All about $BTC $MSTR! The Future is ₿right! Not financial advice. Follow my libertarian page @libertariansdp
Joined November 2024
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In 2028-29, people will be LIVID at themselves for not stacking hard in the low $60’s / $50’s.
It will seem so o₿vious.
$BTC
We have only seen the 350w SMA fall to this sort of level below the Power Law once in $BTC’s history.
What happened soon after?
We went Vertical.
Stay patient.
Something I’ll be taking note of moving forward is the 350w SMA in relation to the Power Law.
When the 350w is above the Power Law that’s a good indication we are overextended & some profits should be taken.
When the 350w moves too far below the Power Law it becomes too cheap & is an extra good time to buy… We are in this time right now. It’s an outrageously good time to buy $BTC. 🚀
Don’t worry about $BTC price. It’ll keep sliding all around.
Focus on our Base. We have limited downside here & just had 2 nice crossings:
200w SMA $67k
350w SMA $51k
Also, Power Law crosses $65k on Wednesday.
Since I give $BTC a 99% chance of the low being in, why would I think it’s up in the air if the low is in for $MSTR at $81?
MSTR is a different company now than it was last cycle so there’s a chance this time is different… Perhaps we only get back to say $110…
But thus far we’ve been following what we did last Bear market pretty well… Last time we hit our low on the 2nd poke down below the 350w SMA. We’ve only had 1 poke below & our surge up set a lower high just like last time… Potentially setting up for a quick move down to hit our low in perhaps the $60’s before we can officially flip into a Bull market.
This isn’t me being Bearish at all. Just what I’m seeing when looking at it neutrally. If anything it’s Bullish. Either the low is in at $81 or it’s coming very soon. And then it’s 2-3 years of BULL. 🐂🚀
The biggest reason why I think there is a 99% chance that $57k was the $BTC low:
Last cycle we had 2 pokes at the Power Law & then a Levitation up… The same thing happened this time.
This support level is also obnoxious now with multiple years in this region… A quick snap back to the 200w SMA ($66k) is possible imo, but to get back there is absolutely not a guarantee either… Not only would it have to get back there, but it would need to go even lower AND break the Power Law by $8k… Good freakin luck. Hence the 99% chance.
Bear Models are so F’n dumb lol.
Can’t wait for the Bull to start Poppin off soon!! $BTC
$MSTX & $MSTU are 2x $MSTR. These should only be used intraday or in short hyperbullish periods.
Even with MSTR being a great hold long-term, the math on these is really bad & they’ll keep having to reverse split.
Quick Math Example: MSTR trades at $100. Loses 10% to $90. Loses another 10% to $81. Loses another 10% to $72.90. Gains 37% to get back to $100…
MSTU would lose 20% to $80. Lose 20% to $64. Lose 20% to $51.20. And even on the day it gains 74% it would only get back to $89.10…
In extremely short holds when MSTR is hyper bullish these are great… But over the long term you’ll get Slaughtered holding these.
@KC_BULLLL Please look at the math in this example. I beg you to hold MSTR over MSTX/U so you don’t get wiped out
$DDC is going to need to do a 50:1 or 100:1 reverse split pretty soon… My $0.24/share cost basis is looking terrible. 🫤
$ZBAO did a 1:50 reverse split on Monday.
They could literally do another 1:50 reverse split next week…
Why do I care? They hold 2,380 $BTC & are now at just a ~$8M market cap.
This is even more extreme dilution-wise than $DDC… These can always go down more… But if these can just get back to a 1:1 ratio w/ their Btc they have insane Upside.
$BTC Power Law Bottom is currently rising by ~$57/day.
Bears won’t accept that Bitcoin is a Force of Nature that rises forever… Bulls won’t accept how slowly this rises with % gains decelerating forever.
The perfect ₿alance. 👌
The last 2 Bear markets $BTC had 2 periods at the 200w SMA (currently $66k).
Will we see history repeat & we go back into upper $60’s / low $70’s before we officially Launch?
Or perhaps this time we only need 1 200w SMA period since we didn’t have a blow off top peak? 🤔
Will be interesting to see how this plays out!
$BTC Bears have a Knowledge Gap.
Physics. Mathematics. History. Economics.
₿ulls understand that ₿itcoin’s ₿ase (Power Law / 200-350w SMA’s) rises FOREVER. Literally. ⬆️ ⬆️
