Tommy Gress (@tgress12) header
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Trust The Process. Temple University. Mainly basketball thoughts.

Joined November 2020
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Tyran Stokes performance against Kentucky is why he should be in his own tier for the 2027 NBA draft. His ability to handle the ball as a wing and make passing reads is not normal for someone his size. While having elite defensive versatility I think he'll be a able to guard 1-4.
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Jordan Smiths game against Virginia showed what is unique about him as a potential top 3 pick. I think the defense is sensational he's a special athlete with great instincts on and off the ball with a + wingspan. There is a real chance he's a top tier guard defender in the NBA.
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The question will be if he can provide enough value on offense to return top 3 value. I'll have him top 5 most likely because he does so many things that lead to winning basketball and has multiple different ways to impact the game.
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Tommy Gress retweeted
more lottery caliber flashes from davis fogle against new mexico state, popping as a drive creator, pick and roll passer and outside shooter fogle took 40 total threes as a freshman, has already attempted 11 through two games as a sophomore. up from 4.5 -> 9.3 3pa/100 for now
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Tommy Gress retweeted
In a league where his athleticism deficit is even more pronounced, Keaton Wagler is still solving the math problem He’s managed to cobble up 69th %tile TS positionally, despite being the NBA’s single worst 2P scorer (by over 6%), solely from maximizing extra points opportunities
Replying to @DBCJason
My favorite 2026 Unique Production example is Keaton Wagler, the extra points king His lack of athleticism/stocks makes him unpopular in query-heavy analysis but he creates extra points opportunities through OTD 3s, foul drawing, and offensive rebounding in ways no one else has
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Keaton Wagler being this efficient so far makes me extremely bullish on him hitting his star-end outcomes. Him grading out as the best rookie per EPM through the first 9 games with less opportunity than some rookies is a great sign for the Clippers organization and their future.
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Houston's JoJo Tugler is someone I'm super intrigued by as an NBA draft prospect. His defensive playmaking is elite and I have no questions about him being an impactful defender at the next level. There are simply not many guys in the league that can protect the rim and switch.
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My biggest takeaway from the Virginia Arkansas game is Chance Mallory will be a winning NBA player for a while. Whether the higher end outcomes happen or not which I think are there. His ability to impact the game in a variety of ways is rare for a point guard. 6 assists to 1 TO.
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And the one turnover could’ve easily been free throws for him. He was in total control of this game as a playmaker.
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Obinna Ekezie JR completely changes the trajectory of the 2027 NBA draft class if this continues. A true 7-footer with the ability to protect the rim and stretch the floor while being a good athlete is special. Especially when every NBA champion lately has had a stretch big.
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Tommy Gress retweeted
Jase Richardson is 1/11 but just played a huge role in a double digit halftime deficit comeback without making an impact as a scorer Strong playmaking + incredible hustle to win plays with the most energy as the smallest player on the floor. That stuff scales long-term
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I thought Pryce Sandfort was by far the best player on the floor in the Nebraska Providence game. He was not phased by Miles Byrds defensive intensity at all who is NBA level defender. Nebraskas offense was a night and day difference with him on the floor T20 prospect comfortably
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Watching the Indiana Pacers play extended basketball without Tyrese Haliburton makes me even more confident in him being a firm top 10 player in the NBA. They are basically a lottery team when he doesn’t play.
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Providence Nebraska is an underrated matchup from an NBA draft perspective. I hope we see some of Miles Byrd guarding Pryce Sandfort. I think seeing Sandfort matched up against an elite defensive playmaker in Byrd will be a good test for Sandforts high assist to turnover ratio.
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The 2028 NBA draft might be another all time class with the amount of star power it will have at the top.
UCLA's Nikola Kusturica in the first half against North Florida: 26 points 9-9 from the field 4-4 from three-point range 4-4 from the FT line 5 rebounds 3 assists Bruins are plus 38 with him on the floor.
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Tommy Gress retweeted
Colben Landrew tonight: • 14/8/2 • 75% FTR | 37.5 3PAR • 60 2P% (3/5) • 2 AST - 0 TOV • 8 Boards, 2 on O Neat as a support piece on O, release a bit slow but his shooting relative to position and frame is nice. Boards and strength creation 😮‍💨
Very vaguely watched due to being out , but thoughts on both teams UM: • Seasons’ what it is, lot of raw pieces / the older dudes aren’t prospects • Estrella’s an intriguing piece, could be really good & I love the skill intersection UConn: • Get Landrew in SAS pronto
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That Sixers game was frustrating for a number of reasons but I think they were due for some regression defensively and I don’t believe it’s worth having major takeaways from a game in where Joel shoots that poorly his mobility on defense was still encouraging to me.
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Colben Landrew showed all the flashes of why he’s a potential top 10 pick against Michigan. I thought his energy off the bench really swung the game for UConn. His skill set can fit on any team no matter the context.
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Tommy Gress retweeted
The Magic are currently 12th in the East with Franz Wagner as their unquestioned #1 option and yet, it’s #NotHisFault why his fully realized playmaking, 5th factor influence and stabilization of ORL’s floor on D is the brightest spot in the roughest offensive context in the NBA
6'8 or taller players to average a 40% or higher assist rate: Nikola Jokic Lebron James Magic Johnson 2027 Franz Wagner +5.6 Transition Frequency On/Off (99th%ile) 28.1 Halfcourt AST% (3rd) 68.6% at the rim (career-high) 1.24 PPP on Isos including Passes (6th) #NotHisFault
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Tommy Gress retweeted
Jalen Green has been this season about the worst player in the league. Not predicted to stay there but also not predicted to be good (about -1) espnanalytics.com/nba-award-…
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