a key piece of infrastructure to connect blockchains with the outside world
Real RWA Narrative
coindesk.com/markets/2023/10…
中本聪已经沉睡,
更多人正在觉醒。
熵增的哈希链,
正在创建不可逆的相对时间,
随机的哈希力,
正在编织不可预测的绝对账本,
虚无的比特币,
永恒的价值时空。
dethings.com/new_flash.php?i…
比特币的相关信息,
信噪比一直非常低,
市场上总是充斥太多噪音,
真正有价值的信号并不多,
也许其中最重要的信号就是2100万。
在真正的信号面前,
也许ETF也只是噪音。
DeThings AMA Episode2📢
十年申请之路:深入了解 #ETF 的机遇和挑战
美股是否会率先释放信号?公布后如何涨跌?
今晚与嘉宾老师们一起在ETF公布之际一起探讨!
👪嘉宾
@lshen01
@rilian1111
@EatonAshton2
@JoshXie1
🕙时间
2024/01/03 20:00 SG Time
🔗链接
xitter.cf/i/spaces/1gqxvQWqvppJB
#DeThings
一个银行的倒闭会加大另外一个银行倒闭的概率。
杀死你的让别人更脆弱,
这是CeFi生态系统的脆弱性。
一个DAPP的失败会减少另外一个DAPP失败的几率,
杀死你的让别人更强大,
这是DeFi生态系统的反脆弱性。
Interesting, this is a very first Dex to connect visa/mastercard issuing, which is created to address the gaps of DeFi and CeFi.
Gm Fam, Product Update.
@MantleSwap is going to be the first project on the @0xMantle Network to launch prepaid virtual card after #MantleMainnet.
Buy on-demand prepaid virtual cards only on @MantleSwap with cryptocurrency
#bitcoin #Ethereum #bitdao #BuildonMantle #Testnet
孙子兵法曰,昔之善战者,
先为不可胜,以待敌之可胜。
巴菲特讲的三条保住本金定律,
也就是不亏损比赚钱更重要。
芒格的逆向思维法,
大多数成功来自于你知道要避免什么。
这也是西方哲学里面的否定法,
知道不做什么比知道做什么更重要,
负向知识比正向知识更强韧,
怀疑比自信更安全。
This quoted post is unavailable.
好的投资,
不是要买好的资产,
而是要买好的价格,
买好的不如买的好。
什么是好的价格?
就是有可观风险调整后收益的价格。
这种价格通常出现在,
历史估值低位,
历史情绪低位,
历史流动性低位,
如遇以上三位一体共振期,
可适当提升风险偏好,
逐步增加头寸暴露。
人类大脑喜欢确定性,
不善于感知概率问题。
有一个未然历史的概念,
历史事件有很多可能性,
但是结果只有一个。
USDC没有被挤兑,
只是历史事件走向的一个结果,
这个结果并不必然发生。
用归零的可能性,
博取10%的收益,
本金损失无限收益有限。
从风险调整后收益来看,
这是一笔失败的投资。
This quoted post is unavailable.
既然所有商品的价格,
都应该由看不见的手决定。
为什么利率,
作为金钱这种特殊商品的价格,
却要要由看得见的手(中央银行)来控制?
价格管制下,
不是导致商品过剩,
就是导致商品不足。
同样的,
利率管制下,
不是导致流动性过剩,
就是导致流动性不足。
The Federal Reserve's decision to provide compensation to all depositors instead of directly bailing out the banks may seem different from a moral standpoint. However, the reality is that there is no difference when it comes to the Fed's actions to increase the money supply,
This was not a bailout. During the GFC, the gov’t injected taxpayer money in the form of preferred stock into banks. Bondholders were protected and shareholders were diluted to varying degrees. Taxpayer money was put at great risk. Many people who screwed up suffered minimal to no consequences. Those were bailouts.
Here, shareholders and bond holders have been wiped out. The @FDICgov insurance fund capitalized by premiums paid by banks will absorb any losses. The fund will recoup any losses by assessing more premiums on the banks.
Had the @FDICgov @USTreasury and @federalreserve not intervened today, we would have had a 1930s bank run continuing first thing Monday causing enormous economic damage and hardship to millions.
More banks will likely fail despite the intervention, but we now have a clear roadmap for how the gov’t will manage them.
Bank boards and managements have received a massive wake up call. Being a director or CEO of a bank that fails is no fun: years of litigation, regulatory investigations, personal liability, potential civil and criminal charges, and enormous reputational damage.
Our gov’t did the right thing. This was not a bailout in any form. The people who screwed up will bear the consequences. The investors who didn’t adequately oversee their banks will be zeroed out and the bondholders will suffer a similar fate.
Importantly, our gov’t has sent a message that depositors can trust the banking system. Without this confidence, we are left with three or possibly four too-big-to-fail banks where the taxpayer is explicitly on the hook, and our national system of community and regional banks is toast.
Our government did the right thing for the country. We are very fortunate it did so.
万物皆有周期,没有永恒牛市,也没有永恒熊市,祸兮,福之所倚;福兮,祸之所伏。危中有机,机中有危。利率有顶,市场有底。顶底不可预测,未来的市场走势是一个概率分布,要实现投资组合正偏态分布,当概率对你有利时,你必须坚定持有头寸。特别乐观和特别悲观的时候都要特别警惕“这次不一样”的想法!
FTX事件表明,币圈只能靠强去中心化和强监管,强去中心化如比特币和去中心化控制的Defi,强监管如美国本土。
不好的内控机制下,好人会变成坏人,好的内控机制下,坏人也会变成好人,自律是最不可靠的人性。
两个建议:1,自托管self-custody加密资产 2,尽量使用dex,资产不在cex过夜。






