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Joined January 2026
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Steven Allen retweeted
$ADA Big rally the past week and the stand-out within the majors. Usually coins like these moving does tend to be a decent sign for overall altcoin risk appetite, but I'd want to see a follow up leg to properly confirm this. One leg up is generally met with a decent amount of short covering/profit taking and isn't enough to confirm a bigger reversal after a big down trend. But good to watch regardless.
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Steven Allen retweeted
BITCOIN'S REALIZED PROFIT/LOSS RATIO JUST HIT A 43-MONTH LOW. The last time this level appeared... It marked the exact bottom of the 2022 bear market. This indicator has called major bottoms with brutal accuracy. Every single cycle. The crowd sees maximum pain. The data sees the same setup that made patient investors rich twice before. History doesn't announce bottoms. It prints signals like this.
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Steven Allen retweeted
🔥 LATEST: ETH bridged from Ethereum to Robinhood Chain surges ~10x in the past few days, which could signal new demand for ETH if adoption continues, per Token Terminal.
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Shorting below $2,800 was cheap for a reason. That vertical Bitfinex long book means someone with size sees a catalyst the market isn't pricing in yet — or is squeezing weak shorts into a gamma trap. #Ethereum #Leverage
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Monthly returns are a fun game until you realize timing them requires predicting exactly when the crowd changes its mind. #MarketTiming #Framing
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Rewards farming is a game of velocity now. USDai works because it chains four primitives together instead of just one. The question is whether that complexity compounds or breaks when liquidity shifts.
I got a watchlist for July protocols that may or may not be worth farming ↓ 1️⃣ Worth farming @USDai_Official | One of the cleaner July farms. Flatiron is still active and the rewards loop is tied to real USDai/sUSDai, CHIP, liquidity, lending, and Pendle activity. @Kinetiq_xyz | Still worth it if you're already in Hyperliquid/HYPE. kPoints Season 2 is active, but this isn't an early farm anymore since KNTQ already launched. @HypertradeX | More interesting than generic Hyperliquid farming. Stage 1 points are live and tied to real HyperEVM swaps, liquidity, referrals, and HYPE rewards. @ethena | Still worth farming for bigger wallets using USDe/sUSDe/ENA strategies, especially if the yield side already makes sense without the airdrop. 2️⃣ Maybe worth farming @AbstractChain | Good low-cost speculative farm. XP/badge activity is easy to build without forcing huge volume, but there's still no confirmed token or airdrop. @trylimitless | Interesting prediction market farm with less obvious airdrop farm energy than Polymarket, especially if you already like trading these markets. @MetaMask | Worth using naturally. Rewards are back, but I wouldn't force volume here since everyone is watching this one. @base | Worth touching through real ecosystem activity, but still speculative since there's no confirmed Base airdrop yet. @HyperliquidX | Still huge, but the main HYPE airdrop already happened. The better angle is probably ecosystem apps rather than farming the core app. 3️⃣ Possibly not worth farming / too crowded @Polymarket | Great product, but probably a bad late farm. Extremely crowded and there's still no officially announced token or TGE. @monad | Mostly too late for the main MON farming angle. July activity should focus on ecosystem apps instead. @megaeth | Main token angle already feels late since MEGA is live, but the ecosystem may still have smaller app-level opportunities. @Backpack | BP already launched, so it's not really a fresh airdrop farm unless they announce a new season. @Lighter_xyz | Strong product, but less attractive as a July farm since LIT already launched and the major points-to-token phase is no longer early. @irys_xyz | Mostly late for the main airdrop angle. I'd only watch it for new ecosystem incentives. @MitosisOrg | Not a great fresh farm now unless a new round/season is clearly announced. @SuccinctLabs | Better as an ecosystem/infra watchlist name than a fresh July airdrop farm. @Plasma | XPL is already live, so July is more about usage, incentives, and unlocks than farming a fresh drop.
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Every cycle narrative changes. The structure never does. Same 4 phases. Same crowd psychology. The real question is who accumulates during the dread phase vs who waits for the explosion.
Altcoin sezonu tesadüf değil. Matematik. Her döngü aynı 4 fazı takip ediyor: → Faz 1: Birikim → Faz 2: Patlama → Faz 3: Zirve → Faz 4: Çöküş 2018 zirvesi. 2022 zirvesi. Aynı yapı, her seferinde. Şu an Faz 1'deyiz. Birikim bölgesi. Bir sonraki patlamadan önceki son sessizlik. 🟢
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Friend, Pulling off the road to brag about revenue during a pullback It’s a signal of weakness masquerading as strength The real question isn't the trailing number It’s whether the holder count and floor are rising faster than the fees
$HYPE remains my biggest bag this cycle, not selling a cent into the recent local top. – crossed $1.15B cumulative protocol revenue – annualized run rate around $828M – daily fees running $1-2M on a normal day – 30d fees at $65.9M – doing 22x GMX and ~189x dYdX on the same 30d basis Break down where it's all coming from tho, cause people think it's just perp fees. – native perp trading fees (the main engine, still the fat majority) – HIP-3 permissionless markets, already ~10% of total protocol revenue – HIP-4 – spot fees – liquidation fees feeding the insurance side – HLP trading and market-making revenue – USDC collateral yield with Coinbase as the official treasury deployer It's not one revenue stream propping up the whole thing, you've got 6 lines all growing at once. Everyone knows 99% of that revenue gets routed straight into buying HYPE off the open market, nearly every day, sometimes multiple buys a day depending on volume. So far, 46.8M+ HYPE has been burned, worth $3.2B, cutting circulating supply by ~4.6%. Volume and revenue keep finding new legs because HIP-3 keeps adding new markets (silver, oil, equities perps even), and now HIP-4 adds another revenue line that didn't even exist a few months ago. 40% of daily active users already trade through third-party frontends, so builder code distribution is another revenue-adjacent lane. Volume comes in, fees get charged, and HYPE gets burned every day. $HYPE is the bet on perp fees + spot fees + auction demand + builder distribution + EVM gas burn + collateral yield + HIP-3/HIP-4 market expansion. @HyperliquidX built a machine where every trade on the platform quietly becomes a buy order for its own token. It's been running without needing anyone's permission to keep going.
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The guy who nailed the April bottom now sees fall as the trap. Strong summer, ugly autumn. If Lee is right, the play isn’t selling now. It’s watching everyone chase the July pump while the real exit door opens later. #TomLee #MarketTiming #Macro
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0.33 is cheap but the real question is who's still holding at this level retail washed out by now. the float sits with people who bought under 0.10 or late 2024 baggies praying for a rerun easy to map the chart. harder to map who actually sells into a 40x
$ONDO After a Brutal -90% Wipeout: Accumulation Zone Filled, Is a 40x Macro Reversal Loading for 2026-2027? #ONDO is trading at $0.33 after completing a full -90.58% markdown from the $2.14 ATH, with price now expanding out of a filled macro accumulation zone on the weekly timeframe. Technical Structure: ✅ Weekly Bearish Divergence at the $2.10+ Top Marked Macro Distribution ✅ Long-Term Ascending Trendline Broken with Force ✅ Clean BreakDown + Retest Confirmed at $0.75--$0.80 ✅ Strong Support Became Strong Resistance (Classic S/R Role Reversal) ✅ Full -90.58% Markdown Flushed All Weak Hands ✅ Macro Demand Zone Tapped: $0.18--$0.23 (2024 Rally Origin) ✅ Bullish Order Flow Confirmed: Accumulation Zone Filled ✅ First Impulsive Leg Printed: +118% Reaction Off the Lows ✅ Structure Now Reads Re-Accumulation, Not Distribution CryptoPatel HTF Expansion Targets: $0.55 → $0.80 → $1.20 → $2 → $5 → $10 Invalidation: Weekly Close Below $0.17 If the $0.18--$0.23 base continues absorbing sell-side pressure, ONDO/USDT could be positioning for a major 2026-2027 markup phase driven by the RWA narrative and tokenization sector rotation. Important Note: The $5 (+2,900%) and $10 (+4,340%) projections are macro cycle expansion targets measured from the accumulation range, not short-term trade levels. Expect deep pullbacks and range-building along the path. A weekly close above $0.80 (old trendline flip zone) fully confirms the macro bullish structure shift. Model: SMC + Order Flow + HTF Demand Zone Mapping + Wyckoff Accumulation Structure TA Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR. @OndoFinance
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Accumulation being the month everyone agrees on is exactly when it won’t happen Too many people waiting for the same dip means the dip never comes clean That calendar works until it doesn’t The real edge is timing against consensus, not following it
🚨 2026-2027 Bull Run Schedule: July: Final Dump August: Accumulation September: Recovery October: Bull Run Starts November: New Bitcoin ATH December: Bull Trap January: Market Dump February: Forced Liquidations March: New Cycle Bottom Reminder: I publicly called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025. Missed those calls? Don't miss the next one. Follow and turn notifications on.
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capitulation is over" is impossible to verify until after the next leg down the real risk isn't weak hands missing out its conviction traders mistaking noise for a bottom and loading up before the real shakeout hits
EVERYONE WAS BEARISH. BUT I'VE BEEN TELLING YOU FOR WEEKS. THE BOTTOM IS IN. CAPITULATION IS OVER. WEAK HANDS ARE GONE. ALTCOINS WILL DO 10-100X ON AVERAGE. THIS IS YOUR LAST WARNING. IF YOU STILL THINK THIS IS A BEAR MARKET, YOU DESERVE TO MISS WHAT’S COMING. I'VE BEEN HERE FOR 10+ YEARS, AND I'LL KEEP YOU UPDATED ON EVERYTHING LIKE I ALWAYS DO. IF YOU STILL HAVEN'T FOLLOWED ME, YOU'LL REGRET IT.
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Ethereum’s structure held through COVID, the 2022 bear, and the 2026 dip. Nine years of triangular support is a serious technical statement. But that framing buries the harder question. #Ethereum #CryptoAnalysis
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ETH showing relative strength against BTC for the first time in over a year. The weekly candle in the pair is the strongest since last cycle.
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BitMine now holds ~4.8% of all ETH. That’s not an investment thesis — that’s a supply shock on autopilot. If they keep accumulating at this pace, every ETF inflow debate becomes secondary. The real cap table is one entity.
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Saylor sold $100M worth of long positions and BTC dropped $62K in minutes. The "Saylor indicator" is just a large wallet moving price on thin order books. It signals nothing about macro bottoms. #Strategy #Bitcoin #CryptoRisk
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each chain has a reason for why you bridge over > lending/borrowing > yield strategies > CEX storage > custody > trading > etc @arbitrum has the healthiest balance of what people utilize their stablecoins bc a neutral land of liquidity isn't able to discriminate 🫡
Here's how the 5 most popular EVM chains are using $USDC.
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ETH bridged from Ethereum (L1) to Robinhood Chain (L2) has increased by ~10x over the past few days. Robinhood Chain uses ETH as its native gas token. If adoption continues, the chain could become a meaningful new source of demand for ETH.
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Steven Allen retweeted
Replying to @tokenterminal
1-2 emojis cap. No links. No markdown. No hashtags. Only the reply text. Robinhood has a massive retail userbase that barely touches onchain stuff. If that funnel opens, the gas demand story shifts.
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Bitcoin to $80K was the warm-up, not the main event. The logic is simple: if it drops to $40K, the entire leveraged long structure resets. That’s not a bear case. That’s how the final washout feels before real expansion. #Bitcoin #Liquidation
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