Learner | Investor | Traveller | Fitness
Thane, Maharashtra
Joined January 2011
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The market hasn't been oversold this bad since COVID crash of 2020. Arguably market was not expecting another war and it is getting priced in. No one knows, what will be the consequences of US Iran conflict and when will the Crude price stabilize?
Similar sentiments were there in 2020, when global lockdown happened during Covid. That time it seemed most businesses would shut or report huge losses. What actually followed was longest bull run in recent times, exceeding the expectations of all and sundry.
Those who were pessimistic paid huge opportunity cost that time.
Stock price would always follow the earnings growth momentum, come want may. With at least 2 year time frame, this fall is another great opportunity to accumulate quality companies with PEG ratio of around 0.5. Many opportunities exist in this range today.
Lastly, I will not be biased this time that only small caps can generate alpha. I am not ignoring quality mid and large caps.
A politician will never take the blame and always divert it to issue that doesn't exist.
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Good Q2FY27 results and tracking
Bajaj Consumer Care - FMCG could be a comeback theme
Solara Activ Pharma
Bajaj Health Care
E2E Network
Ujjivan SFB
SG Finserv
Polycab - copper price impacted PAT margin
OFC Value Chain report by Nomura
Glass Preform is the most value added part of the entire chain.
Sterlite Technologies is only player which is fully backword integrated to make its own semiconductor-grade glass preforms at its Aurangabad plant, which it calls India's first and only advanced clean-room glass plant.
Universal Cable and HFCL preform facilities are expected to go live by late 2028/29.
Nuvama Initiating Coverage on HFCL, with 55% UPSIDE- Fibre to the future
Optical connectivity super cycle drives tightness in OFC
Record order book and strong execution underpins growth visibility
Defence-enjoying twin benefits of growth and diversification. It has broadened its portfolio to include tactical communication, thermal weapon sights, surveillance and radars to electronic fuzes (currently under trial), ammunition systems and aerospace structures (through proposed acquisition).
Trump waives several Russia sanctions as row with Zelensky intensifies.
This is good news for India as threat of 100% tariff was looming large which is now gone untill fickle minded Trump again changes his mind.
bbc.com/news/articles/cxr5yv…
Tushar Sarkar retweeted
Pointless - watching US bond gurus on CNBC, endless discussion with friends whether Fed will tighten by 25 bps or 50 bps, whether and by how much will RBI follow, whether a bear market has arrived or will soon arrive…you get the drift
Productive - follow outperformers in results season, listen concalls, read research reports and annual reports, if not this then go on vacation and recharge your mind and soul
The index never recovered, the whole rally since April was in SME, small and mid caps.
Now the index is slowly recovering due to rally in selective Nifty 50 stocks but Small and mid caps are in pull back state.
Making the tracking list ready to add good companies at these levels.
Q2 results season has started. Markets are near 52 week low. Small and mid caps have seen have seen pull back in last few weeks.
Excellent results in this situation will be good catalyst for rally like Sejal Glass, Bhel.
Hy-tech Engineers Analysis
Company is into design, manufacture and supply of hydraulic fittings catering to diverse industrial applications.
Hy-Tech Engineers
…………………………………
A long term story -
Claiming to grow 25-30% PAT growth in FY27 and following years.
Its peers (manufacturing Hydraulic Fittings) are trading above 3X PE valuation with similar or below growth trajectory.
A probable candidate for both PE rerating and EPS growth.
Concall says the Q2 would be definitely better than Q1 because of
1. Price revision to their OEMs
2. Employee cost was high in Q1
Other Strong points -
• Experienced & Qualified (IITian) - Promoter
• 100% Fresh Issue
• 60-70% - Current Utilisation
• No Customer above 15% business
• Exports gonna Increase from 30 to 50% in 5 Years (Covering majorly Europe)
• Registrations & Certifications - IRIS, DRDO, Mazagon Dock
No Recommendations - Go through their concall
Tushar Sarkar retweeted
B2B Jewellery space (Skygold, Utssav CZ Gold and Shanti Gold) is very strong in weak market
Jewellery stocks have started to pick up ahead of festive season and marriage season.
The correction in Gold and Silver prices this year should trigger volume growth as well.
PN Gadgil Jewellers
Shanti Gold
Sky Gold
Kalyan Jewellers
Priority Jewels, Deepa Jewels (recently listed)
sahi.com/news/p-n-gadgil-tar…
PN Gadgil Jewellers posts healthy Q2 business update
Best update in B2C jewellery space in terms of SSSG which market is currently valuing more than any other metric
Robust store addition plans in H2 (~30% expansion)
PN Gadgil Jewellers
#PNGJL
#PNGadgil
Healthy #Q2FY27 update:
11.8% stud ratio vs 9%
Higher margins
Northern region stud ratio at 17%+
Retail revenue ⏫31%+
Franchisee revenue ⏫34%+
SSSG of 25.5%
Highest among peers
Gold bars and coins sales normalized to 15% vs 23%
Again margin accretive
23 new stores to be added in H2
Looks like #Q2FY27 will see another 200cr EBITDA quarter and 100-120cr PAT quarter despite zero festive days
OPM of 7-7.5% seems to be doable looking at this data
Q3FY27 should have benefits of Dussehra, Deepavali and wedding season
Raymond Ltd.
Dam Capital plant visit notes
Raymond Limited's Aerospace subsidiary secured multi-programme aerospace orders worth 33 crore annually from an Indian major.
The award covers more than 300+ part numbers precision-machined, casting and structural -across multiple aircraft applications, with annual volumes exceeding 37,000+ components.
Scope spans precision machining, aerospace castings, structural components and complex assemblies, extending the Company's participation across a wider portion of the aerospace value chain.
Union Cabinet to take up ₹10,000 crore SME Growth Fund, centralised infra authority
According to a note sent out by the Cabinet Secretariat, the SME Growth Fund will be “for direct equity investments in Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) to create future champions
thehindu.com/business/Econom…
Prizor Viztech
📌 H1 FY27 Business Update
➤ Prizor expanded its channel network to over 450 partners and opened new offices in Noida and Kolkata to drive North and East India growth.
➤ The company held four dealer meets across Pune, Chandigarh, Kerala, and Bangkok, and launched the 'Prizor One' digital platform for partners.
➤ Secured BIS-ER certification for 12 camera models and is progressing certification for three new categories: video door phones, pocket cameras, and car dash cameras.
Fineotex Chemical 10% UC
Fineotex Chemical
✅ Credit Rating upgrade
➤ ICRA upgraded Fineotex's long-term rating to AA- from A+ reflecting improved scale and diversification after acquisition of US speciality chemical group, strong financial profile with negligible debt, and healthy liquidity.
✅ Short-term rating A1+ reaffirmed.
➤ Outlook revised to stable from positive.
