Daniel Martins

Long-term investors tend to focus on stocks, understandably. Under their noses but off their radar screens, high-grade bonds are undergoing a massive, once-in-a-century bear market. $ZROZ is down 65% from its 2020 high. #investing #Treasuries @SeekingAlpha investors.com/etfs-and-funds…

If you are any younger than 40 years old, you have not been around to see the 10-2 yield curve so steeply inverted as it is today. #yields @SeekingAlpha @TheStreet

Charlie Munger, on people's fear of getting #vaccines for #COVID19: "it's really massively stupid. [...] It's not good that there's this much ignorance left". What a legend. finance.yahoo.com/news/charl…

#Microsoft sheds $100 billion in market value in after-hours trading on the back of a pristine earnings report (guidance yet to come) and a beat across all segments. This is 2022 for you, right there. @SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com/news/379123…

Those who like contrarian ideas: how about a triple-leveraged treasury ETF in a year of high inflation and rising interest rates helping to turn $25,000 into $1 million in 25 years? #portfolio #Markets @SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com/article/447…

Today's 10-year treasury auction seems to have caused modestly bearish, but not disastrous, market reaction. Maybe the spike in yields in early January helped to cushion the blow. I see this as good news, on the same day that the hot inflation report came out. #bonds #Markets

Come March-April, "inflation comps" will be just hot enough that we shall see no more "hottest since 1982" headlines. I wonder if they'll say instead "inflation moderates" or something like it. Headlines can create too much a sense of urgency/panic. #inflation #CPI

Here's a random observation: in the past weeks, I received more offers from banks to open a savings account than through most of 2020-2021. This could be a response to higher expected rates (money will no longer be free) and... possibly a bad sign for the markets? @SeekingAlpha

Shares of top-notch companies like Salesforce.com, #Adobe, #PayPal and #Amex are down at least 10% and as much as 40% from their peaks. Look under the S&P 500 hood, and we can't say that "stocks are too expensive" anymore. $CRM $ADBE #PYPL #AXP @SeekingAlpha @TheStreet

Market predictions are highly overrated. Ask Goldman Sachs. Yes, economic data improved since March. Yes, inflation climbed. But 10-year yields have dropped instead. Today, experts continue to say the same thing about 2022. reuters.com/article/usa-bond…

Scanning financial media today, consensus seems to be: own value and cyclical stocks, underweight bonds, brace for inflation. Therefore, be very careful buying into these exact trades.

Yields tend to revert to a mean in the short term, particularly after sharp moves. The recent month-on-month spike in the 10-year rate may be pointing at a moderation, if not reversal, in the foreseeable future. What do you think about it? tornado.com/app/thoughts/343…

In "A Key Reason Not To Fear", I talk about ways to take advantage of the diversification properties of VGLT – even inside a long-term growth portfolio. $VGLT @SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com/article/445…

#PepsiCo's second quarter results topped Wall Street's expectations like rarely seen before. With the stock having rallied 7% in the past three weeks, some have started to worry that richer valuations could mark a top in share price. $PEP #StocksInFocus bit.ly/3eugddR

When it comes to meme stocks, little does business analysis matter. So I turn to a tactical portfolio play to explore opportunities in $AMC. #Stocks #MemeStocks #AMCstock bit.ly/3zc2Sit

Today was the 17th consecutive day during which the S&P 500 did not move up or down by more than 1%. Last time that this happened was January 2020. Is this good? Yes, this is great for buy-and-hold investors. #stocks @SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com/article/443…

Fiscal third quarter results provided evidence that #Costco can thrive in virtually any macroeconomic environment. $COST bit.ly/3vwWXCW

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust had an outstanding 2020. But reality check came in the past two weeks, when #Bitcoin fell off the bunk bed. $GBTC bit.ly/3yNa0SI

#Cisco will soon report fiscal Q3 earnings, a period that will likely cement the company's recovery from a disruptive pandemic year. I have both secular reasons and short-term convictions to be optimistic, even if not overly enthusiastic, about $CSCO. bit.ly/33I4C5k

AT&T has rushed ahead of all major stock indices in 2021, but I think that the bull case can still be justified. In a world of low (but rising) interest rates, $T may continue to be a high-yielding, low correlation alternative to long-term bonds. #Stocks bit.ly/3uMxBki