In our latest independent poll, Republican Ashley Hinson leads Democrat Josh Turek: 🔴 Ashley Hinson, Republican - 46% 🔵 Josh Turek, Democrat - 42% 🟡 Thomas Laehn, Libertarian - 2% ⚪ Undecided - 9% See the Iowa results and follow the full Senate Battlegrounds 2026 series here: battlegrounds.coefficient.or… Follow along as we continue releasing independent polling from 2026’s most contested Senate races. #2026Election #USSenate #IASenate Independent public polling. Not sponsored by any candidate committee, party committee, or other independent expenditure.

New Poll: Indiana Republicans' Support For Redistricting • 78% say it is very important that elected representatives support President Trump’s agenda • 72% support redrawing congressional districts in Indiana • 67% say they would be less likely to re-elect their State Senator if they sided with Democrats Dec 11–12, 2025 | 1,010 GOP Primary Voters | MoE ±3.11% | Mobile Text + Live Interviews | for Fair Maps Indiana View full memo: coefficient.org/wp-content/u…

NEW: 2026 Texas GOP Senate Primary Poll Ken Paxton and John Cornyn remain locked in a close battle, each enjoying slight leads in various media markets, while Wesley Hunt trails in third in all markets across the state. Ballot: Cornyn: 28% Paxton: 27% Hunt: 19% Undecided: 26% Fielded Dec 1–3, 2025 | n=1,022 Likely Republican Primary Voters | MoE ±3.07% | Not sponsored by any candidate or committee. Full results: coefficient.org/texas-statew…

New Statewide NJ Poll: Governor: Sherrill (D): 48% Ciattarelli (R): 47% Kaplan (L): 1% Kuniansky (SWP): 0% Undecided: 5% Generic Assembly: Democrat: 49% Republican: 45% Undecided: 6% Oct 23–27, 2025 | 995 LVs | MoE ±3.27% | Not sponsored by any candidate or candidate’s committee. View full results: coefficient.org/new-jersey-s…

New Statewide VA Poll: While the Governor's race is still competitive with Spanberger out in front, Jay Jones' texting scandal has defined the race for Attorney General with Miyares leading by 4 (46%-42%) headed into the final weeks of the campaign. Governor: Spanberger (D): 49% Earle-Sears (R): 44% Charles (I): 1% Undecided: 6% Lieutenant Governor Hashmi (D): 47% Reid (R): 42% Undecided: 11% Attorney General: Miyares (R): 46% Jones (D): 42% Undecided: 11% Oct 15–17, 2025 | 937 LVs | MoE ±3.19% | Not sponsored by any candidate or candidate’s committee. View full results: coefficient.org/virginia-sta…

NEW POLL: Our latest Virginia statewide survey finds voters sharply divided on political violence, who's to blame, and the use of the National Guard. ✔️ 1 in 3 Republicans say recent events increased motivation to vote ✔️ Voters who typically skip off-year elections are reporting an increased motivation to vote. Learn how this could impact November in our full memo: coefficient.org/va-statewide… #VAgov #VAleg #VAelection Not paid for by any candidate or candidate’s committee.

New 2026 South Carolina Governor GOP Primary Poll: Nancy Mace: 19% Pamela Evette: 18% Alan Wilson: 16% Ralph Norman: 10% Josh Kimbrell: 2% Undecided: 35% Sept 18–19, 2025 | 1,094 Likely Republican Primary Voters | MoE ±3.17% | Not sponsored by any candidate or candidate’s committee. Full results: coefficient.org/sc-governor-…

New co/efficient Statewide VA Poll: Governor: Spanberger (D): 48% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Lt. Governor: Reid (R): 43% Hashmi (D): 43% Attorney General: Jones (D): 45% Miyares (R): 44% Aug 23-26, 2025 | 1,025 LVs | MoE ±3.1% | Not sponsored by any candidate or candidates committee. Full results: coefficient.org/va-statewide…

New co/efficient Statewide Virginia Poll sponsored by @FoundersPolls Governor Spanberger (D): 46% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Charles (I): 2% Undecided: 9% Lt. Governor Reid (R): 41% Dem Candidate: 39% Jones (I): 2% Undecided: 18% Attorney General Miyares (R): 44% Dem Candidate: 44% Undecided: 12% Fielded June 8–10, 2025 | 1,127 LVs | MoE ±3.1% Full results: coefficient.org/va-statewide

WATCH: @BenShapiro discusses our recent poll that asks voters to name the “face of the Democrat party“ The topline result has received the most attention, but the data among self-identified Democrats is even more revealing. Vice President Harris performs better among Democrats than the general electorate, but she still trails AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Jasmine Crockett. This may be the worst news for Gavin Newsom, who barely registers across any group or demographic. The full crosstab and methodology are available here: coefficient.org/face-of-the-…

New Data Release: National Foreign Policy Study New findings on: - Support for deportation - US involvement in Ukraine - US policy in the Middle East, and more. Full memo here: coefficient.org/national-for… #ForeignPolicy #Russia #Ukraine

New Data Release: National Approval Study - Trump approval: 49% - No clear face of the Democratic Party (AOC leads at 26%) Full memo here: coefficient.org/national-app…

New Trump Approval Numbers & Key Findings: President Trump’s approval rating has climbed above 50%, with broad public backing for the administration's actions so far. Highlights include: ✅ 52% approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as President ✅ 52% support mass deportations and border security measures. ✅ 57% support reinstating the "Remain in Mexico" policy for asylum seekers. ✅ 56% support using biological sex (male/female) on official documents. coefficient.org/post-inaugur… 1,570 Likely General Election Voters Conducted nationally January 25-28, 2025 MoE: 3.47% Conducted independently by co/efficient – not affiliated with any candidate or committee.

New Pre-Debate Polls in 3 Key Battlegrounds: MI, WI, PA Sponsored by @AmericansForIVF #MI #POTUS: Trump 47%, Harris 47% 64% support legislation requiring insurance to cover IVF Full results: coefficient.org/ivf-mi/ #WI #POTUS: Trump 47%, Harris 47% 66% support legislation requiring insurance to cover IVF Full results: coefficient.org/ivf-wi/ #PA #POTUS: Trump 48%, Harris 46% 69% support legislation requiring insurance to cover IVF Full results: coefficient.org/ivf-pa/ Fielded Sept. 4-6