Oliver (@steoli) header
Oliver (@steoli) profile picture

Institutional trader | Ex-Tier 1 Investment Bank | Prop trading since ‘97 | Quant, arbitrage & yield strategies | Options premium collection | Bitcoin PoT.

Portugal
Joined January 2015
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I keep hearing people brag about making 35% a year from selling premium, but they rarely mention how much principal remains at the end of that year. It’s easy to quote a big yield to look smart —until you realize your original capital hasn’t really moved.
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Spent the last few days checking out new “premium selling” accounts—only to see baby-faced “gurus” DMs promising 100% returns in two weeks. Some things never change: yesterday’s scammers morph into tomorrow’s, and the old penny stocks are now crypto.
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Was in PLTR pre-earnings—exited some, holding partial size. IV crush playing out, so now watching for skew shifts & premium-selling opportunities (short strangles, ratio spreads). Also tracking gamma exposure for short-term scalps.
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UK food prices and inflation surge to a 44-year high, reaching levels not seen since 1977. This is a concerning trend, and experts predict it could have a significant impact on households and the wider economy. #UKfoodprices #inflation
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Important reminder: BUY signal from the "Zweig Breadth Thrust" indicator triggered by sharp lift in stocks rising. Perfect track record since 1950 with >15% return in 6-months (small n = 14). Keep an eye on the market! #ZweigBreadthThrust #stockmarket
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Information decay is calculated as a factor “half-life” and was found to be the longest for the value factor. Optimal rebalancing periods. #informationdecay #valuefactor #optimalrebalancingperiods alphaarchitect.com/2023/04/i…
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Zweig Breadth Thrust is a technical indicator that measures the proportion of advancing stocks to total stocks traded. A sharp increase in this ratio generates a BUY signal, indicating an uptrend. Good track record since 1950. #ZweigBreadthThrust #stockmarket
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Gold market last at $235bn - $150 difference from today due to high central bank buying (33% vs. 10-15% average). Less gold left for investment demand. Goldman's trader predicts higher next $200 before cycle hike. 2050 huge resistance, crowd long. #goldmarket #investing
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Monthly #Gold chart #chartanalysis 📈☕️
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The key to success in the markets is having a clear vision and understanding your strengths. Know what you're good at, stick to it, and have the courage to follow your convictions. #tradingtips #marketinsights
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Know thyself, know thy risk tolerance, and you will win a thousand trades. As Sun Tzu said, 'If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.' #investing #SunTzu #riskmanagement
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10 Ways to Become a Better Person... 1. Be kind and give to your family without expecting anything back. #PersonalGrowth #SelfImprovement #NeverStopLearning
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2. Always finish what you started and keep your promises.
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VIX Trader is back? His contrarian views on volatility have been spot on before. Now he predicts a longer period of low volatility. Are we approaching a time to buy protection before it's too late? #contrarian #volatility #marketshift
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Trading in financial markets can be a challenging and complex endeavour, with ever-changing conditions and numerous factors to consider. Learn more about machine learning trading essentials and financial data structures in this article: hudsonthames.org/machine-lea… #MachineLearning
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Overtrading can lead to risky decisions, emotional burnout, and ultimately, financial losses. Remember, sometimes the best trade is no trade. #tradingtips #financialhealth
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NYSE new lows may seem like a bullish signal, but it's important to exercise caution. Extreme market optimism can often lead to complacency and heightened risk. Stay vigilant and make informed investment decisions. 📈🚨 #NYSE #investing #caution
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Does anyone else find that labelling Elliot waves feels like solving a Sudoku puzzle? Both require pattern recognition, attention to detail, and a little bit of patience. #ElliotWave #Sudoku #TechnicalAnalysis
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Positive news for China's housing market as 2nd-hand home transactions reach a new high since Jan 2020, indicating a recovering sentiment and pent-up demand being released. #realestate #China #housingmarket
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Chart shows VIX volatility at dangerously low levels as we approach silly season - time to buckle up and stay vigilant! #VIX #volatility #marketrisk
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