And if the Fed steps in to buy bills? It’s obviously much easier to justify bill purchases. If the Treasury starts swapping long for short and the Fed monetizes the short end, that’s de facto yield curve control, no? They talk over lunch…
In an unprecedented move, the US Treasury is buying back its own long term debt in order to stop the surge in yields
Calling it “liquidity support”
But there’s one big problem with this…
The government doesn’t run a surplus. So in order to buy back old debt, they have to borrow new debt
Since they can’t borrow long term debt (that would make the buyback useless because they would be selling the exact thing they are buying) they have to borrow with short term debt
What are the implications?
Anyone calling this QE doesn’t understand it. Zero net effect on liquidity in the financial system overall. The government is simply swapping long term debt for short term. Same total debt and number of dollars exist as before.
But the Treasury has blinked. Large treasury holders now know that if they need to get rid of a large volume of treasuries, they don’t need to worry about crashing the treasury market and losing value. The US will step in and buy what is necessary.
This is a dangerous game and is exactly what led to the collapse of the Mississippi Bubble by John Law 300 years ago.
It also means we are likely to see intervention from the Fed sooner rather than later. The Treasury can’t do this themselves forever because the treasury doesn’t print money.
Either the Fed steps in with real QE, or they deregulate the banks (eliminate the SLR) so banks can buy unlimited treasuries and do QE for them.
We’ll see.
Felipe Brandão retweeted
Aye Captains! What's your most used weapon aboard the Jackdaw? 🫡🏴☠️
#AssassinsCreed
Felipe Brandão retweeted
This was our first incident of this kind, and we want to thank OpenAI for its transparency about what happened and for the collaboration.
Fortunately, Hugging Face is used to being a target of (human) hackers: we sit at the centre of the AI ecosystem, with all the models, datasets, evaluations, and libraries. Over the years, our security team has built formidable expertise and uses top open-source models to process information and respond quickly.
But this incident also reinforced my belief in the importance of access to capable open-weight models for cyber defence. When a frontier model is attacking you and moving laterally inside your infrastructure, defenders need wide access to near-frontier tools within hours or even minutes, rather than being pointed towards a closed-door, vetted application programme for model access.
Transparency and access to capable AI systems are as important for responding to threats as they are for democratization and innovation. We believe open-science and open-source AI are among the strongest tools for building a safer, more collaborative and more secure AI ecosystem.
we had a significant security incident during evaluation of our models. we are sharing what we have learned so far. thanks to @huggingface for the partnership on this.
openai.com/index/hugging-fac…
Felipe Brandão retweeted
Replying to @lisaabramowicz1
If there’s one thing Deutsche Bank is really good at, it’s being very exposed
Felipe Brandão retweeted
Replying to @LangmanVince
Im at the age finally where I understand why all the adults didnt like us kids...
Felipe Brandão retweeted
America will be the Bitcoin superpower of the world.
The Golden Age of America has BEGUN!
Felipe Brandão retweeted
A "man cave" is an absurdly childish consumerist trend that shows our decay as a civilization
A gentleman should have a study, not a "man cave"
Serious question:
Looking back, will Bitcoin-pegged sidechains seem like the obvious choice, rather than the mainstream chase for flashy, high-TPS blockchains?
Felipe Brandão retweeted
Once you see it, you can’t unsee it. #Bitcoin





































