I just read Buffett’s 2006–2010 shareholder letters.
He noted in 2006, during the housing boom, people assumed rising home prices would justify the cost of borrowing.
Today, the AI argument is that future productivity gains will justify almost any amount spent building it.
Weekly bearish SFP on $SPX.
Last 4 weekly SFPs on the S&P:
Jan '22 → -12%
Jul '24 → -10%
Feb '25 → -21%
Feb '26 → -10%
All within 3-8 weeks. Hot CPI, midterms in 3 weeks.
What I’m expecting:
Everyone keeps posting Bitcoin’s average returns in Q4, which is historically green but the last 3 midterm years resulted in double-digit red Q4s.
Am I missing something?
Last week my Dad said he bought some $QUBT just before the weekly candle closed as a bearish SFP.
Look at the history of the chart, each yellow line is a weekly SFP, resulting in a move ranging from 35%-268%.
Weekly SFP's are some of the biggest tells in TA
. retweeted
我爷爷给人看了一辈子风水,临走前跟我交了个实底:
1. 不管住哪,要说房子好
2. 和谁在一起,就说谁好
3. 上班的时候,就说这个工作好
4. 遇到晴天,就说阳光很暖
5. 碰到下雨天,就说空气很好
6. 喝水的时候,就说水都是甜的
人本身就是一个能量场,从你嘴里说出什么,就吸引什么,坚持这样做,你会发现自己一切都越来越好。
最后补了一句:“看风水是看地,但人最大的风水,在嘴上。这话,你记死了。”
Potential $LINK short
Pros:
Daily OB, Daily MSB, Daily H&S, into FIB
4H OB, 4H MSB, into FIB
1H OB, 1H MSB, into FIB
Cons:
Daily swept lows and flipped back bullish at $12
No higher time frame signs of weakness yet (No SFPs)













