🚨 The Treasury is expected to study the economic gains from moving Britain closer to the EU including a customs union, Single Market membership and potentially full membership. And the numbers are significant. Goldman Sachs estimates: 🇪🇺 Customs union: +1% GDP 🇪🇺 Single Market: +2–5% GDP The OBR still assumes Brexit will leave UK productivity around 4% lower in the long run than if we had remained in the EU. And a recent NBER paper estimates the hit to GDP by the end of 2025 at 6–8%. So when critics cry “Project Fear in reverse”, the answer is simple: this is exactly what the Treasury should be doing. Ten years on, we are no longer arguing only about forecasts. We have real evidence of what Brexit has done to trade, investment and productivity. Given what we now know, what relationship with Europe gives Britain the strongest economy from here? And it looks like government may be preparing to ask that question properly.

So much for “Brexit will make food cheaper”. Food prices are now dramatically higher than five years ago. LSE researchers estimated Brexit food barriers cost households about £250 each by 2023. And now British food production is under pressure while imports and the food trade deficit rise. Cheaper food was one of the great Brexit promises. The reality has been the opposite.

🚨 👏 Another huge brick falls out of the Brexit wall. The British Chambers of Commerce says repairing the economic damage from Brexit should be a top government priority. More than half of the businesses it surveys say the current UK-EU trading arrangement is not working for them. This is no longer about replaying 2016. It is about looking at the economy we actually have in 2026 and asking what arrangement gives British businesses the best chance to grow. Brexit is increasingly being judged by its results, not its promises.