@rebels2008

I'm a radical centrist Democrat guy concerned about my country and the world. Politics and foreign policy. And I'm bi.

Washington, D.C.
Joined July 2009
American Rebel retweeted
Here I am, back to waiting for midnight polls that I don't even expect to be that accurate anymore nitter.cf/maristpoll/status/2102…
Coming at midnight! The numbers in the contest for U.S. Senate in Iowa! AND... what are Iowa's voters thinking about Trump's job performance? maristpoll.com/latest-polls
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American Rebel retweeted
📊 NEW IOWA POLL: DEMS UP BIG SENATE 🟦 Turek 50% 🟥 Hinson 42% GOV 🟦 Sand 54% 🟥 Lahn 42% GEN BALLOT 🟦 Dem 50% 🟥 GOP 45% Vote… ❌ Mostly Against Trump 43% ✅ Mostly For Trump 22% Trump Approval ✅ Approve 41% ❌ Disapprove 58% Marist: 9/17-9/20 1050 RV 35R 29D 32I
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American Rebel retweeted
🚨 THE GOLD STANDARD MARIST POLL HAS JOSH TUREK UP EIGHT POINTS IN R+14 IOWA Here's what that would look like mapped out. The Iowa GOP ISN'T READY FOR NOVEMBER
Marist poll | 9/17-9/20 RV Iowa statewide races 2026 US Senate 🟦Josh Turek 50% 🟥Ashley Hinson 42% — Iowa Governor 🟦Rob Sand 54% 🟥Zach Lahn 42% — Generic congressional ballot 2026 (IA) 🟦Democratic 50% 🟥Republican 45% —— President Trump approval ❌Disapprove 58% ✅Approve 41% Link to poll: maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-con…
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Curious what this is going to show after Marist's Turek +8 poll.
📊Source tells @PollTracker2024 that Marist is polling Texas They are surveying the US Senate and Governor’s race in the Lone Star State.
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American Rebel retweeted
If the Marist poll is correct
Marist poll | 9/17-9/20 RV US Senate Iowa 2026 🟦Josh Turek 50% 🟥Ashley Hinson 42% Link to poll: maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
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American Rebel retweeted
Replying to @DrewSav
I think we should all know to be cautious after Selzer's 2024 poll.
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Replying to @DrewSav
I think Sand+6 and Turek+2 are more likely results based on the polls we’ve seen
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The Marist poll is fake
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American Rebel retweeted
Turek+8 and Sand+12 is an outlier. And this is registered (not likely) voters. "The partisan breakdown for this survey among registered voters is 29% Democrat, 35% Republican, and 32% independent." (Looks like they undersampled Ds and Rs and oversampled independents.)
Marist poll | 9/17-9/20 RV US Senate Iowa 2026 🟦Josh Turek 50% 🟥Ashley Hinson 42% Link to poll: maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
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American Rebel retweeted
Replying to @DrewSav
Too many independents and not enough Rs or Ds in the Marist sample. nitter.cf/LauraRBelin/status/210…
Turek+8 and Sand+12 is an outlier. And this is registered (not likely) voters. "The partisan breakdown for this survey among registered voters is 29% Democrat, 35% Republican, and 32% independent." (Looks like they undersampled Ds and Rs and oversampled independents.)
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American Rebel retweeted
Maybe it will happen but I just think those Iowa polls are too good to be true
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American Rebel retweeted
Replying to @Socdem_Michael
Emerson has Hinson up 5. One of them is way off.
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American Rebel retweeted
Replying to @Swampatouille
It'll be way closer the GOP have a shit candidate, dems have a pretty good candidate and way worse climate for the republicans, but rn I see this as a R+3 race, but if gas prices get worse the better the chance
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This election may just be a repeat of 2020, minus the presidential election
🔵 Decision Desk HQ moved its South Carolina Senate rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican.
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American Rebel retweeted
🔵 Decision Desk HQ moved its South Carolina Senate rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican.
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To me this just destroys Marist's credibility ahead of their Texas poll. I could see Turek eking it out by a couple of points in a really optimistic scenario, but leading by 8 is just insane
Marist poll | 9/17-9/20 RV US Senate Iowa 2026 🟦Josh Turek 50% 🟥Ashley Hinson 42% Link to poll: maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
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American Rebel retweeted
🌽🌽🌽🌽🌽🌽🌽 New Marist poll shows Turek with an 8-point lead in #IASen
Marist poll | 9/17-9/20 RV US Senate Iowa 2026 🟦Josh Turek 50% 🟥Ashley Hinson 42% Link to poll: maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
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American Rebel retweeted
Iowa Senate Polling 🟥 Emerson: Hinson +5 🟦 NPR/Marist: Turek +8 For context: Emerson was among the more accurate pollsters in Iowa in 2024 (Trump +10 in their final poll vs. Trump +13 actual).
IOWA POLL - Senate 🟦 Josh Turek: 50% 🟥 Ashley Hinson: 42% @maristpoll (A) | 9/17-20 | n=1,050 maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
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Word on the street Paxton is up in the next Marist poll 👀
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American Rebel retweeted
Replying to @maristpoll
@maristpoll has @turek4iowa up 50-42 over Hinson. Rob Sand leads 54-42. Trump's approval rating is 41%. GOP candidates don't outrun Trump by much, if at all. maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
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