We’re excited to lead the $30 million Series A round for @monkeytilt.
panteracapital.com/blog-inve…
this is what I imagine is the hacker version of that one GGG ring intro
polymarket (and prediction markets in general) is a great proxy and odds aggregator for sportsbooks. no arbitrary limits, no payout disputes (unless UMA really drops the bag), instant withdrawals and instant liquidity.
best part is that on poly there are 1000000 different bots looking for arbs between dozens of different books and polymarket's orderbook, meaning more often than not you get the best possible price.
an unfortunate result of this market efficiency is that the biggest benefactors are bound to be match fixers and insiders since they will be the most likely to underbid market odds which gets arb bots BRICKED up.
any positions taken up on polymarket will likely be reflected as a number of smaller individual bets across multiple accounts on different sportsbooks as people rush to arb what odds they can.
i'm thinking this could become a threat to sportsbooks sometime in the future as risk management becomes a lot tougher seeing as the "dirty" action is now harder to discern from clean bets as typical match fixer betting patterns break down.
just my thoughts, could be fatally mistaken, would love some insight from industry insiders
would love to see a site let me bet on xG 1x2 markets - maybe something where you only get paid out if your team produces at least 1 xG more than the other (akin to a win in theoretical goals)
imagine a team you bet on underperform crazy xG i.e. 3.4 vs 1.2 and somehow ends 2-2 but you get paid out anyway
kinda works against you too though so it's not too OP in the sense that if your team create fuckall xG and clutch a dub you get paid nothing (morgan rogers i see you)
food for thought
Neither team really created much here. Douglas Luiz conceded an insanely retarded penalty lol but we move..
Got in on Egypt at half time down a goal. Definitely worth a punt with the chances they had in the first half!
