@ryanwold

Ultrarunning Coach at https://xitter.cf/t.co/B94embxUAO DFS at @DraftKings and @FanDuel Trading @Kalshi

 Ouray, CO
singlesteprunning.com
Joined February 2009
  • Tweets1.3K
  • Following467
  • Followers212
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Taking 10 years of DFS modeling and pointing it at Kalshi NFL player props. Every Sunday ~45 min before the 1pm ET kickoffs, I'll post my single highest-conviction trade: player, market, side, price. Follow to track it. DM for a $25 Kalshi referral. Not financial advice. 😆
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Top NFL 1% finish rates through Week 4 🏈 @BonusCash leads DK at 2.87%. @SteveBuzzard @TeeJayOrTj @lozingitall @invertedcheese1 made both top 10s Also: @ShaidyAdvice @SwidbDFS @ElusiveSmoke @lonehixx I dropped week 1 FanDuel Data due to site outage.
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This is a wild collection of stats lol.
Adam Levitan
@adamlevitanOct 5
Vikings are 32nd in Yards Per Play. Kyler Murray is 30th among 30 qualifiers in QBR. They haven't scored a TD in two of their games. Vikings are 4-0.
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Ryan Wold retweeted
Adam Levitan
@adamlevitanOct 5
Vikings are 32nd in Yards Per Play. Kyler Murray is 30th among 30 qualifiers in QBR. They haven't scored a TD in two of their games. Vikings are 4-0.
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Woo, I got a like from the man himself! 🤘
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Today Claude is teaching me about Winner's Curse and Shrinkage Factor. Never stop learning.
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How is it that Yahoo DFS has the best contest history export functionality in the industry?
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Great adventure day to close out the season. Wetterhorn is my 3rd 14er.
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What exactly is going on with this RFQ flow on Kalshi? 3500 quote requests per second, zero executed.
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ATL/GB 🎯 Bijan Robinson 70+ rush yards — NO @ 40¢ Model 62% vs 40% priced in kalshi.com/markets/kxnflrshy…
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Good progress on improving this Kalshi NFL prop trading system. Full back test of model probabilities performed today. Now to forward test (small $) against market pricing, let's go!
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Tonight's highest-conviction prop 🎯 Matthew Stafford 2+ pass TDs — NO @ 38¢ Model: 49% · Market: 38% kalshi.com/markets/kxnflpass…
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Welp 💸
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Nothing like losing some $$$ to motivate a deep data dive. 😅 Here is a pretty heatmap of anytimeTD projected vs actual.
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receptions 😻
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kalshi.com/markets/kxnflrecy…
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Building a Kalshi NFL prop trading system using Claude. Let's see how this goes...
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Why does my Coros VO2max number refuse to budge? @brady
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Beautiful morning for a trail run.
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We need the wind to chill in Ouray, this thing is going to get very out of hand. 😭
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