It’s incredible that people aren’t learning lessons from past mistakes. Remember the Flamingo and oil refinery strikes? (Almost non existent now) Kupyansk was claimed fully recaptured by Ukrainians recently (it wasn’t) Pokrovsk isn’t fully captured by the Russians (it is) Hulyaipole isn’t fully Russian (it is) And now we have the “disintegration of Russian forces in the south”. (Not even close to reality) But soon all the “commentators” in the pro Ukrainian community will switch to whatever the next “big” thing is. No lessons ever learned, just childlike critical thinking because if they actually tangled with reality their entire existence would fall apart. People have made this the hill they will die on and I will gladly watch these muppets die on said hill.

I’ve been hesitant to update Kupyansk because there are so many variables at play and heavy fog of war surrounding the situation. People who claim their map is right in this area are almost certainly wrong. 1. Geolocations of men dying don’t equate to advance or consolidation 2. Ukraine is crippled by manpower shortages so any offensive will be extremely limited and gains will be difficult to secure and sustain. 3. The propaganda aspects of this battle are exaggerating Ukrainian success as always happens. 4. The Russians have the ability to rotate forces here to prevent further Ukrainian advances.

History doesn’t repeat itself but it sure does look familiar. Ukrainian POWs capture in the recent AFU counterattack in the Hulyaipole direction. German POWs after the battle of the bulge.

Rubicon has published their first complication of drone deep strikes on AFU equipment over 200km from the current frontline.