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Joined April 2025
Chalkboard 50% Boost🚀 7x💰 1. Jaylen Brown O19.5 Points💎 2. Josh Hart O11.5 RA💎 3. Dylan Harper O21.5 PRA💎 4. Jalen Williams O7.5 RA💎 5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O5.5 Assists💎
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NBA POTD #1🏀 (Oct. 20th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. Jalen Williams O8.5 RA (-135) We really like this spot for Jalen Williams against San Antonio, especially when looking at his production in games where he gets his normal minutes. Last season, Williams cleared 8.5 RA in 15/22 games (68.2%) when playing 25+ minutes, averaging 10.3 rebounds + assists. The road split is even better, clearing this line in all 9 qualifying road games (100%). That consistency is encouraging considering OKC travels to San Antonio for this matchup. The head-to-head numbers also support this play. Williams has cleared this line in 80% of his matchups against the Spurs when playing at least 25 minutes. Looking at his last 10 meetings with San Antonio, he’s averaging 10.9 RA, with several games finishing comfortably above this number. The biggest factor here is playing time. When Williams gets 25+ minutes, his combination of rebounding opportunities and playmaking gives him multiple ways to clear this line. He doesn’t need an exceptional game in either category, just his usual involvement on both ends. With strong road splits, consistent production against San Antonio, and a line sitting below his qualifying averages, we like Williams to get to 9+ RA again.
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MNF POTD🏈 (Oct. 19th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. George Kittle 15+ Rec Yards each half (-130) • 53.5 receiving yards per game, averaging 4.2 receptions on 5.6 targets, trailing only Mike Evans (23.9% target share, 31.5% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (19.7%) and first read target share (24.7%) • 58.7 receiving yards per game playing at least 50% of the team’s offensive snaps, and/or running more than 15 routes, averaging 5.0 receptions on 6.3 targets, still trailing only Evans (27.9% target share, 36.2% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (22.1%) and first read target share (25.9%) • Evans is questionable, currently leading the 49ers with a 23.9% target share and 31.5% first read target share • Deebo Samuel is out, vacating a 14.1% target share and 13.5% first read target share • 74.5 receiving yards per game in 2 career meetings against the Commanders with Brock Purdy under center, averaging 4.5 receptions on 6.0 targets, trailing only Brandon Aiyuk (31.3% target share, 33.3% first read target share), who is out, for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (25.0%) and first read target share (28.2%) • The Commanders are 23rd in EPA per pass (0.05), 26th in DVOA against the pass (20.0%), and 31st in DVOA against tight ends (40.9%), allowing the 11th-most targets (8.2), the 7th-most receptions (6.4), and the 5th-most receiving yards (74.4) per game to the position
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NFL POTD #1🏈 (Oct. 18th) Collab w/@PropKitchen 👨‍🍳 1. Kenneth Walker O19.5 Rush Atts(-104) Walker has been everything Andy Reid & Patrick Mahomes were looking for out of a running back and with two starting WRs out, we expect another high volume game for him against the Chargers. Walker has went over this line in 3/4 games, with an average of 21.8 rushing attempts per game. He has received 87 carries compared to only 16 for Emmett Johnson, giving Walker roughly 85% of the rushing attempts between Kansas City’s two primary backs. In the Chiefs’ last game, Walker handled all 22 RB carries and accounted for 23 of 24 total RB opportunities. Kansas City has been one of the more committed rushing offenses in football, ranking 11th in team rush rate while producing one of the league’s most efficient designed rushing attacks. Walker's 134.3 rushing yards per game leads the NFL & with Rashee Rice out and Kansas City coming off the bye, there’s little reason to expect them to move away from a rushing attack that has been working. The Chargers have consistently allowed opponents to build volume on the ground, ranking 30th in opponent rushing attempts, 31st in early down rush rate allowed and 28th against RB rushing attempts. Several primary backs have already cleared their individual rushing attempt lines against Los Angeles: ✅ James Cook: 24 RA (Line: 17.5) ✅ Ashton Jeanty: 21 RA (Line: 15.5) ✅ Emanuel Wilson: 21 RA (Line: 13.5) ✅ J.K. Dobbins: 18 RA (Line: 13.5) Kansas City enters as roughly a 7.5 point home favorite, giving Walker a strong path to another full workload if the Chiefs control the game. Opponents are averaging more than 31 team rushing attempts per game against the Chargers, and Walker has been taking such a large percentage of Kansas City’s backfield work that the Chiefs don’t need an extreme run heavy game for him to reach 20 carries. Walker has established himself as the clear engine of Kansas City’s rushing attack, and the matchup gives the Chiefs every reason to keep feeding him. With his backfield control and a favorable game script at home, we like KW9 to go over this line again for us!
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TNF POTD🏈 (Oct. 15th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. Jason Myers O1.5 PATs (-154) Keeping this one pretty simple. Myers has made at least 2 extra points in 4 out of 5 (80%), converting a season-high 4 PATs in the lone road outing (Week 2), averaging 2.8 entering Week 6, and ranked top-6 among all kickers With Sam Darnold starting and/or playing more than 5 snaps, Myers has made multiple PATs in 3/3 (100%), averaging 3.9 from Weeks 3-5 Entering TNF, Seattle is currently a slight -2.5-point favorite on the road with a 21.5-point team total, priced at -330 to score 2+ touchdowns Over the last 2 seasons, Myers has been one of the most reliable kickers in the league, converting 73 out of a possible 74 (98.6%) PATs
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PrizePicks x Taco Tuesday #1👨‍🍳 4.5x💰 1. Jose Ramirez O1.5 HFS🌮 2. Parker Messick U5.5 HA💎 3. Bobby McMann O1.5 SOG💎 4. Mitch Marner O1.5 SOG💎
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Chalkboard FREE Square🏈 3.29x💰 1. Jalon Daniels O0.5 Pass Yards⚡️ 2. CeeDee Lamb O4.5 Recs💎 3. Chris Godwin Jr. O3.5 Recs💎
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TNF FREE Square x PrizePicks🏈 4.25x💰 1. Dak Prescott O0.5 Pass Yards⚡️ 2. CeeDee Lamb O24.5 Longest Rec💎 3. Chris Godwin Jr. O24.5 Rec Yards💎 4. Javonte Williams O1.5 Recs💎
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TNF POTD #2🏈 (Oct. 8th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. CeeDee Lamb 20+ Rec Yards Each Half(-135) ✍️@SC_FFB • 29+ 1st-half receiving yards in 3/4 (75%) games, including 3/L3 (100%), and 2/2 (100%) at home, averaging 4.3 receptions on 5.0 targets for 45.5 yards, leading the Cowboys with a 27.4% target share in quarters 1-2 • 34+ 2nd-half receiving yards in 4/4 (100%) games, averaging 5.0 receptions on 6.5 targets for a league-high 79.0 yards, leading the Cowboys with a 33.8% target share in quarters 3-4 • Career-high 17 receptions on 21 targets this past weekend (10/04/26), totaling 49 1st-half receiving yards and 140 2nd-half receiving yards, leading the Cowboys with a 46.7% target share on the day • 24+ 1st-half receiving yards and 44+ 2nd-half receiving yards in 2/2 (100%) games against the Buccaneers with Dak Prescott active and playing through the 4th quarter, averaging 5.5 receptions on 10.5 targets for 86.0 and a touchdown, leading the Cowboys with a 23.1% target share • The Buccaneers are a pass-funnel defense, ranked 2nd in EPA/rush (-0.25) and 5th in DVOA against the rush (-27.2%), already allowing the 2nd-most yards after catch (523) this season, and will be without starting cornerback Benjamin Morris and All-Pro safety Antoine Winfield Jr.
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TNF POTD🏈 (Oct. 8th) Collab w/@PropKitchen 👨‍🍳 1. Chris Godwin Jr. O27.5 Rec Yards(-115) #WeAreTheKrewe With Baker Mayfield out, we still like the path for Godwin to clear this number with Daniels under center. In Daniels’ last start without Baker, he attempted 27 passes, so the passing volume was still there. Godwin was also clearly involved, finishing with 7 targets, 6 receptions, and 31 receiving yards. This does not require Godwin to break a big play or have a ceiling game. He just needs to stay active in the short-to-intermediate passing game, where he can be a reliable outlet for Daniels. If Tampa keeps the offense simple, Godwin should continue seeing quick looks and chain-moving targets. The matchup also supports it. Dallas has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to wide receivers, so there should be room for WR production in this spot. If Tampa is playing from behind or forced into a pass-heavy script, that only helps Godwin’s volume. Similar usage should be enough for Godwin to get over 27.5 again.
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MLB POTD #1⚾️ (Oct. 6th) Collab w/@DDOGGSTACKS 🐶 1. Dodgers ML (-104) #Dodgers ✍️@DDOGGSTACKS Love backing the Dodgers here. The series is tied 1-1 after Atlanta took Game 2, but I’m not too concerned about that loss. Los Angeles had its chances offensively and went 0 for 8 with runners in scoring position. That’s not something I expect this lineup to keep doing, especially with the amount of talent up and down the order. The biggest reason I like LA here is the pitching matchup. Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers, and he’s been exactly the type of arm they can rely on in a spot like this. He finished the regular season 14-9 with a 2.53 ERA and gives Los Angeles a major advantage on the mound. Atlanta will counter with Chris Sale, but I’d rather trust Yamamoto and the Dodgers rotation in this spot. Then there’s the Dodgers lineup. Freddie Freeman and Max Muncy have already went deep in this series, and there’s simply too much depth for this offense to stay quiet for long. If LA can convert a few more of the opportunities it had in Game 2, I expect the offense to look much better here. Atlanta already got its momentum swing by stealing Game 2. Now I’m looking for the Dodgers to answer. Give us LA behind Yamamoto, the deeper lineup, and the overall pitching advantage to bounce back and take Game 3.
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NFL POTD #1🏈 (Sept. 4th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. Drake London O4.5 Recs (-148) #DirtyBirds Running this one back with London. When Penix is under center, London has been a completely different level of reliable. He’s cleared this line in 12 of his last 15 games with Penix, and the volume has been very consistent in this setup. In Penix’s return game, London immediately saw 10 targets and turned them into 9 catches, which shows the chemistry is still there and that he’s clearly the first read in this offense. The matchup also lines up well. New Orleans ranks 26th in receptions allowed to WRs, so this is a defense that has been giving up volume through the air. London doesn’t need a huge yardage game here, he just needs 5 catches, and his target share gives him a strong path to get there. Game script helps too. Atlanta comes in as slight dogs, which should keep them aggressive and force more passing volume if they’re playing from behind or chasing points late. That benefits London more than anyone else in this offense. With Penix back, London’s role is clear: high target share, reliable usage, and a matchup that allows WR receptions. At 4.5, I like him to clear this again. Join Sam’s Club and never miss out on plays like this! Use Code “Demon” for 20% off!🔥
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