@4st8

PA politics n’at

 PGH
benforstate.com
Joined September 2012
  • Tweets16.1K
  • Following1.9K
  • Followers13.6K
1.9KMedia
Ben Forstate retweeted
State Navigate@StateNavigateOct 15
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨 SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP) HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP) HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP) HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP) HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3 HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP) articles.statenavigate.com/p…

Democrats Gain in Pennsylvania Legislative Polling

Democrats are gaining in most of our polls across the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

articles.statenavigate.com
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So many things happening here. 1. George Santos is a voter in PA8? 2. PA Dems called him to canvass??? 3. He’s considering supporting Shapiro????
George Santos
@GeorgesantosOct 14
Democrats are legitimately calling the opposition! What are we doing @GOP @PAGOP ??? 🤯
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Thoroughly enjoyed this
Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombeOct 12
🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨 I wrote about the top 20 strangest state legislative races in 2026: 10 crazy, 10 interesting. Arrested incumbents, write-ins, party-switchers, slurs, pedophiles, Nazis, and more. Our best article of 2026. Enjoy! projects.statenavigate.com/f…

The 20 strangest state legislative races of 2026

Party switches. Arrested incumbents. And of course, write-ins.

projects.statenavigate.com
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As I said when I took the gavel, voter registration would be a top priority!
Political Polls
@PpollingNumbersOct 5
New - Voter registration - Pennsylvania 🔵 Democrats +25,439 🔴 Republicans +7,114
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I didn’t really visit the area in the red circle until I was 30
ava⸆⸉⏳@longliveogstanOct 2
I forget there’s more to Pennsylvania than the red circle
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Independents traditionally haven’t performed well in Pennsylvania so this is uh … wow
Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombeOct 3
Replying to @ChazNuttycombe
Up to 331 now in SD-46. Borello has a 2-point lead currently. We'll contact more folks tomorrow at 2 PM Eastern to get a larger sample size.
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Ben Forstate retweeted
Tom Bonier
@tbonierOct 3
Almost 80% of the votes cast in PA so far come from registered Dems, exceeding the Dem share from this point in 2024 and 2022. Dems could pick up 3-4 congressional seats in the state.
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Ben Forstate retweeted
Allan Smith@akarl_smithOct 1
This is what assimilating to Pittsburgh culture looks like
Mike Beauvais@MikeBeauvaisOct 1
Mike Tomlin was a Super Bowl-winning coach and yet his heart truly belonged to urban planning in a midsized, sustainable city.
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Ben Forstate retweeted
matt mohn@mattmxhnOct 1
Replying to @4st8
your thesis is basically right, they voted the ~same in 1992 and 2020 after OH caught up but 2012 (when nate map starts) was the year with the widest gap
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I’ve thought about this a lot. My guess is some combination of different demographics and Western PA having gone through the worst of deindustrialization earlier than much of Ohio.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538Oct 1
This map was more interesting than I was expecting. Note that deep red streak in Appalachian/southeastern Ohio. But it's not really present in similar counties in Pennsylvania.
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Ben Forstate retweeted
State Navigate@StateNavigateSep 24
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA LEGE POLLS🚨 SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +1 (FLIP) SD-24 (Trump +2) | 🔵DEM +2 (FLIP) HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🟡Tie HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP) HD-147 (Trump +10) | 🔴GOP +1 HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) articles.statenavigate.com/p…

State Navigate Polls Show Tight Races in Southeastern Pennsylvania

Democrats are doing incredibly well in the Pennsylvania House this year. That’s not where they need to be overperforming, though.

articles.statenavigate.com
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Torn between the urge to remain skeptical and analytical and the urge to completely lib out
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022Sep 23
TEXAS POLL By NPR/Marist (A) SENATE 🟦 James Talarico: 50% 🟥 Ken Paxton: 44% —— GOVERNOR 🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 49% 🟥 Greg Abbott (i): 46% —— R39/D23/I26 | 9/17-20 | RV maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-con…
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Lmaooo
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024Sep 22
Marist poll | 9/17-9/20 RV US Senate Iowa 2026 🟦Josh Turek 50% 🟥Ashley Hinson 42% Link to poll: maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024Sep 18
Advanced Targeting Research poll | 9/13-9/16 RV US Senate Idaho 2026 ⬜️Todd Achilles 50.1% 🟥Jim Risch 38.5% (incumbent) —— ⬜️Todd Achilles 45.5% 🟥Jim Risch 39.4% (incumbent) 🟨Matt Loesby 4.5% (This survey was not commissioned by any candidate in this race) Link to poll: advancedtargetingresearch.co…
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Ben Forstate retweeted
Lara Putnam@lara_putnamSep 17
It's understandable that people are gunshy about trusting polling but... in PA we have real world numbers on what party regular folks are affirming when they show up to renew their driver's licenses and... it's not pretty for the GOP 🤷‍♀️
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Never ask a question you don’t know the answer to
NewsWire
@NewsWire_USSep 16
Vance to Voters: “Give Us Another Chance”
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If I have a PA Senate ’28 take, it’s that I’m worried Democrats won’t be able to overcome the state’s Republican lean and Reed will coast to reelection. He’ll have the PGH Republican machine and the Mellons behind him and Hoover at the top of the ticket probably doesn’t hurt.
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Being a FO can suck at times, but I started in politics as a paid canvasser and I don’t think I would have been as effective as an organizer, data director, and eventually CM if I hadn’t spent all those hours talking to voters and vols. It’s foundational work.
Organizermemes
@OrganizerMemesSep 1
Anon on the state of working as a field organizer in a swing state
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Back in the day I tried to map out these divisions, and I think the line between Central and Upper Bucks is pretty clear. The big question is whether “Lower Bucks” is really a geographic region or a socioeconomic one.
Tom Sofield@BuxMontNewsAug 31
Our news orgs have always used the map on the left to mark lower, central, and upper Bucks County. Those borders are often used by governments too. Seems to culturally line up. However, a township official just sent me the map on the right he found in an old PDF in their system.
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This is my Bucco content for the month
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