Independent prediction market news feed. Real-time alerts for significant probability shifts on Polymarket. Not a Polymarket affiliate.

Joined December 2025
FAST MOVE: European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor Probability (Tallon Griekspoor): 82% to 62% (-20 pts) over ~30 min
2
435
FAST MOVE: Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Probability (Stan Wawrinka): 62% to 38% (-25 pts) over ~30 min
331
MOVE: Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Probability: 62% to 57% (-5 pts) over ~1h
65
FAST MOVE: Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlek Probability (Sorana Cirstea): 49% to 34% (-15 pts) over ~30 min
347
FAST MOVE: European Open: Dino Prizmic vs Damir Dzumhur Probability (Dino Prizmic): 62% to 32% (-30 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $120K
793
FAST MOVE: Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Probability (Leylah Fernandez): 76% to 60% (-16 pts) over ~30 min
413
FAST MOVE: Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi Probability (Luciano Darderi): 45% to 24% (-22 pts) over ~30 min
1
246
FAST MOVE: Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry Probability (Mattia Bellucci): 78% to 40% (-38 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $157K
286
MOVE: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21? Probability: 10% to 16% (+6 pts) over ~1h
62
FAST MOVE: Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova Probability (Marie Bouzkova): 57% to 92% (+34 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $253K
1
215
FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Viktorija Golubic Probability (Katie Boulter): 52% to 72% (+21 pts) over ~30 min
246
MOVE: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? Probability: 27% to 19% (-8 pts) over ~1h
52
FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger Probability (Ashlyn Krueger): 68% to 96% (+28 pts) over ~30 min
1
153
FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger Probability (Tereza Valentova): 60% to 32% (-28 pts) over ~30 min
240
MOVE: Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Probability: 38% to 32% (-6 pts) over ~1h
50
MOVE: Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Probability: 2% to 7% (+5 pts) over ~1h
68
FAST MOVE: Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia Probability (Samuel Heredia): 69% to 40% (-28 pts) over ~30 min
1
832
FAST MOVE: Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima Probability (Brandon Nakashima): 62% to 86% (+24 pts) over ~30 min
728
MOVE: US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Probability: 64% to 58% (-6 pts) over ~1h
71
MOVE: Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Probability: 24% to 14% (-10 pts) over ~1h
59