Trade Simple, Degen Smarter. invite only - Join the waitlist

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Joined November 2025
Trade Simple, Degen Smarter mullet is coming... link in bio
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Everyone on the timeline needs this candle badly...
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ELI5: pre-launch perps. a perp = a futures bet with no expiry date. pre-launch = the token doesn't trade anywhere yet, so the perp is a bet on its price before it exists. $PAPER can't even move between wallets yet. its pre-launch perp still did $6.2M volume, $0.012 to $0.035 in hours.
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worth the read. the line isn't wealth creation vs speculation, it's informed risk vs blind risk. a trader who knows their funding, liquidation price and odds is not a lottery player. the tooling decides which one you create. xitter.cf/gametheorizing/status/…
Jeff drank a bit too much of his own Kool-Aid in this recent Odd Lots clip. I think it's important to clear up a distinction that makes all the difference. Democratizing access to wealth creation is NOT the same as democratizing access to speculation. Many of us genuinely want broader participation in attractive investment opportunities. The growing wealth inequality produced by the current system is tearing at the seams of society, something I've spoken about many times. But let's be clear: listing pre-IPO perpetual futures does absolutely nothing to democratize the wealth being created in private markets. I've seen this misleading narrative pushed repeatedly by perp DEXs lately, and it needs to be called out. A pre-IPO perp creates ZERO underlying wealth. It's a zero-sum contract before costs, and negative-sum after them. No capital flows to the company. No ownership changes hands. No new economic opportunity is created. Every long has a short. There is no free lunch in simply going long something before its IPO, and funding costs can even determine the outcome more than any price moves. TRADING access is NOT INVESTING access. In fact, in many ways pre-IPO perps are almost the antithesis of democratized access: They create the illusion of participation in private-market wealth creation, while actually offering retail a speculative instrument whose mechanics they are often poorly equipped to understand. The result is a playground for the FEW sophisticated traders who understand funding, oracle design, and liquidation mechanics to extract value from the MANY who don't. To give credit where it's due, Robinhood's efforts toward sourcing actual employee shares, placing them into SPVs, and tokenizing genuine spot ownership are much closer to meaningful democratization. That can unlock real economic value by allowing employees to exchange some of their expected upside for liquidity, while giving new investors actual economic exposure. A legitimate financial trade-off, without the funding-rate and liquidation shenanigans. I'm strongly aligned with expanding access to investment opportunities. And I believe advances in AI and blockchain can dramatically lower the barriers to discovering, structuring, and distributing them. But let's not BS ourselves that launching another zero-sum casino contract is moving the needle on wealth inequality. What would actually move the needle is bringing real capital formation and ownership onchain. Giving investors access to productive, illiquid assets like data centers, GPUs, and select startup investing, where capital can actually finance growth and share in the resulting value creation. These opportunities are harder to structure, underwrite, and bring to market, and we haven't seen many compelling implementations onchain yet. Hopefully this will change soon and, as the industry matures, we can direct more of our energy toward actually expanding access to wealth creation. Clip below. Was glad to see @tracyalloway push back on this framing, and to Jeff's credit, after this he does seem to walk back his original position somewhat.
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ELI5: leverage. leverage = trading with borrowed size. 10x means your $100 controls $1,000. the catch: losses count against the full $1,000. a 10% move against you erases your $100. that's liquidation.
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$PURR holders: the Nov 4 annual meeting has one vote that matters for your HYPE per share. Proposal 2. What it does, the dilution math, and what holders should ask for before voting After $1B raised through the Chardan equity line, sales below $12.02 are capped at 42.6M shares unless holders approve more. Prop 2 removes that cap. Nothing replaces it as a price floor. Chardan buys at 97.5% of VWAP (95% off-hours). At ~1.03x mNAV, new issuance barely breaks even for existing holders. Rough math on another $1B raised: • at 1.20x mNAV: +4.0% NAV/share • at 1.03x: ~flat • at 0.95x: −2.1% • at 0.85x: −5.2% Cash-adjusted HYPE per fully diluted share is roughly flat since launch (−2% to +7%, depending on whether the preferred has converted). Shares outstanding went from 237.9M on Sep 8 to 278.3M on Sep 30. Nobody's against the flywheel. Issuing at a premium is the whole point of a DAT. But before voting yes, holders should want: • no facility sales below fully diluted NAV, net of Chardan's discount • disclosure of how much of the cap is used • the Advisor's 5%/15% grant waiver confirmed • a renewed buyback If you hold: abstaining or not voting has no effect on Prop 2, and your broker can't vote it for you. Online deadline is 11:59pm ET Nov 3.
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CT called papertrade a ponzi on day one. week one: $55M in revenue. roughly $6M a day, top 3 in all of crypto by fees. traders want new games, not new chains.
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the sell off is not done. $149M liquidated in the last 4 hours, 84% longs. the last hour alone: $78M, 89% longs. hyperliquid's 4h liqs: 96% long. BTC back to top of the board with $79M rekt.
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ELI5: stock perps. a perp = a futures contract with no expiry. you hold it by paying funding: a small fee swapped between longs and shorts, every 8 hours. stock perps track shares like TSLA, SpaceX or SK hynix, but trade 24/7 with leverage. With stock perps you do not own the underlying shares, you just trade the price index.
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Simple in front, onchain in back
Onchain trading apps will do to the existing heavily regulated and high barrier online brokers what prediction markets did to the sports book stocks. The bleeding edge platforms like Robinhood and Coinbase are in the most trouble. Just like DraftKings and FanDuel were a year ago.
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$935M liquidated in 24h. 83.9% longs. 175,698 traders. the largest single hit: a $12M BTC long on binance at $80,208. now BTC is back at $82.3K and 92% of the past hour's liquidations are shorts. funding reset to 0.003%. leverage got cleaned on both sides.
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hot CPI tuesday. hot PPI wednesday: 6.3% vs 5.4% expected. october fed hike odds went from sleepy to 46%, then back toward 30%, inside 24 hours. Traders will need to monitor the FOMC minutes to see if there are any clues to when the next hike might come.
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September retail sales are due to be released tomorrow. We break down why it's important below 👇
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ELI5: the long/short ratio. long = a bet price goes up. short = a bet it goes down. the ratio: how much money sits on each side. today: 48% long vs 52% short, nearly even. yet 82% of the $311M liquidated (force-closed for running out of margin) were longs. like tug-of-war with even teams where one side stands on ice: it's not how many pull, it's who loses footing first. balanced positioning can still hide big moves.
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CT is posting top signals after todays CPI report. BTC funding at 0.005%, open interest down 1.2%, liquidations down 57%, positioning split 48/52. tops are made of euphoria and max leverage. this is neither. it might still go lower, but after the months long run up in BTC, I sense that we will test $80K again.
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ELI5: put options. a put = the right, not the obligation, to sell at a set price (the strike) by a set date. the fee you pay upfront: the premium. it's insurance. pay a $200 premium for a $2,500 strike on ETH: if ETH drops to $2,200, you still sell at $2,500. ETH never drops? the put expires and the $200 is gone, like car insurance you never used.
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I know he isnt talking about @notthreadguy
my crypto influencers were cobie, gcr, hsaka and burniske imagine entering crypto today nothing but a bunch of soyboy lettuce handed virgins
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$752M liquidated in 24h. 81.8% longs. 160,356 traders. volume: $213B, up 32%. open interest: $142.9B, down less than 1%. BTC funding: still positive at 0.007%. We continue to stay range bound on $BTC.
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the $VIX in traditional markets is one of the most popular indexes for derivatives traders to trade. Crypto has $BVIV and can trade it 24/7.
Two weeks since the BVIV Index (Bitcoin implied volatility) perp launched on @HyperliquidX. ~$5.9m cumulative volume ~$686k in the last 24h ~$770k open interest ~$510k resting on the book app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/mk…
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a perps dex is now quoting tighter NFL prices than the prediction market on any trade above $20. whoever has the deepest book wins the order. doesn't matter what the venue calls itself. xitter.cf/Scott_eth/status/21096…
hyperliquid is starting to beat polymarket quotes for any trade above $20 on NFL games shout out to @Outcomexyz for improving NFL liquidity
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Here is how we are starting the week. 24h volume: $165B, up 149%. liquidations: $345M across 89,402 traders. last 4 hours: 93% longs. open interest: flat at $143.5B. BTC funding: 0.0059%. $BTC staying range bound for the time being.
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