@thecbcb

Just a journal. Observing #Bitcoin. No financial advice.

Joined June 2021
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421Media
#Bitcoin longterm view looks good.
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Flip the 50-week MA to support and the probability of a right-shoulder idea shrinks to nearly zero.
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If knowledge is and will be more dramatically democratized with AI, execution matters more than ever.
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Reminder: The bull market support band on the weekly timeframe is currently at $70,000. Right shoulder option are still in the cards.
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Memo: There is still a chance we see Bitcoin in the low 60s or even 50s when this is just part of the bottom forming… maybe a head and shoulders pattern with the right shoulder about to form in late 2026.
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Reminder.
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✅ 50-week MA got hit. Option 1: local top & correction Option2: Euphoria kicks in, 100-week MA next.
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The probability for the 50s gets lower. High 60s matching the 21 EMA & MA on the weekly.
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Reminder for Bitcoin.
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Update on these two… spot on BTC again.
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Oct > Nov 2019
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Idea for the rest of the year.
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The falling wedge broke out a bit earlier than expected. Maybe this was the bottom or we get a second chance.
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Bitcoin reacted, and it wants to change the trend to the upside. First buy on the 3d Supertrend since the sell signal flashed last year.
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After this move, Bitcoin is currently back above the 200-day MA. Currently watching the $70.000 area on the 3d chart and how BTC will react there.
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Reminder: ⛔️No Leverage.
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I can't believe this. R.I.P. Kavinsky. The first time I stumbled upon this song was during my study years, and every time there was a house party in the city, at one point during the party I played this song that filled the room with pure energy. Thank you. kavinsky.bandcamp.com/track/…

Testarossa Autodrive, by Kavinsky

from the album Teddy Boy EP

kavinsky.bandcamp.com
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Idea: $71,000 local top in early/mid-August, euphoria kicks in, then a DOWN into the end September/ October.
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ETH/BTC Momentum shift on the daily.
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ETH/BTC Momentum on the weekly. First green bar in the making since the last one from October 2025.
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Memo: Maybe Saylor's construction will create the final bottom.
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Reminder: Early stage scale in.
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