Peter Scott (@sketerpot) profile picture
San Francisco
Joined May 2010
Photo by Peter Scott (@sketerpot)Photo by Peter Scott (@sketerpot)Photo by Peter Scott (@sketerpot)Photo by Peter Scott (@sketerpot)Photo by Peter Scott (@sketerpot)Photo by Peter Scott (@sketerpot)Photo by Peter Scott (@sketerpot)
Here's a longer take of why I'm against e/acc, since I was not that clear & many commenters got it wrong: I'm an OG transhumanist singularitarian, broadly in favor of rapid tech progress as the best way to relieve suffering, upgrade civilization & protect our species (multi-planetary), including w/ uploading, intelligence augmentation via human/AI fusion, and all that fun crazy stuff. (this is NOT EA, we predate it by decades - see extropianism). I see a lot of those ideas in e/acc, but the delta I observe (also to mainstream pro-growth movements like @rootsofprogress) is that while my tribe sees some risk of really bad outcomes ahead, e/acc shits on xrisk. Especially AI, not just disagreeing but **mocking them as an outgroup**. So that's what e/acc is to me - a group that sneers at not just me but almost all the thinkers it draws from, based on a naive, Pollyannaish belief that because of "free energy" 🤮 only good futures are possible. A group whose commenters label me as a pro-centralization Marxist for thinking some bad futures are possible ?!?! Nice try bros, but I've literally been fighting Marxism & centralization since @beffjezos was in elementary school. You know who else thinks that bad futures are possible & worth worrying about / working on? That famous Marxist @peterthiel. I trace the philosophical roots (or at least most similarity) of "the will of the universe is towards complexity" idea to @Outsideness, except that Nick's view is crucially different. He views the arc of progress as being towards the emancipation of capital from the bonds of humanity, which he favors, because he sides with capital AGAINST humanity. I find his analysis pretty compelling, which is horrifying because - call me crazy - I side with humanity (+ its uploads/forks). My fellow primates equipped for friendship, love, all the warm fuzzy good stuff. Those attributes are *not* universal or inevitable. Most species on earth are insects, wired VERY differently - and intelligent spiders ain't gonna have warm fuzzy hearts (h/t Jaan Tallin) I also cited @slatestarcodex's Moloch as a model of a profoundly deep universal dynamic, which I find much more compelling than "free energy". Unfortunately it is a horrifying & anti-human force (slowly) squeezing out any complexity that does not serve the fitness function: slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/3… So I disagree that universal dynamics inexorably produce complexity that is good-for-humanity+. The opposite seems much more likely, so I see e/acc as beckoning towards a heaven that may easily be a hell (a classic theme in stories like John Carter #2: amzn.to/3RMJPqP). But really, let's be honest, I'm not standing up because of philosophy, but because of tribe. E/acc attracts half my friends while shitting on the other half, and for dumb reasons. That's tantamount to a declaration of war. Not my war to fight, I already have an extremely challenging full-time movement-leader job, but I can at least sound the battle horn. yours in service of humanity, with love for all non-insectoid beings, Patri p.s. if you haven't taken my e/acc polls: xitter.cf/patrissimo/statu… xitter.cf/patrissimo/statu…
Ok let's see if e/accers believe what I think they believe. Please answer as to whether you think xrisk is negligible (< 1%) or significant. By xrisk I mean an awful future for humanity like extinction or a life barely worth living (slavery etc).
22%e/acc, xrisk <= 1%
17%e/acc, xrisk > 1%
11%Non-e/acc, xrisk <= 1%
50%Non-e/acc, xrisk > 1%
367 votes • Final results
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Unfortunately, red flag law advocacy fails to appreciate the often vast difference between P(B|A) and P(A|B). Given that you're a mass murderer, probability that you exhibit red flags is high. Nonetheless, given red flags, the probability you become a mass murderer is low.
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Peter Scott retweeted
"No I don't use jQuery! I also don't have an Apple IIc, polio or a falcon!"
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Last year, a group of geeks convened on Discord in response to a Twitter thread about California’s woes with the vaccine rollout. They very quickly found themselves running a critical piece of national public health infrastructure. Here is our story: worksinprogress.co/issue/the…
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Peter Scott retweeted
bro wtf...
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14 alternative wonders of the world: Starting with the Potala Palace, Lhasa, Tibet
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The @ziglang project approach to universal reach is well thought out. From shipping the musl libc as source for cross compilation to almost any target supporting C to piggybacking on pip and python wheels for wide multi-platform installer reach. Bravo @andy_kelley and friends!
Replying to @simonw
The real value here looks to be the wheel format - they generate wheels with the zig binary compiled for eight different platforms github.com/ziglang/zig-pypi/…
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I've long been interested in new ways to organize science and enable curiosity-driven discovery. Today, in partnership with @Stanford, @UCBerkeley, and @UCSF, we're excited to announce Arc Institute, a new undertaking in this vein: arcinstitute.org.
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Peter Scott retweeted
New blog post on the state of next-generation geothermal energy. How much geothermal energy is there? What are the different concepts for harnessing it? What is standing in the way? How can we make it go faster? elidourado.com/blog/geotherm…
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Early in a field, when you're discovering 2x or 10x improvements, simple statistics are enough to show it. Later, when you're discovering successive 1% improvements, you need very good stats or you're fooling yourself. So every field starts with bad stats and outgrows them.
The dirty little secret of a lot of scientists is that all the statistics they ever learned was Stats 101, which they hated anyway, but now they're dealing with very complex models and massive messy data and they're completely at sea.
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Peter Scott retweeted
Can someone explain to me why they're waiting three weeks to do this meeting when 3000 Americans are dying every day from COVID?
We have scheduled a meeting of our Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC) on Feb. 26th to discuss Janssen Biotech Inc’s emergency use authorization request for its #COVID19 vaccine. fda.gov/news-events/press-an…
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i’m pleased to introduce y’all to my newest obsession - - - accidental renaissance photos: a thread
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I’ve wanted this so many times.
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Over the past year I have skimmed through more than 2500 social science papers. I wrote a giant post about everything that's wrong with them and how to fix the process that generates them: fantasticanachronism.com/202… Some highlights below.
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Peter Scott retweeted
I made a couple more maze-generation algorithms, with much bigger mazes, and visualized them using some fairly horrifying CSS border hackery. Everything looks worse when scaled up: peterscott.github.io/mazegen…
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Every gatekeeper in the world is surrounded by a graveyard of No and a much larger invisible graveyard of Was Too Intimidating or Opaque To Ask The Question correctly, which we should weight very, very carefully when deciding the optimal number of gatekeepers.
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This is fantastic news, way better than I’d have predicted! It should have happened months ago, but better late than never.
The FDA did something right on covid, even though it's cutting edge and a little weird! Excellent! For those unaware: pooled samples is where you run one test on a group of people (say the 150 kids in the same grade at a school). If negative, you saved yourself 149 tests.
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