a.m.
This is why we are gonna win it.
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
I just carried my 8 yr old Nov 2016 daughter to bed and the fucking weight of this about knocked me over.
When she was 6 days old he was elected. I have been fighting for her since then.
Tomorrow we give her the future she deserves.
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
This is pretty wild. The GOP acknowledged that their failure to contest the early vote in 2020 was a massive liability. They invested heavily in it this time around. Yet as it draws to a close, they are now running behind 2020 margins for the first time.
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
Want to #DoSomething on Election Day?
Sign up below to call voters and remind them to get out and vote all day tomorrow!
mobilize.us/tomkeenforflorid…
#morningjoe just now said that sources at the top level of the campaign, who lived through the 2016 campaign, over the past few days have said “we will win”.
FWIW. I believe that, but it’s nice to hear they think so too. They’ve got a lot more data than me!
Kamala Harris has run one of the greatest campaigns for President we’ve ever seen under incredibly challenging circumstances. She has passed every single test.
If we fall short today it will in no way be her failure. It will be our nation’s. But I don’t believe we will.
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
Opinion | Trump said I was nasty and had blood coming out of me wherever. Here’s why I am shamelessly campaigning for him now.
by Megyn Kelly
Kamala Harris Stan!! 🐝💛✡️🇮🇱 retweeted
This has been under reported bc it doesn't fit the media narrative. In our undecided men focus groups, the majority of men especially dads of daughters, broke our way, citing abortion (every time). Expect surprises.























