market profile, order flow, ichimoku. rates, commodities, crypto. not a signal shop. 饾浖 stonXBT@protonmail.com
Market Microstructure
Joined November 2017
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Six months of the Iran war on one profile. Value 77.50 to 95, POC 88.10, Brent at 90.50 after last night's gap.
Every escalation tries to relocate fair price and the auction keeps dragging it back. Mines, buy it to 95. Corridor talks, sell it to 80. Rotation both times, back to the high 80s.
Acceptance above 95 turns this gap initiative and opens the door to 100.19. Back inside and it's another lap. Two hundred odd sessions of headlines to agree on one number: about 88.
neck deep in $NVDA for an ATH breakout play
maybe range and build a base here before a further push
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strong close on bitcoin:native monthly
above value
weekly profiles holding above quarterly/M3 SR.
i am bid
seven months in and trump is still saying the oil will go down way down to what it was before the war
uk diesel this morning, record 199.18p a litre per the RAC. 拢31 more to fill a family car than the day it started
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same week trump backed a US diesel export ban, the white house asked xi for more refined product
europe was taking 396k b/d of US diesel in january per the EIA. ban it and ICE gasoil does the rationing, NYMEX ULSD gets cheaper and the clean tankers lose the transatlantic run
gasoil crack and STNG are on opposite sides of the same headline
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brent march to august composite is a clean D. VAL 87.8 POC 95 VAH 111.8
september built its value in the upper half. VAL 98.3 POC 103.9 VAH 108.9
tuesday's de-escalation probe broke september VAL and ran out at 97.36 on nov contract, still 2.36 above composite POC. an offer to reopen hormuz inside a week couldnt get it back to 95
Six months of the Iran war on one profile. Value 77.50 to 95, POC 88.10, Brent at 90.50 after last night's gap.
Every escalation tries to relocate fair price and the auction keeps dragging it back. Mines, buy it to 95. Corridor talks, sell it to 80. Rotation both times, back to the high 80s.
Acceptance above 95 turns this gap initiative and opens the door to 100.19. Back inside and it's another lap. Two hundred odd sessions of headlines to agree on one number: about 88.
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branch three is dead. xi landed at andrews last night and trump met him on the tarmac
branch one is wobbling before theyve sat down. tehran tabled an up to 60 day ceasefire and a phased hormuz reopening at the UN, trump wont lift the blockade first, and their security chief says nothing reopens until iran's conditions are met
brent 97.36 on tuesday, back over 105 this morning
trump xi thursday is the fork for the week
deal with beijing leaning on tehran and the hormuz premium comes out.
photo op with nothing in it and you keep the tape you have. Fed just hiked to 3.75-4 and nothing about that gets easier
third branch i dont see priced is the visit slipping. xi skipped the BRICS dinner on the 12th, the stroke chatter traces to one exiled dissident and nothing is confirmed.
low odds imo but a dated state media appearance before wednesday would kill it
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sidelined
BTC showing more strength that I had anticipated, esp in the face of recent rate hike
will either buy in a consolidation at this level and lack of initiative selling below 84.6
or if that doesn't hold then 82.5k
trump xi thursday is the fork for the week
deal with beijing leaning on tehran and the hormuz premium comes out.
photo op with nothing in it and you keep the tape you have. Fed just hiked to 3.75-4 and nothing about that gets easier
third branch i dont see priced is the visit slipping. xi skipped the BRICS dinner on the 12th, the stroke chatter traces to one exiled dissident and nothing is confirmed.
low odds imo but a dated state media appearance before wednesday would kill it
the piddington campaigns whole case is safety and strain on local policing in a village of 358.
this week they showed danny tommo round, the man floating 5,000 blokes camping at the site
ggs
"It's really upsetting - it's always been the most amazingly peaceful place to live and we've never experienced the level of overt racism that we鈥檙e witnessing"
Rachel, a Piddington resident, expresses her concern at some of the arguments made in opposition to plans for a nearby disused MoD base to house 1200 male asylum seekers.
#Newsnight
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one in nine french stations dry, 16% in grand est. brent at 108. give it a day, someone will announce a temporary corridor from a podium and we'll be at $50 by lunch
France is running out of fuel. 11% of France's stations nationwide are now out of petrol or diesel, one in nine, with 16% of stations short in Grand Est, 15% in Pays de la Loire, 14% in Occitanie, and 13% in Centre-Val de Loire, per government figures published this morning.
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