Editor at Bloomberg Weekend Edition. I don't check Twitter

Washington, DC
Joined January 2009
.@brookefox91 and @wfrick analyze research and ideas presented at #StiglerAntitrust23 from scholars like Oliver Hart, @sanjuktampaul, and @TomValletti, that question the value of mergers and ask: How would businesses react to a world with fewer mergers? promarket.org/2023/06/02/a-w…
2
6
2
7
9,698
A roundup of prediction markets to watch related to SVB and the fallout nonrival.substack.com/p/pred… from @ManifoldMarkets & @GJ_Open
1
341
Disney and Netflix are strategic mirror images of each other: nonrival.substack.com/p/disn…
1
201
Who will pull ahead in the streaming wars this year, Netflix or Disney? nonrival.substack.com/p/disn…
1
1
193
Walt Frick retweeted
36 predictions for 2023: A roundup covering streaming, EVs, macroeconomy, geopolitics, and more nonrival.substack.com/p/pred…
1
212
Another dimension of predictive journalism would be to incorporate more information from prediction markets, as @wfrick argues here: niemanlab.org/2022/12/journa…
1
1
4
876
My @NiemanLab prediction for 2023: Journalists wake up to the power of prediction markets & forecasting niemanlab.org/2022/12/journa… Like @Kalshi @INFERpub @GJ_Open and @nonrival_pub nonrival.pub/
2
4
3
13
16,187
The Forecasting Research Institute now exists (I'm a co-founder). forecastingresearch.org/ Its mandate is to advance the science of forecasting for the public good--& is now hiring research and data analysts, content editors, and RAs. forecastingresearch.org/appl… Please spread the word
10
86
13
312
Fed officials now expect substantially higher interest rates, less growth, and more inflation "under appropriate monetary policy" in 2023 than they did back in September: federalreserve.gov/monetaryp…
2
2
1
14
Join the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge! This Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech with new ones added weekly. Learn more and get started here: goodjudgment.com/nonrival/
We are excited to announce that the INFER #ProForecaster Program will continue into the 2023 season! You may be eligible to apply if you have experience in synthetic biology, AI or other specialty areas. Check out our latest blog for more information: bit.ly/3UOJphX
2
2
Announcing the Nonrival Forecasting Challenge on Good Judgment Open! The Challenge explores key questions about the economy or tech, and insights on these topics can be found weekly in @nonrival_pub. Learn more and get started here: goodjudgment.com/nonrival/
2
3
Walt Frick retweeted
This isn't even GPT-4, these are just the breadcrumbs, just wait for dessert:
2
4
53
A huge deal for writers, as I've believed for the last 6 years. And a lot depends on what we do with it: Will we create better, more accurate and nuanced knowledge with these new tools? Or will we descend into automated chaos?
I wrote about the mind-blowing implications of generative AI, which might be the most important news story of 2022—as a conventional-wisdom destroyer, a pattern-matching speed demon, an uncanny toy, and an “answer engine” to replace the search engine theatlantic.com/newsletters/…
why I started @nonrival_pub: "Truth is the lovely echo of our noisy, contending ways of being wrong." nonrival.substack.com/p/why-…
3
1
Social media isn't dying, but Facebook might be nonrival.substack.com/p/is-t…
the TLDR really is just: people should read @PTetlock
some thoughts on SBF and the boring truth about most things nonrival.substack.com/p/sbf-…
1