Crypto Trader & Investor, On chain/ Off chain data research. @Bushido_Bulls I share my thoughts and insight about the markets.
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Joined October 2011
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GM fam,
I’ve stopped the newsletter.
It was supposed to help me build an edge while sharing content, not make content come at the expense of my edge.
One thing this bear market has made very clear to me is that my number one priority is developing real edges. If something doesn’t serve that goal, or takes too much out of me, I cut it off.
One of my mistakes during the bull market was spending too much time on things around the market instead of the market itself. That won’t happen again.
That’s part of the beauty of this journey: the lessons we learn about ourselves along the way.
Have a good Tuesday everyone.
- BTC just had its biggest 3-day move in 5½ years. +21%. ETH +31%.
Both reclaimed the 200-day average, one day apart.
That's happened twice: March 2022 (89 days below — a trap) and January 2023 (278 — the bottom).
-ETH today: 216 days.
-Invalidation 1,568.
Tomorrow we have the FOMC rate decision, and with the hold as a most likely result, data says that we can get a pretty flat week after, but if we add the macro instability and the capex narrative on stocks.. there is the perfect coctel to go and visit the lows..
No puedo estar mas orgulloso de estar en el mismo barco que estos monstruos!!
Team Bushido! ⚔️
No todo son cosas malas en un mercado bajista.
Llevo un tiempo trabajando junto a unos amigos, @PresichiMxli y @studentonCrypto, en un proyecto que ya está viendo su final.
Y la verdad, estoy muy orgulloso de la ventaja que creo que nos va a dar en el futuro.
Más adelante hablaré de él.
Winter Sun Capital retweeted
Key Events This Week:
1. April Existing Home Sales data - Monday
2. April CPI Inflation data - Tuesday
3. April PPI Inflation data - Wednesday
4. OPEC Monthly Report - Wednesday
5. April Retail Sales data - Thursday
6. April Industrial Production data - Friday
More crucial inflation data is ahead of us.
Are we going to see the same move on BTC or do we take all that liquidity that leave on the downside?
Weekly Bias — BTC
Bias: cautiously bullish
-First breakout attempt failed, so this second one matters more
-Structure still looks constructive, but it is not full confirmation yet
-The more bullish case would be for price to hold current levels around 70.5k
-Even so, a revisit of the 69k green zone would still be valid and normal
-If 69k holds, bullish structure remains intact
-If 69k fails, price likely rotates back toward the lows
The war remains the main wildcard. So far, crypto is absorbing the headlines surprisingly well, and that relative strength is part of why I still keep a bull bias.
For now: stay with trend while structure holds.
-Lose 69k, and the downside case becomes much stronger.
Have a Nice weekend!
Weekly Bias — BTC
Bias: cautiously bullish
-First breakout attempt failed, so this second one matters more
-Structure still looks constructive, but it is not full confirmation yet
-The more bullish case would be for price to hold current levels around 70.5k
-Even so, a revisit of the 69k green zone would still be valid and normal
-If 69k holds, bullish structure remains intact
-If 69k fails, price likely rotates back toward the lows
The war remains the main wildcard. So far, crypto is absorbing the headlines surprisingly well, and that relative strength is part of why I still keep a bull bias.
For now: stay with trend while structure holds.
-Lose 69k, and the downside case becomes much stronger.
Have a Nice weekend!
GM Fam! There you go!
Market Intelligence 9,March, 2026 winter-sun-capital.beehiiv.c…
Today’s key market headlines:
-Oil surged as the Middle East conflict and Hormuz bottleneck fears intensified.
-Asian markets and futures sold off on renewed inflation and supply-shock risk.
-China CPI came in hotter than expected, adding another inflation layer to the macro picture.
-Gold traded lower, which makes today’s move even more unusual for a classic risk-off session.
-Crypto pushed higher, diverging from parts of TradFi and raising questions about what this market is really pricing.
-Markets now shift toward U.S. inflation expectations and Treasury auction demand later today.
GM Fam!
Market reflection:
It’s interesting to see such a sharp reversal in price while Asian and futures markets are bleeding today on the back of the Middle East conflict and the oil bottleneck. Yet crypto is up, and even gold is red. That makes this move even more interesting.
I still do not fully see the edge between crypto and TradFi here. I can understand the Bitcoin as digital gold argument, but price action has not really supported that view in the past either.
So the question is: are we entering a new paradigm, or what exactly are market participants betting on in crypto?
GM fam! There you go!
Market Intelligence, 06, March , 2026 winter-sun-capital.beehiiv.c…
Winter Sun Capital retweeted
After yesterday’s bull continuation on $BTC, the range finally broke and we got a strong push through the key levels. Only ~$75k left overhead now.
Either we clear it today, or we fade back into the ~$71k zone — neither would surprise me. Slight bull bias for today, but let’s see if we get real acceptance.
BTC structure looks clean. If we break and hold well above $70k, it likely flips the short-term bias bullish and changes the near-term development for the asset. Key is acceptance above the level — otherwise it’s just a wick and chop.
GM Fam! There you go!
Market Intelligence 05,March, 2026 winter-sun-capital.beehiiv.c…
After yesterday’s bull continuation on $BTC, the range finally broke and we got a strong push through the key levels. Only ~$75k left overhead now.
Either we clear it today, or we fade back into the ~$71k zone — neither would surprise me. Slight bull bias for today, but let’s see if we get real acceptance.
BTC structure looks clean. If we break and hold well above $70k, it likely flips the short-term bias bullish and changes the near-term development for the asset. Key is acceptance above the level — otherwise it’s just a wick and chop.
GM Fam! There you go!
Market Intelligence 04, March, 2026 winter-sun-capital.beehiiv.c…
BTC structure looks clean. If we break and hold well above $70k, it likely flips the short-term bias bullish and changes the near-term development for the asset. Key is acceptance above the level — otherwise it’s just a wick and chop.
GM Fam! There you go!
Market Intelligence 03,March, 2026 winter-sun-capital.beehiiv.c…
Winter Sun Capital retweeted
GM Fam! There you go!
Market Intelligence 02, March, 2026 winter-sun-capital.beehiiv.c…
Winter Sun Capital retweeted
My summary of the War situation:
If somebody tells you “analyse me "BTC & ETH” and then after tells you all the macro news…
You’d either think he is mad, or something is off — because, as far as the crypto market is concerned, it’s business as usual: no panic, no liquidation cascade. We had an initial dump, but not bigger than others (we do not need extra help to nuke BTC).
This makes me think that, at the moment, the market is leaning toward a shorter conflict.
We will see things can change, but so far that what we can read.
My summary of the War situation:
If somebody tells you “analyse me "BTC & ETH” and then after tells you all the macro news…
You’d either think he is mad, or something is off — because, as far as the crypto market is concerned, it’s business as usual: no panic, no liquidation cascade. We had an initial dump, but not bigger than others (we do not need extra help to nuke BTC).
This makes me think that, at the moment, the market is leaning toward a shorter conflict.
We will see things can change, but so far that what we can read.