Associate Professor | Author of the Spiegel bestseller "Wenn China angreift" (C.H.Beck, 2026) and "Germany and China" (2024) | Views my own | RTs ≠ endorsements
兄弟爬山，各自努力
Joined October 2010
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𝐈𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟖. 𝐀 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐞 𝐟𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐣𝐞𝐭 𝐜𝐫𝐚𝐬𝐡𝐞𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐓𝐚𝐢𝐰𝐚𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐞 𝐚𝐢𝐫𝐬𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐞, 𝐁𝐞𝐢𝐣𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐛𝐥𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐬 𝐓𝐚𝐢𝐩𝐞𝐢 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐬. 𝐁𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐭𝐨𝐧 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐩𝐨𝐧𝐝𝐬, 𝐓𝐚𝐢𝐰𝐚𝐧 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐚𝐥𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐱𝐞𝐝.
That is the opening salvo of If China Attacks, the English edition of my book Wenn China angreift, which @HurstPublishers will publish in March 2027. The German original came out with @CHBeckLiteratur in March 2026 and became an instant bestseller.
I wrote the book as a warning and not as a forecast. Red teaming and counterfactual history let us see what the West is not yet prepared for, and the book ends with an argument that there is still time to deter Beijing, including through open military support for Taiwan.
@campbellclaret recommended it on The Rest Is Politics, which is part of why an English edition now exists.
Pre-order link in the first comment.
#Taiwan #China #Geopolitics
#IfChinaAttacks
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Outrage on both sides of the aisle, as Trump has apparently given the reins of government to the Kremlin, having AGAIN turned off Ukraine defenses.
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
The WSJ editorial board states outright: “…there needs to be a bipartisan reckoning for Mr. Trump’s budding alliance with the Kremlin against Ukraine, Europe and American interests.”
wsj.com/opinion/to-russia-wi…
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
“The fact that Min Zin, an American citizen, was specifically lured to China under the guise of an academic conference to be arrested should terrify any prospective American student.” Youlin Chen is another American citizen and academic being wrongfully detained in China. He has been detained since November 2024. ➡️ Carrie Filipetti of @VandenbergCo writes for
@WashTimesOpEd
washingtontimes.com/news/202…
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Rubio channeling his inner Mike Johnson — expect a lot of “I don’t know, I haven’t heard, I have to look into this” nonsense from people whose job it is to know and who can find out within 2 seconds if they wanted to.
WATCH!! “What happened last night I don’t know exactly” — Rubio tells me he can’t confirm reports that Kyiv received no early warning before Russian ballistic missiles struck Kyiv overnight, citing a lack of information.
He acknowledged a separate early-warning system software issue days earlier, but said the U.S. has not changed its diplomatic footprint in Kyiv
👇
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
10 years ago today, the third and final Clinton v Trump debate, with the famous “puppet” exchange about Putin:
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
When I read these post from Trump blaming Ukraine and siding with russia, I can’t help but ask how can a man become so morally deprived as to side with the aggressor and blame the victim.
I also don’t get people who end up supporting this moral bankruptcy. Are they really that morally broken? Or just blinded?
I am thinking of the Gospel of Matthew, chapter 13, where Jesus says “though seeing, they do not see; though hearing, they do not hear or understand.”
Like literally, the devil has such a hold on people that they cannot distinguish light from darkness, good from evil.
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Reisende in einem ICE müssen ihren Augen nicht getraut haben: Als der Zug eigentlich in Fulda halten sollte, zog der Bahnsteig vorbei – der Lokführer hatte den Halt vergessen. trib.al/0hQGLWM
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
If, when and how the war ends will be decided by Washington, Beijing, Moscow and Kyiv, not Brussels. So much for a sovereign Europe!
Russian President Vladimir Putin has proposed a meeting with President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping next month to decide Ukraine's fate, according to people familiar with the discussions -WSJ
wsj.com/world/russia/putin-f…
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Completely delusional. Two least popular leaders in Europe - Merz and Macron - are meant to build ‘a stronger Europe for the 21st century’ 🤦🏻♂️
.@_FriedrichMerz should distance himself from the domestic bickering about economic policy and migration, and instead make it his mission to work with @EmmanuelMacron on building a stronger Europe for the 21st century, Jan-Werner Mueller suggests. project-syndicate.org/commen…
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
If you run an anti-Western dictatorship, you can count on🗒️:
Western center-left may ignore your crimes👍
Western far left and far right will support them👍
Western businessmen will finance your regime👍
Western conservative politicians may ignore that👍
Western peace movement will blame your victims👍
Western peace researchers will provide an "academic explanation" for that claim👍
Western media will invite your defenders and supporters to talk shows👍
Western travel influencers will tell the world how beautiful and safe your country is👍
Western professors will tell us that because of Realpolitik, NATO is also to blame for your crimes👍
Western conspiracy theorists will tell us that "the Jews fabricated" your war crimes👍
The Pope will call upon "both sides" to make peace👍
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Macht ohne Verantwortung.
Das ist der Kern der Kleptokratie und der Pfad dorthin ist mit den Trümmern der Demokratie gepflastert.
Dies beschreibt auch @AllanLichtman als Motivation hinter der erschreckenden Gefolgschaft der GOP in den USA.
youtube.com/watch?v=MGo2AEiz…
Kolumne: Eine Demokratie, die eine bleiben will, muss wachsam sein, um sich nicht in eine #Kleptokratie zu verwandeln. Die USA: mahnendes Beispiel. Trump, Putin, Musk, das saudische Königshaus - Kleptokraten dealen gerne miteinander. Auch bei uns gibt es Möchtegern-Kleptokraten.
ALT MEINUNG •Kleptokratie Der Staat als Beute Christian Stöcker Eine Kolumne von Christian Stöcker Diese Woche hat sich Donald Trump explizit von der Ukraine abgewandt und auf Wladimir Putins Seite gestellt. Und Elon Musk hat mitgemacht. Warum? Auch, weil alle drei eine bestimmte Weltsicht verbindet. 18.10.2026, 10.01 Uhr
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Minulý týden jsem strávil v Taipei, kde jsme pořádali další simulaci čínské strategické eskalace.
Tady pár veřejný dat, co by čínský útok na Taiwan znamenal:
⚬ Podle analýz Bloomberg Economics by čínská invaze na Tchaj-wan stála globální ekonomiku v prvním roce 10 bilionů USD (cca 10 % světového HDP), přičemž samotné státy Evropské unii by zaznamenaly propad HDP přesahující 5 %, což je hlubší pokles než během finanční krize v roce 2008 nebo pandemie covidu-19.
⚬ Tchaj-wan kontroluje přes 90 % celosvětové kapacity výroby nejvyspělejších mikročipů (pod 7 nm) a více než 60 % celkové světové produkce čipů. Přerušení dodávek by v EU ze dne na den způsobilo akutní nedostatek komponentů pro automobilový průmysl, zdravotnickou techniku i spotřební elektroniku.
⚬ Tchajwanským průlivem ročně propluje přes 21 % celosvětového námořního obchodu (zboží v hodnotě 2,45 trilionu USD) a téměř polovina světové kontejnerové flotily. Námořní blokáda nebo konflikt by znamenaly okamžitou paralyzaci přímých dodavatelských tras mezi Evropou a Východní Asií.
⚬ Výzkumné centrum CSIS a Rhodium Group odhadují, že kvůli kombinaci západních sankcí, námořních blokád a přerušení financování obchodu s Čínou by celosvětový objem obchodu klesl o dvouciferné procentní hodnoty, což by v EU vyvolalo skokovou inflaci a výpadky v dodávkách průmyslových meziproduktů.
⚬ Vzhledem k tomu, že 10 největších odběratelů tchajwanské TSMC reprezentuje tržní kapitalizaci blízkou 14 trilionům USD, výpadek výroby by okamžitě vedl k masivní korekci na evropských i globálních akciových trzích a k dlouhodobému znehodnocení majetku.
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
President Xi’s aim is to make the world dependent on China, while China depends on no one.
Without a coalition of countries to counter it, he will succeed.
thetimes.com/comment/columni…
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
🚨Do not travel to China
The US has updated its travel advisory for China with a high risk warning for unlawful detention. Which should have been done a long time ago
The Chinese government can arbitrarily ban anyone from leaving the country. Two Americans Min Zin and seismologist Youlin Chen have recently been detained.
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
#Taiwan: Lee Ming-che shares 5-year Chinese imprisonment with European audiences -
During his stop in #Berlin, Lee reunited with veteran German journalist Michael Leh, who had reported on Lee’s detention and called for international attention to his case
rti.org.tw/en/news?uid=3&pid…
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
If Musk is responsible for weakening Ukraine's defenses at this critical time, his businesses need to be excluded from any critical infrastructure in Europe. Not as a sanction, but as self-protection.
Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
I’m sure this is all completely spontaneous and Russia has nothing to do with this either in France or Italy
“There is much to fear from artificial intelligence developed in China and handed to businesses and governments in the west almost free of charge.” theguardian.com/business/202…
