Product, startups, mindfulness and politics. Journaling is my gem.

Boston, MA
Joined July 2008
Helpful perspective and breakdown
May I offer a different perspective on the whole transatlantic family feud brewing over NATO. Europeans are furious at what they call American unilateralism and "wars of choice," while Americans are done subsidizing allies who won't lift a finger when Washington actually needs them. Given all the sentimentality and historical baggage, there’s been a lot of bad blood and high grade insults thrown both ways. A lot of pride here is at stake. But given that I am not American or European, what I can provide is an Asian perspective. The whole thing looks very different as there are no blood ties or cultural nostalgia to pull me either way. Because of distance, the default Asian lens on America has always been colder, clearer, and far more pragmatic than the European one. Asians have never lived under the illusion that their relationship to the US is one based on shared values. If they ever did, the illusion was shattered during the Cold War. Instead, Asian nations saw the relationship to America as a cold, interest-driven bargain in a dangerous neighborhood full of communists, insurgents, and bigger powers. Fast forward to today, and this lesson still holds. Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Vietnam, Singapore and Indonesia all partner with America because their interests (not values) align - especially when it comes to countering China. These nations have reasons to be alarmed about Beijing's ambitions in the South China Sea, around Taiwan, and across the Indo-Pacific. They don't need lectures about democracy or liberal international order to see the value in US forward presence, intelligence sharing, tech transfers, and security guarantees. It's a straight-up transactional deal: the US keeps the sea lanes open and the PLA at bay. Meanwhile, Asian nations host your bases, buy your weapons, and join your alliances (Quad, AUKUS, etc.). When interests diverge, they adjust pragmatically, without the drama and meltdown. Probably not many in the West know this, but one of the forces that shaped this attitude was the US pullout of Vietnam and the rest of America’s Cold War shenanigans. Lee Kuan Yew was one of America’s loudest cheerleaders in Southeast Asia. In 1967 he flew to Washington, testified to Congress, and begged Lyndon Johnson (and later Nixon) not to cut and run in Vietnam. He warned that a hasty US exit would trigger the dominoes - Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, and then pressure on the rest of Southeast Asia. Singapore became a logistical hub, providing a haven for US troops on R&R, oil refineries supplying the American war machine, and Lockheed servicing aircraft. At one point, US military-related spending made up 15% of Singapore’s entire GDP. Singapore didn’t support the war because it loved American democracy but because it kept the communists tied up and bought Southeast Asia time to build up its own economy and military. Then came the pullout - the Paris Accords in 1973 and then Saigon falls in 1975. Despite all the lobbying, despite the blood and resources America had spent, domestic politics in the US (the anti-war movement, Congress, Vietnam syndrome etc.) ended it. LKY watched in disbelief as the superpower that had promised to hold the line simply walked away. The lesson was that American commitments are real only as long as they serve American interests and American voters don’t get tired. It’s a brutal one to internalize. LKY was disappointed and noted American “unreliability” but Singapore didn’t collapse into panic or anti-Americanism. They just recalibrated and kept pursuing pragmatism by building its own deterrent, diversifying partners, and later offered the US naval logistics access (Sembawang port) when the Philippines kicked them out of Subic Bay in the early 1990s. Malaysia drew the same conclusion. The Tunku was pro-Western and anti-communist early on, but Malaysia never joined SEATO and pushed ZOPFAN (Zone of Peace, Freedom and Neutrality) instead. When the British announced their East-of-Suez withdrawal in 1968 and Nixon’s Doctrine (1969) told Asians “you defend yourselves first, we’ll just help,” Kuala Lumpur accelerated its neutralist tilt. The message was clear - don’t count on Washington to bleed indefinitely for distant allies. South Korea is similarly pragmatic but it operates under far higher stakes due to baggage from the Korean War and the ongoing North Korean threat. American intervention literally saved the South from conquest, resulting in a bond that is forged in blood. While South Korea had to learn the same lessons - that the American umbrella isn’t permanent, sharing a border with a nuclear-armed adversary forces tighter coupling with Washington. The reverberations of Nixon’s 1973 opening to Beijing cannot be understated. It shocked the entire region that America, the great anti-communist crusader, suddenly would cozy up to Mao to counter the Soviets. If Washington could flip on core principles when interests demanded it, why should smaller states pretend the relationship was about anything deeper? The core Asian critique of the European approach to dealing with America is that it is entirely bound up in moral values and civilizational kinship. This means that every disagreement feels like a betrayal and breeds resentment on both sides. Because Europe is so hyped up on abstract values, it makes NATO feel like a sacred club that America is disrespecting. Asia's interest-based lens sees alliances as tools - useful until they're not. Maybe Europe thinks the Asian approach is cynical but the irony is that this is actually what keeps Indo-Pacific partners far more reliable counterweights to China than many NATO members ever were against Russia.
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If the CIA knew that he was talking to the Iranians, then President Trump would have known that also, when he invited Tucker into the Oval a few days before the strike. Which means Trump may have used Tucker to deceive the Iranians about the likelihood of an impending attack
When you discover the CIA has been reading your texts in order to frame you for a crime.
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Yael Avidan retweeted
אתגרתי את קלוד לנסות להתמודד עם התזה שסגירת מיצרי הורמוז ואפקט העלייה במחירי הנפט יהיו קצרי מועד יחסית, ויצא לנו מהתהליך מאמר מעניין שחוזה טווח של 8-12 שבועות עד שהמחירים יחזרו לקדמותם. החכמתי.
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Evergreen.
British govt policy towards the Middle East crisis explained in 4 easy steps.
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Yael Avidan retweeted
Oh oh. If Qatar joins the US and Israel in attacking Iran, whose side is Tucker going to take?
Statement | Qatar Strongly Condemns Targeting Its Territory and Sisterly States, Affirms Its Right to Respond Doha | February 28, 2026 The State of Qatar expresses its strong condemnation of the targeting of Qatari territory with Iranian ballistic missiles, considering it a flagrant violation of its national sovereignty, a direct infringement on its security and territorial integrity, and an unacceptable escalation that threatens the security and stability of the region. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs affirms that the State of Qatar reserves its full right to respond to this attack in accordance with the provisions of international law and in a manner proportionate to the nature of the aggression, in defense of its sovereignty and in protection of its security and national interests. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs stresses that the State of Qatar has been and continues to be among the foremost advocates of dialogue with the Islamic Republic of Iran, consistently calling for this approach as the optimal foundation for addressing differences and resolving disputes through peaceful means, and for sparing the region the risks of escalation. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs affirms that the targeting of Qatari territory is inconsistent with the principles of good neighborliness and cannot be accepted under any pretext or justification. The State of Qatar has consistently sought to distance itself from regional conflicts and has worked to facilitate dialogue between the Iranian side and the international community. However, the renewed targeting of its territory does not reflect good faith and threatens the foundations of understandings upon which bilateral relations between the two countries were based. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs also expresses the State of Qatar's condemnation of the violation of the sovereignty of the State of Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, and the Kingdom of Bahrain in the blatant Iranian aggression, affirming the State of Qatar's full solidarity with these sisterly states in all measures they take to safeguard their sovereignty, security, and stability. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs renews the State of Qatar's call for the immediate cessation of any escalatory actions, a return to the negotiating table, the prioritization of reason and wisdom, and efforts to contain the crisis in a manner that preserves the security of the region, safeguards the interests of its peoples, and prevents a slide into broader confrontations. #MOFAQatar
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Can you be both the mayor of NYC and an interim ayatollah? Asking for a friend.
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Yael Avidan retweeted
topple Iran and Venezuela and that's 20% of China's oil energy supply. China will have to turn more to Russia for cheap oil. Remove El Mencho cartel leader in Mexico and you get rid of the criminals taxing 15% off the top of US-Mexico trade. That is all critical to US plan to decouple from China. The actions we're seeing over the past week are connected. The US is implementing a grand strategy designed to weaken China's position. The goal is, If China moves on Taiwan in the next two years they will do so without support in the middle east, without proxy cartels in Mexico and without a Russia able to launch any attacks on NATO. The US goal is to focus 100% on the pacific in the next two years.
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the new season of tehran is just getting weirder and wierder
BREAKING: Palestinian Authority condemns Iranian attacks on Arab countries
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Yael Avidan retweeted
Let me explain how it benefits Americans 1) No nukes for Iran 2) No ICBMs capable of hitting the US 3) Eliminates proxies and funding for terrorism 4) Hurts BRICS 5) Puts China’s energy suppliers under US influence 6) Stability/security in ME 7) Epicenter of Islamism is gone
As always I only support military action anywhere, in any context, if it directly serves the interests of American citizens. It’s troubling that the arguments we’re hearing for this war in Iran, including from Trump himself, seem to revolve primarily around “bringing freedom to the Iranian people.” As Americans, the freedom of Iranians is not our responsibility. If a single American life is lost in the service of that goal, it will be a travesty. What nobody has even come close to sufficiently explaining is how this war will first and foremost directly benefit American citizens. That is a case that needed to have been made clearly and convincingly before this move, and it wasn’t. We’re also told how this will benefit Israel, and I’m sure it will. But Israel is not America. What does it do for America? How does it help us? That needs to be explained to us. And it isn’t “panicking” or demonstrating “disloyalty” to demand those very basic answers about how American tax money, and potentially American lives, are being spent. We hear about the danger of a nuclear Iran, but that’s odd because we were told that Iran’s nuclear capabilities had already been set back decades. We hear that this war will be over quickly and easily because Iran is powerless, which I hope and pray is the case, and maybe it will be. But that’s odd, too, because if Iran is such a paper tiger then how were they a danger to us in the first place? It seems hard to argue both that Iran is an existential threat to the United States and that we can topple them in 20 minutes with no casualties or negative downstream effects. Also the political calculation really matters here. A huge majority of American oppose this. That’s just a fact. If it costs Republicans in 26 and 28, then, no matter how things work out in Iran, it will not have been worth it. A free Iran at the cost of Democrat rule here at home is a bad deal. A free Iran for an unfree America would be just about the worst trade of the century. I’m praying for our great country today.
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After screaming this for years, I can’t believe it’s taken 12,000 Iranians murdered by the IRGC—to the world’s deafening silence—for people to finally see that the whole human rights movement & its social justice warriors was a gigantic, spectacular farce. I feel so fucking sick
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All the bleating about "international law" shows just how completely deluded some of our elites have become. International law was a pleasant fiction that lasted for a few decades. It was never real and now the world has reverted to its default setting: Great Power politics. This is why, as a strong Ukraine supporter, I have never talked about international law or called Putin's attack an "illegal invasion". Laws are based on submission to an overarching authority backed by force. There is no such international authority and even if you view the UN as one, it does not have the ability to use force against those who violate "international law" other than against small countries with weak militaries. When the US attacked Iraq, the UN did nothing. When Russia invaded Ukraine, the UN did nothing. If China invades Taiwan tomorrow, the UN will do nothing. If you cannot enforce a law, it's not a law. I do not support Ukraine because naughty Vlad broke the rules. I support Ukraine because it's not in OUR interest in the West to have Russia marauding its way through friendly countries on the borders of Europe. It's in our interest for us to be as strong as possible and for our adversaries to be as weak as possible. President Trump is a realist and a pragmatist. He sees through the fictions other "leaders" cling to. A good leader advances the national interests of his country. If more Western leaders did this, our civilisation would be in a much better place.
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Never happened 😂
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The funniest scene from "Life of Brian", the funniest movie ever made. In 1979 it was comedy, today it is reality 👇 @JohnCleese
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Yael Avidan retweeted
this new season of carpool karaoke looks awful
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Yael Avidan retweeted
1/ This past year has been the hardest of my life for many reasons. While there were tragedies on a national scale going on, I’ve mostly focused on personal tragedies. We each take on as much as we can.
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Yael Avidan retweeted
A clear articulation of the Israeli perspective. What does he get wrong?
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Yael Avidan retweeted
⚠️ Warning - Graphic Content ⚠️ “I filmed this because I knew no one will believe”. *** Aran, an IDF soldier who was among the first responders at the Nova music festival on 7.10, told his story to @N12News. In the video, he is heard pleading, begging for anyone to show signs of life. “They’re all dead”, he repeats in shock. He filmed the video, and others, because he knew people would find this scene too horrific to believe”. *** We’re faced with an unprecedented denial campaign happening in real time. The overwhelming evidence - much of it is from Hamas terrorists documenting themselves - is apparently not sufficient for those who try to claim that the 7.10 attacks did not happen in the way that is being told. “Where’s the proof?” - I keep getting asked - well, here’s your f**king proof.
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Yael Avidan retweeted
Don’t look away
.@SecBlinken on family attacked by Hamas: "The father's eye gouged out, the mother's breast cut off, the girl's foot amputated, the boy's fingers cut off before they were executed, and then their executioners sat down and had a meal. That is what this society is dealing with."
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What “From the River to the Sea” means? #HamasisISIS
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Professor Davidai is telling the truth.
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