BlockbyBlock.hood🇨🇦

I got pushback from fellow conservativese when I argued that this midterm is a stronger rebuke to the party in power than even 1994 & 2010. Here is why I believe that. 1994 was a natural continuation of the Reagan Revolution but manifested at the Congressional level. This was particularly true in the South where Whites who voted for Reagan & HW Bush but remained ancestral Dems pulled the lever for GOP congressional candidates. Similarly, 2010 was a natural realignment where Dems were overstretched in conservative areas and the electorate mean reverted to GOP. Also, Clinton & Obama -whatever one thinks of them as Presidents- believed in a vision bigger than themselves and were willing to sacrifice political capital to move their agenda forward. Obama paid a steep price in 2010 for Obamacare, but he made that calculation due to his strong belief in universal healthcare. With Trump, voters correctly concluded that he cares only about himself, his Presidency being a mere extension of his business dealings. Ultimately, voters will forgive policy mistakes but they will punish Presidents who abuse the trust placed in them by the voters.

It was not a Blue Tsunami. It was a cataclysmic Blue nuclear bomb that shook the foundation of the American political landscape to its core. Some of my thoughts on this midterm: 1) It was the strongest rebuke of the governing party of my lifetime, even moreso than 1994 & 2010. The leftward shift was decisive across all states, regions, demographics. 2) Trump is a failed President. He squandered an impressive coalition through boneheaded policies. A deeper underlying problem that resonated with voters was Trump's shameless grift, using his office to enrich his family & friends while failing to focus on the bread and butter issues affecting the average American. This jarring disconnect fueled voter anger, galvanizing lower propensity voters to go for Dems. Simultaneously, Trump's failure to deliver on his core promises led to the exodus of young men from his coalition (especially young working class White & Latino men). 3) Consequences of this midterm: A) Anyone who worked for Trump is DOA for 2028 election. B) GOP will be locked out of Senate control for quite some time; this means Alito & Thomas will be replaced by liberal judges. Roberts also probably retires soon. SCOTUS will be remade, along with lower level federal judiciary. One of Trump's few lasting legacies will be crushed. C) Dem state legislatures will ruthlessly redistrict; huge implication beyond 2030 D) Dems will target tech oligarchs, especially Elon, crypto bros, and anyone who explicitly helped Trump. We will see this play out in Texas, where the incoming governor & her administration will no doubt target Elon's businesses that are headquartered in the state. E) Trump will move left on policy to make deals with a Dem congress as his priority is in getting "wins" rather than any overaching ideological agenda. Another motive will be to avoid conviction as Dem House will invariably impeach Trump.