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4 years in crypto.
pros, cons, bottom line.
pros:
+ quit my 9-5
+ traveled
+ stopped depending on other people
+ apple everything
+ private clinics when i got sick
+ the best gyms in town
+ michelin restaurants
+ gifts for my family
cons:
- memecoins took the whole deposit
- personal life: not great
- easy money broke my sense of money. a normal salary looks like a typo now
- mental health took a hit
- random sleep schedule, my body is paying for it
- barely any irl contact
- full-blown gambling addiction
- normal life stopped feeling like anything
bottom line:
everything depends on me and how hard i try.
nobody's coming to decide my fate for me.
day 17. starting over.
what did crypto give you, or take from you?
if you can't spot the sucker in the scheme, it's probably you.
⏱️ 30 minutes at the poker table and you still don't know who the sucker is? it's you. simple poker rule.
crypto works the same way.
🪙 you buy a memecoin because tomorrow someone will pay more for it.
who?
don't know? read the first line again.
📉 98.6% of tokens on pump fun are rug pulls and pump-and-dumps (solidus labs).
the sucker there is picked in advance. it's whoever hits buy last.
same with pokémon.
💰 a 1st edition case: ~$72k on ebay → $3.5M paid by logan paul.
📦 he opened it on camera. inside: g.i. joe packs, ~$2 each.
everyone before him made money. he was the last one.
the sucker isn't the dumb one.
the sucker is the one who's sure the sucker is someone else.
who were you in your last trade?
Have you thought through the protection system?
How are you going to deal with teams just claiming the token, pumping the price from side wallets, selling the main ones at the highs and taking the prize pool that way.
It’s the same old story again, whoever has more money and is the bigger scammer wins
Open the 4 pics.
If you felt nothing on any of them, keep scrolling. you're a robot.
1️⃣ A guy with 7-2, the worst hand in poker, vs pocket aces. all three remaining deuces hit the board. 1 in 1,518.
2️⃣ An old man in vegas spins a slot and walks out with $11.8M. odds around 1 in 50M.
3️⃣ Saudi Arabia, ranked 51st, beats messi's argentina, unbeaten in 36 games.
4️⃣ You don't know any of these people. but you're happy for them like it's you.
The 4th pic is why.
It's not that you love underdogs. it's firmware.
your brain doesn't get high on winning. it gets high on surprise.
Dopamine fires on the gap between "expected" and "got". favorite wins, silence. 1 in 50 million lands, fireworks.
Thank your ancestors. a hunter brought home big game maybe once a month, often less.
A brain that didn't lose its mind with joy on that one day stopped going hunting. and its genes stopped right there.
Casinos 🎰. know this firmware better than you do. that's why the wall shows the old man with the check, not the crowd that fed that machine before him.
What's the most unbelievable win you've seen with your own eyes?
Everything you need to know about @kimchi1x and @a1lon9 and @Pumpfun
This is just insane, if even this slides, I'll never laugh at the circus again
What is this nonsense? Are we just getting scammed in broad daylight? This QR leads to a token that just pumped and dumped
pump.fun/coin/B1Y2fJW8rtirrB…
I don’t get who actually uses cross-chain bridges that often.
You’re either blowing money on solana, or on robinhood, or on bsc
that’s it
How long are you going to keep coming up with reasons why $VRAX can’t flip $cashcat?
You know the Santa rally is coming, gotta buy some nice gifts for the family.
Just look at it, no joke, this is a token backed by @vladtenev himself.
@Pumpfun says "your referral deposits $50 → both of you get $50 on top"
sounds easy. then you open the actual terms (pump.fun/docs/referral-rewar…) and it's a different story
here's what really has to happen for that $50:
1. your friend has to be a brand new user. only people who started using pump.fun on or after Oct 7 2026 count. old accounts get nothing
2. the referral code has to be entered in the pump.fun app BEFORE their first purchase. just clicking your link doesn't count, the referral won't be attributed
3. the deposit has to be their first fiat purchase through the in-app provider (card), min $1, from their own account and card. sending SOL from another wallet doesn't count. and the reward = deposit size, capped at $50. they put in $20, you each get up to $20
4. they have to trade on 5 different days within 10 days of the deposit. days don't need to be in a row, but the money comes in parts: days 1-4 pay 1/6 each, day 5 pays 2/6. trade one day and you each get ~$8.33, not $50
5. the referrer doesn't need to deposit or trade, you just get the same amount your friend unlocks
and the fine print nobody mentions:
- paid in SOL or USDC, only after their review. no promised timeline, they can delay it as long as they want
- the budget is limited and first come first served. they can end the program anytime without notice
- UK and restricted countries are excluded. VPN = disqualified
- if your friend withdraws the deposit or does a chargeback, the remaining payouts are gone
- multi-accounts, self-referral, wash trading to fake "trading days" = ban and rewards taken back
not saying don't do it. just know it's "up to $50, in pieces, if they trade 5 days", not "deposit $50, get $50"
my code: pump.fun/join/xvult
enter it in the app before your first deposit, otherwise it won't count
itching to rip another pack?
same. that second before the reveal hits harder than coffee
if you're gonna rip anyway, at least rip where you get more back
sites love to show "EV 105%". sounds like they're paying you to play
except they buy the card back at 85-90%
what you actually get back from a $100 pack:
collector crypt: ~$94
phygitals: ~$87
courtyard: ~$86
arena club: ~$80
why the gap? two numbers:
what the site says the card is worth, and what it pays when you sell
collector crypt says 105% and buys back at 90%
phygitals says about the same but buys back at 85%
courtyard is upfront about 96%. cards are worth less than the pack on average
arena club doesn't say what it pays. reviews put it around 80%
one site keeps $6 of every $100. another keeps $20
same charizard on the cover
bookmark this for your next rip
where do you rip?
how long are we gonna stay quiet about the fact that a $88B chain had an infinite money glitch for 11 years?
audits. validators. billions in market cap.
and nobody gave a fuck. you could just print XRP.
picture a cashier. you grab $30 trillion worth of stuff, but the register only goes up to $9 trillion. it rolls over through zero and prints you a receipt for $5. you pay $5 and the store still hands you everything.
that's literally how XRP worked for 11 years.
the playbook:
1. XRP has a built-in DEX. anyone can post an offer "selling X for Y XRP"
2. mint your own token. free. it's a worthless shitcoin
3. spin up 300 wallets. ~$600 in reserves total, and you don't even spend it
4. from each wallet list an offer: "selling 0.000001 of my shitcoin for 100B XRP". that's the max one offer can hold
5. from your own wallet, buy all 300 offers in a single payment
6. the chain does the math: 300 × 100B = 30T XRP. the counter in the code caps at 9.2T. it overflows and you get charged pennies
7. meanwhile your 300 seller wallets get their 100B each. in full
tl;dr: pay pennies, walk away with trillions of XRP that never existed.
90x more than all the XRP in the world.
the "no XRP can be created out of thin air" check? broken by the same bug lmao
bug was live since 2015. some anon with an AI tool found it. patched in 3 days.
"no evidence it was ever exploited"
sure ser.
funny how the influencers' math is always 2x better than yours
they got 100 $PAPER per $1 lost
you're getting 52
maybe because they figured it out first
and only then started posting
and supply just went 2B → 4B in 3 hours
if you're seeing @papertrade_xyz from 10 influencers
you're not early
you're their exit liquidity
so, pussy. wanna quit and get a 9-5?
try burning money for money first
@papertrade_xyz , 1000x
open a long. open a short. same size
close both
one bleeds. one prints
you end up $0
but now you're holding 34k $PAPER, and that token eats the casino's profits
this isn't trading
you're buying a cut of the casino with your own losses
🤖 Made with AI
4 million people just read that ai might crack their wallet in a couple months
and im pretty sure half of them opened metamask at 2am to check if their money was still there
drake said hide behind a hash
never said why
ok let me
your wallet has two locks
lock one is the elliptic curve. beautiful, complex, a whole mechanism inside. and every mechanism has logic. find the logic, open the lock. thats what drake is scared of
lock two is the hash. it has no mechanism at all
its a blender
strawberry, banana, milk. press the button. smoothie
now get the strawberry back. whole
you cant. nobody in history has figured out how
your address is literally a smoothie made from your public key
i tested it on my laptop
changed one letter, hello to hellp, and half the hash flipped. 132 of 256 bits
no hot and cold. just blind guessing
2 million tries and my laptop couldnt even match 6 characters out of 40
the entire bitcoin mining network would need billions of times longer than the universe has existed to guess your address
the quantum computer everyone keeps screaming about? it breaks the curve completely. the blender it barely dents, and still fails
so heres the whole truth, no bunkers:
if your address never signed anything, your money is hiding in the smoothie
sign once and your public key is out there forever
thats not a reason to panic
its a reason not to sign stuff from the wallet that holds everything
and "your key in months" is so far just a great way to farm 4 million views
Today I call upon the blockchain industry to calmly begin planning for "bunker mode". My personal recommendation is to set in motion a controlled mass migration of assets to fresh addresses, i.e. addresses whose pubkeys remain hidden behind a hash.
Holders, starting with large and sophisticated ones, should consider moving the bulk of their funds to addresses that have never signed a transaction. And when they do sign one, they should also move remaining funds to a new address (possibly generated from the same seed phrase).
Don't rush. While I believe there is cause for action a rushed migration would do more harm than good. Don't panic either. Moving assets to protected addresses is a simple, preventative step which does not require new cryptography or new wallets.
IMO it is now reasonable to brace for the possibility that ECDSA breaks before qday, in the worst case in months not years. By "break" I mean fast private key recovery (e.g. in one week) on available hardware (e.g. a large GPU cluster).
Recent days have been humbling for human mathematical intuition. Long-held, unquestioned hypotheses have fallen. This includes the n log(n) bound for integer multiplication and the 3SUM conjecture. In hindsight, May's unexpected disproof of the Erdős unit distance conjecture was our warning shot.
Yesterday's OpenAI drop made it clear that mathematical superintelligence is upon us. They say there are weeks where decades happen. We are about to live through weeks where centuries of mathematical progress happen. Could our magic 64-byte ECDSA signatures be too good to be true? Was it just security through obscurity all this time?
Elliptic curves feel especially vulnerable to superintelligence. Curves carry rich structure, with room for fancy tricks like Schoof, Frobenius, pairings. (By contrast, hashes are designed to minimise algebraic structure.)
Separately, as Ewin Tang can attest, an efficient quantum algorithm sometimes foreshadows an efficient classical one. We should be open to the possibility of a classical counterpart to Shor that breaks elliptic curves and RSA at once.
Also noteworthy is the striking under-representation of cryptographic breakthroughs among the 722 mathematical results OpenAI published. I've witnessed first-hand the US government censoring academic quantum cryptanalysis results. Backroom interventionism is my base case.
I urge large, sophisticated actors to lead by example. Project11's "risq list" (bitcoin-risq-list.projecteleven[.]com) is a great tracker of exposed BTC pubkeys. Binance, Bitbank, Robinhood, Bitfinex, and Tether have an opportunity to harden their cold storage. Next month I'll address institutions in London in a live Q&A (forum.ethereuminstitutional[.]org/london-2026).
Again, please do not rush. Wallets holding under 50 BTC enjoy partial cover from "Satoshi's shield", i.e. his 20K exposed addresses that hold 50 BTC each. Load-bearing signers like oracles and L2 security councils should consider rotating ECDSA pubkeys with every signed message and/or multi-signing with a hash-based schemes like SPHINCS.
Exiting bunker mode safely will require post-AI cryptography. My inclination is to go all-in on hash-based cryptography and avoid structured mathematical assumptions entirely, whether from curves, lattices, or isogenies. A single battle-tested hash (e.g. from the SHA or BLAKE families) yields plausible post-AI security.
The Ethereum roadmap on strawmap[.]org fully embraces hash-based cryptography with end-to-end formal verification as a response to the quantum threat. Those timelines must now be revisited and accelerated in light of mathematical superintelligence. I'll be pushing for maximum defensive acceleration.
most people pick the roulette.
wrong.
roulette: you keep $97 of every $100
pokémon packs: $60–80
pack apps with "instant buyback": 8 out of 10 packs lose money
the casino is the most honest guy in the room. i did the math on all of it
