Elon Musk just threw out IQ scores, degrees, and fancy vocabulary in one sentence. His definition of intelligence is brutal and simple: how accurately can you predict what happens next? Not how fast you read. Not how many books you’ve finished. Not how well you debate. Just — were you right about the future? Think about it. A chess grandmaster sees 20 moves ahead. A great investor sees where markets go before they get there. A great engineer sees failure points before they fail. They’re not “smart” because of how they performed in school. They’re smart because reality keeps confirming their predictions. And the same applies to AI. Elon doesn’t care how fluently a model writes or how impressive it sounds. He wants to know: does it get the future right? By that metric, most of what we call intelligence is just confidence wearing a costume.

Un investigador de Anthropic acaba de decirle a una sala llena de doctorandos que su plan de carrera ya no existe. La charla se titula "El fin del Antropoceno" y los datos son brutales: → El cómputo para entrenar modelos se multiplicó por 10 millones en la última década → La duración de las tareas que una IA completa sola se duplica cada pocos meses → Desde hace 7 meses los modelos resuelven problemas abiertos de Erdős que los matemáticos no habían logrado cerrar → En San Francisco, tener "timelines largos" significa pensar que la AGI llega en 10 años Su proyección: el cómputo de 2030 será 10.000 veces mayor que el de 2025. Todavía estamos al principio de la exponencial. Sus 3 consejos para los estudiantes: 1. Usa la IA cada día. Si estás sobre la exponencial, nunca te quedas atrás de ella. 2. Elige proyectos que mejoren cuando el cómputo escala. El resto quedará resuelto antes de que los termines. 3. Deja de planificar tu carrera como si fuera estable. La opción segura ya no compra seguridad, ya no existe. Y una frase que resume todo: "Escribir es pensar. Si externalizas tu escritura, externalizas tu pensamiento." La charla completa aquí ⬇️

BREAKING: The number of restaurants in New York dropped ~2,000 YoY in Q1 2026, posting its largest YoY decline in at least 36 years. This surpasses even the worst contraction recorded in any quarter during the 2020 pandemic. The number of eating and drinking places in New York State has now declined YoY for 4 consecutive quarters, its longest streak since 2021. This comes as restaurants are facing surging operating expenses, including insurance premiums, wages, interest rates, utilities, and health coverage, with overall costs rising faster than national averages. Last year, employee health insurance costs jumped +12.9% for New York-area service firms, business insurance rose +7.0%, while utility costs surged +8.5%, according to the Manhattan Chamber of Commerce. Skyrocketing costs are crushing New York restaurants.

Delta, Chase and Amazon are blocking AI agents. The war on agents has begun, and here’s how it probably plays out: Stage 1: Companies block agents because agents skip the ads and upsells. Stage 2: Agents learn to act like humans, and it becomes an arms race. Stage 3: The market splits. Companies that make money on sales let agents in, companies that make money on data charge for access, and the giants build their own agents. Stage 4: A trusted middle layer for agent identity and payments becomes the standard way in. Stage 5: Companies that welcome agents start winning customers from the ones that block them. Stage 6: The agent blockers come back and let agents in on their own terms. Stage 7: Everyone starts competing for agents with better prices, faster checkout and SEO built for agents. Stage 8: The ads come back, and companies pay to be your agent’s first recommendation. Stage 9: The agent war ends, and selling to agents becomes as normal as having a website.

So under Anthropic's bill, Anthropic can kill 49 people and steal up to a billion dollars before anyone can legally stop them

Literally, none of this makes any sense. They’re always telling us AI is gonna create these incredible futures, but how exactly? They never say. How is AI gonna double everybody’s lifespan within two years? This is just fraud at this point.

Optimus and Cybercab will be the vast majority of Tesla’s value. The only things that will scale to incredible size (K2 and beyond) economically are super intelligence, robots, solar power and mass to space. And, of course, if you have the first two, the rest will follow. But Roadster is super cool, so we’re doing it anyway.