@wadecapital

Random thoughts of my swing and day trades looking for the best short-term setups and opportunities

New York, USA
Joined January 2024
This is a very serious and unforgiving game that rarely rewards the diligent and punishes everyone else.
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Wade Capital retweeted
We need trillions more in AI capex but we also have an extra $8 billion in chips just lying around?
FT: Amazon seeks to offload $8 billion worth of Nvidia chips to investors through a new vehicle to strengthen its balance sheet. $AMZN $NVDA
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Tastylive gave Cem his own channel essentially for him to be wrong every single week. Get that shit off my feed, please.
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Wade Capital retweeted
Why this market is horrific now Removed PDT rule Moving towards a 24/7 market Constant back n forth Iran news 10Y goes up everyday No volume anywhere In the end retail gets destroyed big money wins
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Admit it, you thought $SPY $QQQ would magically change its choppy behavior because it’s a new month and new quarter
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Market makers have never made more money than this Q3 2026, I’m sure of it
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Wade Capital retweeted
Going back to the start of the 2024 postseason, Phillies relievers have a 12.19 ERA when pitching with a lead.
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It’s going to be some bs that brings the market down like a full Middle East retreat or the end of the war in Ukraine $SPY $QQQ
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Wade Capital retweeted
My brain cannot fathom some of the pitches Trea goes after. #Phillies #Ringthebell
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Wade Capital retweeted
"Win just 1 fucking baseball game to go to the Playoffs, or become Jamaican." The Phillies:
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85% chance $SPY makes a new low for the week after forming an evening star bearish pattern and the market gaps up overnight on fake Iran news once again. Truly fucking incredible
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I’m concerned this is how the markets will be for the foreseeable future. 1 or 2 winners on 0DTEs, a random m7 name surging on the day for no reason at all, nonstop chop to the upside and any significant pullback happens overnight, Ai co’s with $5B in sales pushed to $400B, etc.
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$META up 40% after a near double miss on its last earnings
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VIX 🟢 Crude 🟢 Yields 🟢 $SPX 🟢 $QQQ 🟢
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There’s no way $META is green tomorrow
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Today honestly should’ve been way worse than it is. $SPX down only 75bp?
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It’s been a while since we had the 10Y rise 3% on the day. 10-bagger betting on $QQQ puts
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Hey Iran with all the funny memes, the US stock market is up and headed back to all-time highs
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When deciding to go full-time, I never imagined there would be WEEKS on end with little to no intraday trading opportunities. This market has completely changed once we reached the Q3 $SPY $QQQ
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Wade Capital retweeted
IDK about ya'll but im really getting tired of intraday chop. We gap/up down afterhours and chop in a tight ass rang all day
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Wade Capital retweeted
Hands down one of the greatest dark memes I’ve seen in my entire career. I know folks on the commodity desk already knows how this math works, but just for the broader timeline and the math-challenged folks out there... The Taylor Rule is traditionally used to calculate a central bank’s optimal policy rate:  i = r* + p* + 1.5(p - p*) + 0.5(y - y*) (i = nominal rate, r* = neutral rate, p* = 2% target, p - p* = inflation gap, y - y* = output gap). Dr. Ghalibaf basically jammed two brand new variables into this classic framework, the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandeb. He's flexing that global CPI and terminal rates are dictated by their maritime choke points... Honestly crown the man Meme King already. And the wild part? He’s not even lying. Does today's Fed decision even matter in the grand scheme? Give it a few days, and we’ll all be recalibrating the next FOMC print purely around energy prices—which ironically are being priced by Tehran and the Houthis. The guy isn't wrong. Welcome to the new macro regime. #oott #iran
Straits Taylor Rule: i = r* + π* + 1.5(π−π*) + 0.5(y−y*) + α(SOH−SOH*) + β(BEM−BEM*), α,β > 0 Let’s see if a hike could open SOH or produce a single barrel :) You can’t 25bp a chokepoint and r* isn’t neutral. It’s SOH risk premium, and We set it. Stay unanchored !
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