A. Ayya (@AkshIye) header
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Retweets and replies only. Views my own.

Joined August 2013
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Hey @grok who’s the most famous person to visit my feed? Don’t tag them just tell me here.
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Who’s president right now in the alternate universe where Obama picked Evan Bayh as his running mate?
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I wouldn’t be shocked in (unlike 2010) losses are more concentrated in blue states.
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Would explain some of the weird polling, like narrowish national GOP leads and numbers in swing and red states that don’t look radically different from 2020, but bad polls in places like CA and NY.
I think the degree to which educational polarization and urban housing intersect is an under appreciated phenomenon. Being 42, from a white flight suburban family and having lived in only cities since I turned 18 in 1998, I feel like I kind of lived a big sea change
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Couldn't be happier that a famous prof. (@owasow) advertised my forthcoming Journal of Politics article w/ @jsjoo3 and @the_alexchan before this announcement. Read on for details about it, my best work to date. #RStats #poliscitwitter #protest #css doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2019-b…
New study analyzes 4.6M geolocated tweets with images to estimate state & protester violence by city-day. Finds light state violence increases protester mobilization while severe levels repress. Protester violence consistently reduces future protest size. preprints.apsanet.org/engage…
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I don’t get it, why “permanent daylight savings” vs shifting everyone forward one time zone?
Resetting our clocks twice a year worked for Americans a century ago, but it’s time for a change. Instead of regularly disrupting our lives, we can make Daylight Savings Time permanent and give families more sunlight to enjoy after work and school.
Replying to @chrislhayes
There are aggressive moves from even just mainstream Dems in the senate, but Pelosi has shown a lack of political imagination its reported that she flatly rejected Furman’s proposal last week. Nor has the presumed nominee put out a big stimulus/income support plan yet.
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Had completely forgotten this great Classic Simpsons bit.
I’m not sure they had a choice. In 2016 and 2017 most were fine with advocating a soft Brexit. The problem was that when May’s support collapsed and the right fled her plan, Labour supporters — and half the country — swung towards wanting to reverse.
Yes. My earlier take—Labour should go hard in remain—was obviously wrong. But not choosing was (as I also said) a disaster. Voters want decisiveness on major issues from politicians and that was the only way to cut thru Brexit ASAP which voters wanted—they were sick of it.
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And I wouldn’t underestimate that Corbyn’s unpopularity was a cause for their northern losses as much as Brexit. And contributed to Lib Dems’ poor showing — both bc of Labour refusal to form tactical alliances and bc voters expected LDs to back a Corbyn-led govt.
80s Cleveland Park could’ve used some YIMBY’s... cc @mattyglesias @MarketUrbanism @YIMBY_Princeton
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It's genuinely incredible how many things in the UK would likely solve themselves overnight if Labour would just shoot Jeremy Corbyn into the sun
New proposal w/ @jasonfurman and Willie Powell would reduce cyclical pressures on state budgets by increasing the federal share of Medicaid/CHIP costs when unemployment is high: hamiltonproject.org/papers/i…
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Replying to @xenocryptsite
@xenocryptsite Something I’ve long found funny is that these kinds of analyses always exclude 1948, for... reasons. Kondik here is using “elected/re-elected” (also excl ‘65), others sometimes just date “postwar” to 1952(?). Real reason just seems to be that 1948 was ... weird.
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“Re-elected presidents never have big coattails or flip Congressional control back to their party ... except that one time they did, but never mind that.”
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