Hunting early crypto projects & dissecting failures. https://xitter.cf/t.co/wefHb1qPvb
Joined April 2022
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Alpha Frog retweeted
Every coin that graduates on StonkFun now gets a FREE Moby Pro upgrade.
The upgrade gives your coin a verified page on @mobyagent, where 50K+ traders can discover it.
See every whale holding the coin, and whale buys get posted to @whalewatchalert automatically.
Alpha Frog retweeted
$ALLINU One of the strongest low-cap charts I’ve seen in a long time.
Beyond having a top-tier narrative, the price action here is showing some serious underlying strength, and I think the market is significantly underestimating what’s developing.
Nearly two weeks of sideways consolidation, sustained supply absorption, and remarkable relative strength despite the recent market-wide flush.
Let’s break down why this setup looks so compelling.
Over the past two weeks, Allinuhas been trading within a well-defined accumulation range. What makes this particularly interesting is what’s happening beneath the surface.
Supply is progressively being absorbed by net whale inflows, while the largest holders continue to demonstrate strong conviction. Top holders are showing little willingness to distribute, even throughout the recent volatility.
Meanwhile, weaker hands appear to have been shaken out during the major market flush, potentially removing a significant portion of the short-term selling pressure. Which to me is essential to get a new clean uptrend structure.
And this is where the price action becomes particularly telling.
Despite the severity of the recent market correction, Allinu refused to break down significantly.
For a low-cap asset, this kind of relative strength is noteworthy. Under similar conditions, many smaller-cap tokens experience substantially deeper retracements. Yet Allinu managed to defend its accumulation zone and establish what appears to be a clear double-bottom formation, accompanied by a bullish divergence.
That combination suggests that selling momentum is weakening while buyers are increasingly willing to defend these levels.
Now look at the volatility structure.
Following the capitulation event, trading volume has progressively declined, and the Bollinger Bands have tightened considerably.
Price is becoming increasingly compressed between a major descending resistance and the established accumulation zone.
This creates an interesting technical convergence:
->Nearly two weeks of sideways accumulation.
-> Persistent whale inflows absorbing available supply.
-> Strong holder conviction despite market-wide weakness.
-> A potential double bottom supported by bullish divergence.
-> Declining sell-side pressure following the capitulation flush.
-> Significant Bollinger Band compression beneath descending resistance.
The important part is how all these signals are developing simultaneously.
Individually, none of these indicators guarantees a breakout. But together, they paint a compelling picture of a market potentially transitioning from capitulation into accumulation, with available supply gradually being absorbed.
And when supply contracts while demand begins to recover, price can move aggressively.
This is why I believe Allinu is approaching a particularly interesting inflection point.
If broader market momentum returns and price breaks through the descending resistance with convincing volume, the first logical upside target would be a rapid move toward R1. A successful reclaim of that level could then open the door to a much larger continuation, potentially bringing previous all-time highs back into focus.
Of course, the bullish structure still needs confirmation, and losing the accumulation range would weaken this thesis.
But the combination of relative strength, apparent supply absorption, holder conviction, bullish divergence, and extreme volatility compression makes this setup stand out.
The most impressive part isn’t that Allinu has held up well in a strong market. It’s that it has held up remarkably well in a weak one. That’s the kind of relative strength I pay attention to. One of the cleanest and most compelling low-cap accumulation structures I’ve seen in a long time.
$ALLINU looks like a chart worth watching very closely. The question now is are you all in or not yet?
Alpha Frog retweeted
Allinu as close as you can be to all bottom signals on @sparsitydata, as well as moving up the holder strength leaderboard.
Dinged due to being a newer coins, though something tells me we continue climb.
Onchain awful but metrics improving?
Allinu.
Alpha Frog retweeted
solana:4MMQY9bwkxxTtsK3W227Q5ABT6yFY8Pmn9Ze7wmAXKY8 and solana:8t5C4AWDg4CroMChxdo7rG2e8nJM31QG2GG7Czx9X7x2 are now verified on @HolderScan.
Know what you’re all in on.
Alpha Frog retweeted
If you have been here for a few cycles you will understand this.
Once a meta becomes "solved" - i.e, the extraction model is > than your likelihood to profit, then said meta ends.
This happened with NFTs, and now with memes.
Simply put...
You cannot make profit the same way over different cycles.
Because no meta is ever multi cycle.
If you got lucky on one meta, do not extrapolate that to you being profitable in another.
Memecoin traders losing it all on perps is a good example, and it's the same as NFT traders losing it all on memes.
You are not a genius. Understanding when to take chips off the table OR find a new table to play at is the most important skillset.
Do not be pysopped.
i haven't lost it all. but i've watched enough people around me lose everything to know exactly how it happens, and i'm making sure i'm not next. you should too
2 minutes. that's all i'm asking
the trenches are not what they were. i'm not talking about price action or bear markets. i've been through those. this is different. the entire structure around crypto has become a machine designed to extract every dollar from you through as many doors as possible
let's start with what's obvious. you can't scroll for 30 seconds without seeing a gambling ad. every "trader" on your timeline has a casino link in their bio or a prediction market promo in their pinned. they're not winning. they're getting paid to make you think they're winning
"lost 500k trading, made it back on blackjack" - no he didn't. he got paid for the ad and his session happened to hit on camera. the promotion IS the income. the gambling content IS the business model. your signup IS the product. these guys are broke and they're making money by making sure you go broke too
now zoom out. where is the liquidity going?
10 prediction platforms. 1,000 gambling sites. 10,000,000 memecoins. every one of them competing for the same pool of degen money. during the last bear it was 1 platform, 100 sites, 10,000 coins. even if total liquidity stayed the same (which it didn't) it's now split 10x more ways. there is mathematically not enough money to make everyone win. it will only get worse as more platforms, more casinos, more tokens launch every single day
memecoins specifically, the game is over in the way most people play it. hidden bundles nuking 24/7. millions of dead tokens clogging every chain. no buy pressure after the first 8 hours. legit devs getting destroyed because the chart dies before anyone even finds it, while bundlers win because they control the supply and the narrative from block one
you buy a coin, you look away for 5 minutes, it's down 80%. that's not trading. that's not investing. that's a slot machine that lets you watch your money disappear in real time on a candlestick chart
and the KOLs? the ones you follow for "alpha"? most of them are broke. genuinely broke. the calls don't make them money, the promos do. the casino links do. the paid group subscriptions do. they're not trading successfully, they're monetizing your attention while you lose
crypto's reputation is destroyed and it's not because of bitcoin or the tech. it's because every touchpoint a normal person has with this space is either a scam, a gamble, or someone trying to sell them something. the trust is gone. the people who would bring fresh liquidity into this market look at CT and see a casino floor, not an investment opportunity
so here's where i land
i'm not quitting. i'm not posting a farewell letter and walking away. but i'm playing completely differently now
i'm not touching memescope. i'm not flipping 30 coins a day. i'm not following casino KOLs. i'm not chasing narratives that have a 2-hour shelf life. i'm not being exit liquidity for people who were in the telegram before the chart existed
i'm finding 1-2 things i actually believe in, buying them, and holding. researching like it matters. sitting in communities that talk about the thesis not the price. letting conviction do the work instead of speed
because here's what i know: the people who survive this period are the ones who stop playing the game everyone else is playing. the 8-second flippers will all blow up eventually (the math guarantees it. the casino degens will lose it all) the odds guarantee it. the people following broke KOLs will stay broke, the incentives guarantee it
i haven't lost it all. and i'm going to make sure i don't by refusing to play a game that's designed for me to lose
if you're reading this and you're still in, ask yourself honestly: are you trading or are you gambling? are you investing or are you pulling a lever? do you believe in what you're holding or are you just hoping someone slower than you shows up to buy it?
if the answer is uncomfortable, it should be. that discomfort is the moment before you either change or lose everything
i chose to change, and i'm still here
you can keep playing their game, or you can start playing yours
Alpha Frog retweeted
Warhol's Awards: Protocol of the Year Award
This is a teaser of the event I'm planning to host throughout December.
TL;DR: I'm choosing the BEST protocol of 2025.
The grand prize will be... ME (?)
I will be a LOYAL AMBASSADOR of this protocol in 2026.
- I will deploy my social organic support
- I will be testing their new features & share
- I will be doing my best to increase their mindshare
During the next 2 weeks, I will be dropping polls where CT needs to choose 1/4 protocols by categories (best airdrop, best innovation, etc)
All initial poll winners will also get a special commemorative thing from me.
As polls progress, we'll reach the semi-final and the grand FINAL that will determine the winner.
Let's start?
Alpha Frog retweeted
Magma Points Program is Live 🌋
Put your $gMON to work to earn points and staking yield. Check out all the opportunities below 👇
blog.magmastaking.xyz/p/magm…
Track your progress here 👇
magmastaking.xyz/points
Alpha Frog retweeted
Polymarket Analytics tools that will make you a better trader:
Prediction markets are already moving beyond the crypto niche and becoming mainstream.
To become a profitable trader, you'll need to use tools that give you an edge:
⇾ @poly_data one of the most well-known yet very useful platforms: top traders, portfolios, market activity, and insiders. great for copy-trading
⇾ @PolyAlertHub
alerts straight to your telegram: whales, market, traders, price, etc.
⇾ @hash_dive
advanced Polymarket and Kalshi analytics. recently added the Potential Insiders Dashboard. candlestick charts, traders' scores, trends and more.
⇾ @PredictFolio
great free tool, suitable for beginners: trader analysis, portfolio tracker, top traders list.
••••••
⇾ @Polysights
AI-powered analytics platform for Polymarket traders. AI market insights, arbitrage detection, real-time data tables, 30+ custom metrics.
⇾ @parsec_finance
customizable dashboards, multi-outcome holder tracking, flow analytics, live trades stream, historical OI charts, wallet profiles
⇾ @polymtrade
mobile trading terminal available on both the App Store and Google Play.
⇾ @Dune
occasionally, there are good dashboards that can provide some insights or just be useful.
Alpha Frog retweeted
ready to level up your timeline again?
here's another batch from Pill's DeFi researcher list 👇
@wist_defi → can't miss if you're navigating DeFi - drops gem after gem on liquidity shifts, AI-blockchain mashups, and underrated plays like $EIGEN's explosion or Endless Protocol's Web3 empire build
@arndxt_xo → starts the week dishing out macro-related news for you to understand the week ahead. someone who's not only knowledgeable but also approachable - one who Pill calls fren
@cryppinfluence → cross-chain, testnets, airdrops - if it moves, he's probably farmed it already. perfect follow if you like to stay two steps ahead of where points and incentives are flowing next
@CipherResearchx → think of Cipher as the “explain like I’m 15” crypto buddy. takes messy topics (MEV, L2s, tokenomics) and turns them into short, punchy posts you actually finish
@AlphaFrog13 → blueprint for smart airdrop farming - tactical, early, no fluff. if you’ve ever wondered how people “just knew” what to farm before it popped….this is probably where they learned
@green_but_red - doesn’t chase noise and rather decodes where the smart money’s rotating next. a must-follow if you’re building conviction while everyone else’s charts are bleeding
non-exhaustive list here and Pill know's there're many more who bring the alpha (might have mentioned them previously)
let Pill know who's missing from this list 👇
Alpha Frog retweeted
airdrops are dumb
- tanks your chart
- inhibits price discovery
- does zero for adoption
- not connected to a funnel or desired metric/behavior
- lazy alignment
most airdrops come before there is any usable product, so ppl get their free magic internet money, sell it and call it a day
‘But it creates alignment?!’ - does it? Maybe ppl will think twice before posting something negative but that’s hardly a win. You should take the hard road of building advocates, and giving ppl a bit of free money isn’t the way
We got backed into airdrops by regulatory pressures. It’s time to move away from them and towards a model that benefits your project long terms
Alpha Frog retweeted
SCALEs are live to mint on @MagicEden
These are not just NFTs, these are your Proof of Community. They’re built alongside ROARRRs as the cornerstone of our program 🐲🔥
Refresh yourself on the topic here 👉 blog.magmastaking.xyz/p/roar…
