Independent prediction market news feed. Real-time alerts for significant probability shifts on Polymarket. Not a Polymarket affiliate.
Joined December 2025
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MOVE: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?
Probability: 10% to 16% (+6 pts) over ~1h
FAST MOVE: Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova
Probability (Marie Bouzkova): 57% to 92% (+34 pts) over ~30 min
24hr volume: $253K
MOVE: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
Probability: 27% to 19% (-8 pts) over ~1h
FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger
Probability (Ashlyn Krueger): 68% to 96% (+28 pts) over ~30 min
FAST MOVE: Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia
Probability (Samuel Heredia): 69% to 40% (-28 pts) over ~30 min
MOVE: US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Probability: 64% to 58% (-6 pts) over ~1h
FAST MOVE: European Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon
Probability (Nishesh Basavareddy): 92% to 58% (-35 pts) over ~30 min
24hr volume: $142K
MOVE: Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Probability: 9% to 4% (-6 pts) over ~1h
FAST MOVE: Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Titouan Droguet
Probability (Titouan Droguet): 77% to 52% (-25 pts) over ~30 min
MOVE: NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Probability: 14% to 8% (-7 pts) over ~1h
24hr volume: $2.2M
FAST MOVE: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
Probability: 60% to 34% (-26 pts) over ~30 min
MOVE: US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Probability: 10% to 16% (+5 pts) over ~1h
24hr volume: $5.4M
