Independent prediction market news feed. Real-time alerts for significant probability shifts on Polymarket. Not a Polymarket affiliate.

Joined December 2025
FAST MOVE: Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Probability (Leylah Fernandez): 76% to 60% (-16 pts) over ~30 min
368
FAST MOVE: Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi Probability (Luciano Darderi): 45% to 24% (-22 pts) over ~30 min
1
224
FAST MOVE: Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry Probability (Mattia Bellucci): 78% to 40% (-38 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $157K
267
MOVE: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21? Probability: 10% to 16% (+6 pts) over ~1h
41
FAST MOVE: Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova Probability (Marie Bouzkova): 57% to 92% (+34 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $253K
1
195
FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Viktorija Golubic Probability (Katie Boulter): 52% to 72% (+21 pts) over ~30 min
230
MOVE: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? Probability: 27% to 19% (-8 pts) over ~1h
41
FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger Probability (Ashlyn Krueger): 68% to 96% (+28 pts) over ~30 min
1
141
FAST MOVE: Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger Probability (Tereza Valentova): 60% to 32% (-28 pts) over ~30 min
239
MOVE: Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Probability: 38% to 32% (-6 pts) over ~1h
45
MOVE: Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Probability: 2% to 7% (+5 pts) over ~1h
65
FAST MOVE: Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia Probability (Samuel Heredia): 69% to 40% (-28 pts) over ~30 min
1
830
FAST MOVE: Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima Probability (Brandon Nakashima): 62% to 86% (+24 pts) over ~30 min
727
MOVE: US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Probability: 64% to 58% (-6 pts) over ~1h
70
MOVE: Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Probability: 24% to 14% (-10 pts) over ~1h
59
FAST MOVE: European Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon Probability (Nishesh Basavareddy): 92% to 58% (-35 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $142K
1
392
FAST MOVE: Lyon Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet Probability (Matteo Berrettini): 64% to 34% (-29 pts) over ~30 min
391
MOVE: Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? Probability: 9% to 4% (-6 pts) over ~1h
73
FAST MOVE: Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Titouan Droguet Probability (Titouan Droguet): 77% to 52% (-25 pts) over ~30 min
1
692
FAST MOVE: Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie Probability (Cameron Norrie): 22% to 46% (+24 pts) over ~30 min
246
MOVE: NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Probability: 14% to 8% (-7 pts) over ~1h 24hr volume: $2.2M
78