Walt Frick retweeted
.@brookefox91 and @wfrick analyze research and ideas presented at #StiglerAntitrust23 from scholars like Oliver Hart, @sanjuktampaul, and @TomValletti, that question the value of mergers and ask: How would businesses react to a world with fewer mergers? promarket.org/2023/06/02/a-w…
Walt Frick retweeted
Worth reading re Biden’s Second-Best Economic Agenda … promarket.org/2023/03/28/bid…
Walt Frick retweeted
"The fact remains that the #Biden administration was able to accomplish through #industrialpolicy what the Obama administration couldn’t get done with a carbon price," writes our Contributing Editor @wfrick:
promarket.org/2023/03/28/bid…
Walt Frick retweeted
A roundup of prediction markets to watch related to SVB and the fallout nonrival.substack.com/p/pred… from @ManifoldMarkets & @GJ_Open
Really nice article on @inboxcollective about my latest project @nonrival_pub which brings crowd forecasting to an email newsletter inboxcollective.com/fwd-prog… Give it a try: nonrival.pub/
Walt Frick retweeted
Disney and Netflix are strategic mirror images of each other: nonrival.substack.com/p/disn…
Walt Frick retweeted
Who will pull ahead in the streaming wars this year, Netflix or Disney? nonrival.substack.com/p/disn…
Walt Frick retweeted
36 predictions for 2023: A roundup covering streaming, EVs, macroeconomy, geopolitics, and more nonrival.substack.com/p/pred…
Walt Frick retweeted
Another dimension of predictive journalism would be to incorporate more information from prediction markets, as @wfrick argues here: niemanlab.org/2022/12/journa…
My @NiemanLab prediction for 2023: Journalists wake up to the power of prediction markets & forecasting niemanlab.org/2022/12/journa… Like @Kalshi @INFERpub @GJ_Open and @nonrival_pub nonrival.pub/
Walt Frick retweeted
The Forecasting Research Institute now exists (I'm a co-founder). forecastingresearch.org/
Its mandate is to advance the science of forecasting for the public good--& is now hiring research and data analysts, content editors, and RAs. forecastingresearch.org/appl…
Please spread the word
Walt Frick retweeted
Fed officials now expect substantially higher interest rates, less growth, and more inflation "under appropriate monetary policy" in 2023 than they did back in September:
federalreserve.gov/monetaryp…
Walt Frick retweeted
Join the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge! This Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech with new ones added weekly. Learn more and get started here: goodjudgment.com/nonrival/
Walt Frick retweeted
We are excited to announce that the INFER #ProForecaster Program will continue into the 2023 season!
You may be eligible to apply if you have experience in synthetic biology, AI or other specialty areas.
Check out our latest blog for more information: bit.ly/3UOJphX
Walt Frick retweeted
Announcing the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge on Good Judgment Open! The Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech, and insights on these topics can be found weekly in @nonrival_pub. Learn more and get started here: goodjudgment.com/nonrival/
Walt Frick retweeted
This isn't even GPT-4, these are just the breadcrumbs, just wait for dessert:
A huge deal for writers, as I've believed for the last 6 years. And a lot depends on what we do with it: Will we create better, more accurate and nuanced knowledge with these new tools? Or will we descend into automated chaos?
I wrote about the mind-blowing implications of generative AI, which might be the most important news story of 2022—as a conventional-wisdom destroyer, a pattern-matching speed demon, an uncanny toy, and an “answer engine” to replace the search engine
theatlantic.com/newsletters/…
why I started @nonrival_pub: "Truth is the lovely echo of our noisy, contending ways of being wrong." nonrival.substack.com/p/why-…
Walt Frick retweeted
Social media isn't dying, but Facebook might be nonrival.substack.com/p/is-t…
the TLDR really is just: people should read @PTetlock
some thoughts on SBF and the boring truth about most things nonrival.substack.com/p/sbf-…


















