Meme until your memes come true

Joined September 2021
Crytpo tides are shifting from the pnd bundlers to the bulltarded believers and it's time for traders to adjust their mental models and behavior accordingly. The new phase of the market will turn bundlers into fumblers, the scalpers into second-guessers, and routinely rugged bag holders into the ridiculously rich. This is a welcome and necessary shift. The last 18 months have been an exhausting exercise where aping a large supply of newer launches at sub 100k market cap and dumping them if they hit a few million was rewarded. Some were fortunate to hit a huge runner only to round trip by failing to take profits as long term holders, especially of larger market cap coins, were mercilessly punished. Just look at the Punch and Penguin charts and imagine someone top blasting with size thinking those tokens would pull a PNUT but instead getting rekt. The ones who did well during the bear market hyper-rotation games either have elite skills, instincts and timing, or more often, are multi-wallet fnf bundlers, or outright scammers. Aping new pairs has never been +EV, but it's going to be even less rewarding to focus on new pairs moving forward. This is bad news for platforms like pump fun and very good news for the average market participant. Of course there will be exceptions to the rule and notable instances of people buying tokens sub 1M market cap that go to 9-10 figures, but this will be the exception and not the norm. More likely those folks who hit it big a new pair will have been preconditioned to sell way too early. I can close my eyes and envision the slew "iF i HaD jUsT hElD i'D bE a MiLliOnAiRe" copium posts. They're coming. During the bear market, the last 6 months especially, buying a token after it hit a few million market cap was a surefire way to lose money. The liquidity, bids, and MMs couldn't/wouldn't support a chart beyond this threshold. Many developed PTSD buying coins in the $1M-5M range, watching these coins fail to find support and trend to zero, and the psychological effect of this created a negative price action feedback loop where if you happened to be a large holder of a token that reach a 7 figure market cap you were incentivized to dump your whole stack or risk round tripping and look for a fresh pair. This behavior benefited weak-handed, short attention span, multi-wallet fortnite zoomers and the expense of people who used to buy and hold tokens for months and watch their PnL go upwards parabolically. However, in this new phase of the market, buying a token that has already hit a few million market cap and reached some minimum consensus and amassed a good group of core holders is where the bulk of insane PnLs will come from. The hyper-rotation reward dynamic is pulling a perfect 180 in real time. Patience is now beginning to be rewarded at the expense of the impatient. Look at the $Cashcat and $AI charts as two recent examples. Anyone whose game relies on hyper rotation is likely going to enter and exit some generational positions for a paltry PnL, end up chasing large caps at the later stages of the bull market and end up back near zero. As someone who personally does well developing a thesis and holding for longer time frame and who got chopped up trying to play the hyper rotation game - as many did - I am eager to return to the conditions where patience and planning yield max PnLs and the fidgety FSH practitioners are punished. Welcome to the 2026 bull market. Time to adapt. Bulltardio
9
1,005
Speaking of the Concorde I see no good reason why Elon can't / won't eventually make a SpaceX commercial jet that far surpasses the capabilities of the Concorde
En France, on a inventé le Concorde. En 1969, il décollait et atteignait Mach 2 symbole de la grandeur gaullienne, conçu pour défier les Américains. En 1972, le TGV 001 battait le record mondial à turbine (318 km/h). En 1981, le TGV électrique reliait Paris à Lyon à 260 km/h. En 2007, il pulvérisait encore le record mondial sur rail : 574,8 km/h. Dans les années 70, le plan Messmer lançait le plus grand programme nucléaire civil de l’Histoire : 58 réacteurs, jusqu’à 70-80 % de notre électricité, une indépendance énergétique que le monde entier nous enviait. Dassault, Sud-Aviation, EDF, Framatome, la SNCF : nos ingénieurs étaient les meilleurs. On avait dix à vingt ans d’avance sur presque tout le monde. Puis 1981, Mitterrand. Nationalisations massives (banques, acier, chimie, électronique, aéronautique). Semaine de 39 heures. Lois Auroux. Charges sociales qui explosent. Syndicats tout-puissants. Fiscalité punitive. Droit du travail rigidifié. En moins de cinquante ans, le socialisme a transformé un pays d’ingénieurs conquérants en un pays de grèves, de délocalisations et de stagnation relative. L’industrie est passée d’environ 28 % du PIB à 11 %. Le Concorde a été abandonné. Notre nucléaire a été presque démantelé pendant des décennies faute de choix politique mortifère. Ce n’est pas le destin, c’est le prix d’une idéologie qui a préféré redistribuer et réglementer plutôt que construire et innover. A bon entendeur.
83
I'm basically all-in $SNAP in tradfi and $BONER and $AI in crypto and I expect anywhere between 15-100X returns Feeling comfy
1
4
21
1,084
I'm seeing unfounded rumors of a potential $SNAP acquisition for $20/share by OpenAI. Regardless of whether or not it's true (hint: it's not) this is a good thought experiment: would $SNAP cost more or less than $20/share to acquire? The answer is significantly more Here's the reasoning: The last social media company to be acquired was Twitter at a $44B valuation in 2022. It's reasonable to assume Snap as a pure social media play could fetch an equivalent valuation, which would place it at $26/share but this also assumes both companies are roughly equivalent businesses with similar outlooks. TLDR: 2026 Snap is a better business than 2022 Twitter by miles. Let's compare Twitter pre-acquisition numbers to Snap's current numbers. (Data Source: Grok)  USERS:  Snap 971M / 493M (Monthly / Daily)  Twitter 401M / 237M (Monthly / Daily) TTM Revenue:  Snap $6.35B  Twitter $5.23B  Adjusted EBITA: Snap $689M (FY 2025)  Twitter $682M (FY 2021)  Last Reported Quarterly revenue: Snap $1.599B Q2 2026 (+19% YoY) Twitter $1.18B Q2 2022 (-1% YoY)  FCF: Snap mid-2026: Positive free cash flow (TTM roughly +$706M) Twitter mid-2022: Negative free cash flow (TTM roughly –$850M). SUMMARY: Snap has more than double the users Twitter had (142% more monthly and 108% more daily) generates substantially more quarterly revenue, is growing revenue more consistently (19% gain for Snap vs 1% decline for Twitter) and FCF is tremendously positive vs Twitter's tremendously negative FCF (+$706M vs -$850M). The only metric Twitter beat Snap on consistently was Price to Sales (8X for Twitter at acquisition va <2X for Snap) but this gap should start to close soon assuming Snap continues their revenue and user growth. We haven't yet considered the intrinsic value of Snap's hardware and patent portfolio, it's AR tech, Snap OS, growing premium subscription and data storage models, and the true goldmine: exabytes of user photos, videos, and message data for training models which far surpass Twitter's mostly text-only data. In an age where frontier labs are spending unfathomably large sums to win the AI arms race, Snap's dataset alone is arguably worth Twitter's entire sale price. Some would argue Elon paid $44B primarily for exclusive access to Twitter's massive text dataset which he is using to train Grok and build XAI. If this is true, then a more robust dataset than Twitter's would fetch a higher acquisition price. Lastly, if there is a serious acquisition attempt there will likely be many big bidders especially among the tech giants. OpenAI, XAI, Anthropic, GOOGL, MSFT would all be clamoring for the valuable AI training data while AAPL, META, Bytedance etc. could be interested in the social media/hardware business. I can't envision a world where SNAP would sell for less than Twitter if the above scenario plays out and I believe $50B-60B ($29.50 to $35.50/share) would be realistic starting point for selling for the reasons stated above. Thoughts?
🤖 Made with AI
4
3
2
27
3,485
Anything less than acquisition price per share is free money as far as I'm concerned. ATH is coming sooner than later however, so this discussion will be moot
2
140
Funny thing is, $SNAP has all three -Proprietary Data? EXABYTES worth of proprietary UGC (images/videos, messages, and spatial data) -Network effects? Yes, thanks to its ~1B user social network -Physical component? Snap Specs AR glasses with its proprietary OS and robust, best-in-class features And yet the market still values SNAP less than software companies whose moats are quickly evaporating. For example Adobe $ADBE is supposedly worth almost 10X what Snap is (~$95B vs ~$10B) despite its core products being reverse engineered with AI, which could significantly harm its business. Soon people will recognize that Snap has this rare combination of competitive advantages (proprietary data + network effects + hardware component) in a world where software development alone is no longer a differentiator. An upward repricing on $SNAP is inevitable and imminent. $SNAP to ATH sooner than later.
Technical moats are mostly over at this point. If you’re building something that is meant to be durable, the only moats now are: • Proprietary data • Network effects • A physical component
3
4
61
7,684
Everyone glazes Thiel's Zero to One so I read it assuming it would be genuinely groundbreaking. It's pure unadulterated drivel, and one of the dumbest books ever written
1
70
His main advice is not to start a business if it's not a zero to one idea. This is mind-numbingly stupid, unrealistic, and terrible advice. It's like saying you shouldn't build Nintendo because Atari already exists. This is the amongst best business books ever written? It's dumb as hell not to mention impractical Zero to one ideas are so rare if everyone took this approach to business there would be almost no businesses whatsoever and whatever businesses that did exist would have no competition. The world runs on competition and marginal businesses. This is the only point the book makes over and over again. Throw this book in woodpile and light it on fire is my advice
33
This is solid advice. Whatever you do never buy or use a ledger as I've been saying for years
- buy cheapest new iphone - create new apple id & password - disable face id - custom alphanumeric passcode - lockdown mode - install wallet - generate new address - disconnect from internet - put in a safe or a cell - send all unused and newly acquired assets to the new address
2
146
Good ad. The best part is that this ad actually helps Meta competitors, primarily $SNAP Specs. How? The message conveyed here is you can swap out the phone for smart glasses and remain present. It's smart phones vs smart glasses. While this is a Meta smart glasses ad, the viewer is left with the notion that smart glasses are useful and it actually translates as an ad for smart glasses in general. In essence, Meta's ad spend is building awareness of smart glasses category as a whole. Which other products stand to benefit from this messaging? Snap Specs. When it comes to buying new devices most people tend to compare products. By all accounts Snap Specs are technologically superior to Meta's smart glasses in almost every way and Meta traded a better form factor for a limited feature set. It's my strong opinion that anyone looking for a viable smart phone replacement, which this ad hints at, would likely choose Specs due to Meta's limited product functionality. Regardless, Meta is spending ad dollars and unwittingly helping competitors like Snap by spreading awareness of the category. Spiegel should send Zuckerberg a nice thank you gift
Meta just blew this commercial out of the water. As everyone else stares at a screen, not truly living in the moment, you'll be able to watch without worrying if you caught it on tape, fully enriched in the experience. 10/10
6
529
Imagine trusting a Ledger device in the Big 26
oh my god this is worse than we thought here's @Ledger $86M exploits explained > cryptobilis was a reputable and authorized Ledger/Trezor/OneKey dealer for over 4 years > they decided to sell the company to a Chinese guy (most likely patsy for DPRK) from northern China in MARCH 2026 > the "Chinese guy" modded the devices within the supply chain itself (physical), namely Nano X devices, to contain an implant module > ledger validity/genuineness check CANNOT detect this because hw wasn't actually tampered with, just spied on > quoting @MagicalTux: " implant just monitors what's shown on the screen, will take note of the seed as it's shown to you, then transmits it to 3rd party" > former owner chimes in on X (pic below) to say that "they were under a NDA" to not mention anything to anyone for 6 months > they obviously didn't alert any of their partners that they were authorized to sell devices of... because NDA, duh!! its in the name! > conveniently, funds start getting siphoned a few weeks before this magical NDA due date, and being laundered across all blockchains
55
$SNAP ascent to ATH has begun
1
14
608
Ser Dalton retweeted
This marks the first time the Indian stock market has taken a bath in its existence
36
93
7
2,054
25,491
I just sold all my crypto I’m not gonna be the idiot that watched AI decompile and solve code as we know it and not think it’ll have an effect on digital money Happy to be wrong and buy back later but feels like Russian roulette
1
1
84
Hate to be a cynic but I tend to view nearly every public "I clicked the wrong link" or "I got robbed" or "I got drained" story this way. A good % of these are just tax avoidance strategies
Without discrediting the $4m hack, it’s one hell of a way to exit all your positions while avoiding taxes and still maintain your reputation for not dumping on people with borrowed conviction.
1
150
Ser Dalton retweeted
Asked ChatGPT my perceived IQ & to make me a report card based on our conversations
130
9,197
80
189,904
2,942,951
Let's consider who/what @bonkguy is laughing at here I personally think $SI is a whack narrative and haven't bought, but let's play a thought experiment. Picture a small account, low 5 figures, putting a decent % of their (say 20%) of their port into $SI around $40-50M MC. He follows Bonk Guy who said it's going much higher. Here's Bonk Guy's thesis saying good chance SI is bottomed around $40M. "The next leg up will be glorious!" So the small account buys. But price isn't exactly going up like Bonk Guy is adamantly saying, it's going sideways and down. "Dang ok, it'll bounce back soon. No need to sell for a loss" he thinks to himself Then all of a sudden he sees the top holder with over 2% of supply say he's gonna nuke his stack in 5 mins. If the top holder dumps his whole position there's barely enough liquidity to handle the sell without killing the chart. Put aside the questionable legality of this move but do you take him at his word? If TH is serious it could do serious damage to the small guy's position and damage his port significantly, all while he's fighting through a ruthless market for modest gains. "'Maybe he's bluffing" he thinks Then the top holder starts selling. "Dammit he's serious, I can't drawdown more after fighting so hard to go from mid 4 to 5 figures", and so he sells before it goes down another 50% SYKE! The top holder was just trying to shake you out! You're such an IDIOT bro!!! "lmao" When the #2 holder of SI, Bonk Guy says "lmao", he's laughing at a morally questionable move by a guy worth 7+ figures who probably shook out a bunch of people like I'm describing. This is who he's laughing at among others Funny stuff huh Bonk Guy, do you think God approves of lying about selling in this manner to trick others for one's personal financial gain? No need to reply. A lot of people on CT and FOMO look up to you, but not if you support this these type of antics and laugh at the expense of people like I'm describing. Be better
2
1
2
614