All about $BTC $MSTR! The Future is ₿right! Not financial advice. Follow my libertarian page @libertariansdp

Joined November 2024
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Replying to @bitferatu
MSTR will outperform Bitcoin. Especially over these next couple years
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My Net Worth: *30% $MSTR & Prefs *24% $BTC / $IBIT *16% Real Estate *12% Part-Owner of my Business *7% $BTC-related like $ASST *4% $ETH $SOL $BMNR *3% other stocks like $AMZN $NVDA $TSLA $SPCX *3% Collectibles (Mostly Sports Cards) *1% USD
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We have only seen the 350w SMA fall to this sort of level below the Power Law once in $BTC’s history. What happened soon after? We went Vertical. Stay patient.
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Max $BTC Downside: $64-66k (-$18k) Max $BTC Upside: $220-310+k ($138+k) Limited downside & Huge upside… I wonder what happens next. 🤔
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Something I’ll be taking note of moving forward is the 350w SMA in relation to the Power Law. When the 350w is above the Power Law that’s a good indication we are overextended & some profits should be taken. When the 350w moves too far below the Power Law it becomes too cheap & is an extra good time to buy… We are in this time right now. It’s an outrageously good time to buy $BTC. 🚀
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Don’t worry about $BTC price. It’ll keep sliding all around. Focus on our Base. We have limited downside here & just had 2 nice crossings: 200w SMA $67k 350w SMA $51k Also, Power Law crosses $65k on Wednesday.
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Replying to @fvrtt
To be expected in a bear market. Either $81 is our low or we’ll be finding our low very soon. Then it’s 2-3 years of 🚀
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Since I give $BTC a 99% chance of the low being in, why would I think it’s up in the air if the low is in for $MSTR at $81?  MSTR is a different company now than it was last cycle so there’s a chance this time is different… Perhaps we only get back to say $110… But thus far we’ve been following what we did last Bear market pretty well… Last time we hit our low on the 2nd poke down below the 350w SMA. We’ve only had 1 poke below & our surge up set a lower high just like last time… Potentially setting up for a quick move down to hit our low in perhaps the $60’s before we can officially flip into a Bull market. This isn’t me being Bearish at all. Just what I’m seeing when looking at it neutrally. If anything it’s Bullish. Either the low is in at $81 or it’s coming very soon. And then it’s 2-3 years of BULL. 🐂🚀
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Replying to @FlowLevels
It’s either in at $81 or will be coming in very soon. It’s way more up in the air than Bitcoin. Post on that coming shortly
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Replying to @MarcusBurelius
Agreed. ~99% chance.
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Replying to @qazzaq_eth
Agreed. Thanks man!
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Replying to @TomHampshire10
Power Law for the Win my friend!
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The biggest reason why I think there is a 99% chance that $57k was the $BTC low: Last cycle we had 2 pokes at the Power Law & then a Levitation up… The same thing happened this time. This support level is also obnoxious now with multiple years in this region… A quick snap back to the 200w SMA ($66k) is possible imo, but to get back there is absolutely not a guarantee either… Not only would it have to get back there, but it would need to go even lower AND break the Power Law by $8k… Good freakin luck. Hence the 99% chance.
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Replying to @jayvijayrising
Bitcoin- Power Law & history. MSTR- hit its low on the 2nd poke below the 350w SMA last cycle. We’ve had 1 this cycle. Hard to tell if this time could be different or the same.
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Replying to @eddyluxe_
Fr lol 😪😅
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Replying to @Gigifuture
It’ll be slipping n sliding all over in the short term. The big question is where will we peak in 2-3 years
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Bear Models are so F’n dumb lol. Can’t wait for the Bull to start Poppin off soon!! $BTC
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Replying to @KC_BULLLL
No prob my friend. I get it. I didn’t accept we were in a bear market with no blow off top peak & got slaughtered in the February capitulation. Markets are crazy. Best to stay as zoomed out & rational as possible!
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@KC_BULLLL Please look at the math in this example. I beg you to hold MSTR over MSTX/U so you don’t get wiped out
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