Political scientist at @HooverInst @Stanford | Occasional tweets about elections, political economy, social science, SF/philly, cities in general
San Francisco
Joined March 2011
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Will Marble retweeted
New working paper from me, @sahnicboom, and Jacob Brown (offline): how do voters react to new homeless shelters and supportive housing built in their backyards?
We find voters living nearby new facilities *increase* their support for more spending on homeless services.
Will Marble retweeted
Very excited that my paper with @colinrcase has been conditionally accepted for publication at @AJPS_Editor!
Using our CampaignView data, we produce measures for candidates' left-right positioning across six salient issue areas
Big takeaways below ⬇️⬇️
Will Marble retweeted
They validate this method using pre-election polling from the 2022 Michigan midterm and find that their calibrated MRP estimates reduce error by as much as two thirds. You can read the full paper here: cambridge.org/core/journals/…
Will Marble retweeted
Currently in FirstView: In “Improving Small-Area Estimates of Public Opinion by Calibrating to Known Population Quantities,” @wpmarble and @joshclinton provide a framework for incorporating known population data to improve estimates of small subgroups in MRP models.
Will Marble retweeted
This paper is an absolutely monumental piece of work. Given incredibly detailed data on how people travel in Chicago, can one calculate the optimal prices of vehicles, roads, and public transport? It turns out -- free buses are correct! And we need massive taxes on vehicles. 1/
Will Marble retweeted
Wait...
Speed cameras work?
"Cumulatively, over the seven months following [speed camera's] introduction, collisions declined by 30% and injuries by 16%."
Today was my last day working at Penn. I've been lucky to teach amazing students and work with great colleagues at @PennPORES and the polisci dept. This fall, I'll join @HooverInst as a Hoover Fellow—I'm excited to join a vibrant, interdisciplinary community of scholars there!
Will Marble retweeted
🚨NEW PAPER: Why are Members of Congress so extreme?
We conducted a 4-wave panel of thousands of voters in 27 districts during last year’s primary AND general elections to trace polarization’s roots
The results challenge conventional wisdom… and suggest lessons for parties🧵👇
How do universities shape the surrounding community? Building on meticulous archival work by @MikeJAndrews44, we answer this question by focusing on cases where multiple locations were considered for a major university and the winning location was chosen for idiosyncratic reasons
These results contribute to a literature that understands universities as place-based institutions. We know that they profoundly affect the local economy, as economists (incl. my co-authors) have shown. We show how universities also contribute to the civic life of communities.
Universities often serve as "anchor institutions" that deeply affect the character of their communities. In a new paper, we (@MikeJAndrews44 / Lauren Russell) ask how (and when) the establishment of a college influences local political and civic life. 🧵
osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/5v…
Will Marble retweeted
We (@PriyankaSethy_, @MalikMashail and I) have a related finding based on CES data: starting in around 2016, immigration support among immigrants plummeted more than among any other citizenship group. Here, we plot shifts relative to people with no immigration background.
