Economista presso la Chicago Booth School of Business

Joined May 2025
Legge di Bilancio: ipotesi Irpef ridotta, rottamazione light e nuove misure per famiglie e lavoro Sono i punti di cui si è discusso nel corso del vertice dei leader di maggioranza a Palazzo Chigi in vista del varo del testo sulla Manovra atteso lunedì 13 ottobre in Cdm
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Bitcoin crossed above $126,000 today for the first time, its 18th $1,000 milestone of the year. $BTC bilello.blog/newsletter
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Surprise: The US Trade deficit hit a record -$583 billion in the first half of 2025, a 38% increase from the first half of 2024. Real tariff impact remains to be seen because of the massive front-running that occurred before they were implemented.
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July CPI is the big release this week. Core prices are expected to have risen 0.31%, which would bring the 12-month increase to 3.1% (from 2.9% in June and 2.8% in May). Headline prices are expected to have risen 0.24%, which would lift the 12-month measure to 2.8%.
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Bitcoin returns since 2010... $BTC
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Volano gli utili di Apple, nonostante i dazi Durante la conference call sui risultati finanziari, l'amministratore delegato Tim Cook ha stimato il costo di questi dazi a 1,1 miliardi di dollari per il trimestre in corso #iPhone
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NewPrinces compra il 100% di Carrefour Italia per un miliardo
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Prossimi 6 mesi Borsa italiana: ottimismo prudente, range 38.000-42.500. Opportunità strutturali in finanza, energia, tech; rischi tariffari/debitorii da monitorare. Strategia: bilanciare utility energia verde/difesa (offensiva). Chiave: politica BCE + negoziati tariffari Usa-EU.
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Bonds + Gold > Stocks
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Another good stress test this week on whether BTC or Gold serve as a better contra-currency hedge to the risk of US running monetary policy that's too easy. When news broke about firing JP, gold surged and bitcoin did nothing.
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''The USD has stopped going down'' crowd often forgets that other fiat currencies are just one release valve for this trade Precious metals, long-end yields and crypto are also key release valves for ''debase-and-run-it-hot'' policies This macro theme rermains intact for now
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Average US family health insurance premium... 2000: $6k 2003: $9k 2006: $11k 2009: $13k 2012: $16k 2015: $18k 2018: $20k 2021: $22k 2024: $26k That's a 342% increase since 1999 (6.1% per year). (Note: US CPI inflation has increased 2.5%/year)
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Meanwhile, inflation expectations are at their highest level since February and are trending upward.
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June CPI is expected to show core prices rose 0.25%, which would bring the 12-month increase to 2.9% (from 2.8% in May). Headline prices are expected to have risen 0.27%, which would lift the 12-month measure to 2.6% from 2.4% in May.
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Incredible: Bitcoin's market cap has surged past both Google and Amazon. $2.44 Trillion... $BTC $GOOGL $AMZN
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Con vincite superiori al 15% a luglio, questi titoli scelti dall'IA sono ora in rialzo del 114% invst.ly/1bd635
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$ETH keeps pushing higher. Ethereum is going to $4,000. Pullbacks are for bidding. 🤝
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Luigi Zingales retweeted
Penn’s Peter Conti-Brown: “We are in a high-stakes moment in the history of the Federal Reserve.” “It seems clear to me that the Trump administration, using various mechanisms, [has] now cooked up a post-hoc explanation for Powell’s removal.” wsj.com/economy/central-bank…
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So many folks certain foreigners pay the tariffs based on a single JPN auto export data series that is 1) unrelated to US auto import prices from the region, 2) unrelated to headline import prices, and 3) represents <3% of tariff collections.
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