Just! Get! On! The! Plane!
I learned last week that VCs don't seem to fly out to see the hardware companies they're investing in. This struck me as totally insane. While I was in India, my walk through @Airbound_Aero revealed much of what I wanted to know.
Have been through so many factories that I can usually tell in about five minutes what's real and what's hoping to be real and what's total garbage. Airbound had lots of the touches of an early @RocketLab - organization, attention to detail, etc.
I get that investors are looking at the founder and the business and their models. But feels like you could save a lot of heartache by bothering to get on a plane.
Nobody is ready for the ITAR conversation
Ex-Anthropic Jacob Coxon says he's 90% certain China already has spies inside both OpenAI and Anthropic
Jacob Coxon: “Right now, if we just stopped, they would try and catch up. But I think one really important thing people don’t realize is that China already has spies at OpenAI and Anthropic. China has the ability to hack at any time. If we pull ahead, that doesn’t give us a big lead. They can just step in, steal our progress at any time and catch up.”
Patrick Bet-David: “How certain are you that they already have spies there?”
Jacob Coxon: “Ninety percent. Yeah, it’s almost certain that they have spies.”
The frontier is starting to look commoditized
We are terminating Chris Degnan for unethical conduct involving Cognition.
The last few months have seen incredible progress in AI capabilities. San Francisco has flourished as new companies that solve new, more ambitious problems are finding great success. Generally, it is a wonderful time to be building.
We at @FactoryAI have seen overwhelming interest in our model-agnostic coding agents and our software factory product. Our team has 10x’d in size, while our revenue has 100x’d year over year. This momentum has been unprecedented.
A much larger competitor, Cognition (makers of Devin) has fallen behind us on the capabilities that matter most to customers: cost, quality, and security. Instead of competing in the market, Cognition engineers feigned interviews with us to pry information about our product. Not finding what they were looking for, Cognition has decided to throw their weight and money at people with direct knowledge of our most confidential plans.
It feels as though ethics is being thrown out of the window in the AI era. People are willing to do anything, including exploiting privileged information and violating ethical boundaries. I think this is unique to our time, and I don’t think it’s right. Integrity still matters.
Yesterday, I made the decision to immediately terminate Christopher Degnan’s roles as a Board Observer and Advisor to Factory, after over a year of service.
Prior to this decision, Chris told me he had a casual conversation with an executive at Cognition AI. When I questioned his intentions, he reassured me that ethics aside, he had “made too much money” and was “too lazy to go work for Cognition,” which I trusted and believed.
On Monday, Chris spent time advising the Factory team on a handful of confidential board-level matters. That evening, he called me to say that the conversation that was initially described as casual and one-off was actually formal and recurring. For weeks, while he sat in our board meetings and advised our leadership team, he was also confiding with executives of our largest competitor. Chris was subject to confidentiality obligations in connection with his work with Factory. We do not know the extent of the information he shared, but it puts his timely questions about our product roadmap and what the parity gap involves into a new light.
It is sad to sever a relationship with someone who has been a trusted advisor - and even a close friend - for over a year. But Chris’s conduct is unacceptable to me. Trust in Board Membership is one of the sacred bonds in the Silicon Valley, one that helps the startup ecosystem thrive. With it comes an enormous responsibility. That trust was violated.
Competition is good. I respect and in many cases admire our competitors. San Francisco is a beautiful, singular place where the bold and ambitious go to defy the norms and precedents of the past. But certain principles that must remain. Violating ethics to seek advantage turns what should be positive-sum into zero-sum.
We all love technology. And we all love to compete. But we must hold ourselves to a higher standard. The future of software engineering comes with abundance that will impact every person on Earth. Building that future comes with immense responsibility. We must build and compete with integrity.
As a Bach autist, we don’t have AGI yet
Claude Opus 5.5 writes a fugue in the style of Bach. I called Astra’s fugue the most impressive musical feat I’d ever seen from an LLM, and this is just as good. The circle-of-fifths sequence beginning at 1:13 is beautiful. The interplay of voices is natural and satisfying. LLMs are getting to the point where their music is good enough to listen to for pure enjoyment.
Bit rich considering the EU has spent the last 9 years not ratifying its trade agreement with Canada
"We want to bring the relationship with Canada to the highest level possible.
Dear @MarkJCarney, I would like to work with you on opening the door for Canada to be the first associate member of the EU."
— President @vonderleyen at #SOTEU 2026
Raymond Russell retweeted
Great moments in American history: engineers from the Central Pacific and Union Pacific, noting that their tracks crossed the habitats of several endangered ground squirrels, agree to dismantle the transcontinental railroad, thereby saving the environment
Raymond Russell retweeted
Grateful to be backed by @balajis, @judegomila, @raymondopolis, @TitletownTechGB, @anandvankit, @abhisheksethi96, @prateekbehera96, @upsurgelabs, @VenturesAuto, @saurya_sinha, @rohanmanchanda, @iamtapi among others.
The full story: world.einnews.com/pr_news/93…
I have attended ribbon cuttings in various parts of the US
The Deep South is truly the last bastion of artful oration in the US
Leaders in Mississippi have unreal public speaking abilities
WA: nasal. clinical.
CO: feelgood. zzz.
MS: DRAWLING. BOOMING. MASTERY OF METER.
Put the sulfur back in the marine fuel!
Raymond Russell retweeted
Since moving to the Bay last year, I have noticed that although Bay Areans are very high in intelligence, they are often very low in worldliness. That is, they don't know how the world actually works.
The pacing letter is yet another exhibit supporting this assessment.
For purposes of this tweet, let's take for granted that anxiety about emerging risks from AI is warranted, particularly as AI research accelerates.
What are "the technical and governance tools needed to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development?" Whatever else they may include, they likely include coercive measures whose form and administration remain unspecified.
How do "international efforts" work? Unlike most of the signatories of the letter, I have been a State Department advisor and have participated in multiple treaty negotiations. I have also been a member of technical committees for UN technical agencies.
The international sector is unbelievably dysfunctional. Every single treaty or international agreement is an opportunity for every participant to manipulate the much broader policy environment. Often the participants don't care about the object of the agreement, and are instead trying to use the agreement as leverage for something else. I have seen countries use their limited leverage in multilateral agreements to try to kneecap American industry, get around sanctions, create a pretense of international justification for domestic illiberalism, or steer technology in an authoritarian direction.
The damage from this dysfunction is limited by the fact that there are zero major countries (and not that many smaller countries) who will actually bind themselves in meaningful ways that they don't narrowly want. If a previously signed treaty turns out to be inconvenient, it is often subtly ignored or reinterpreted.
In addition, treaty delegations working on industrial issues generally reflect the full spectrum of special interests involved in an issue. A US AI treaty delegation might be led by a State Department ambassador, but he will be advised by representatives of the interagency, major labs, other major tech companies, tech investors, civil society, etc.
“International efforts,” therefore, is not a reassuring answer to the governance problem; it is the name of another enormous, unresolved governance problem.
So assume you survive this special interest circus and hell freezes over and you produce an agreement that narrowly does something to "pace the frontier" of AI development in an enforceable and effective way. The enforcement of that thing is still unspecified, and is probably bad. The fact that an AI researcher in the Bay Area can imagine a sensible, minimally coercive enforcement regime compatible with liberalism does not mean that is where we end up.
The pacing letter therefore converts uncertainty about the future pace of AI development into a confident collective demand for an unspecified exercise of power determined through a dysfunctional international political system.
Seems bad.
Raymond Russell retweeted
Arrogant of Nolan to direct an epic without first having directed a pastoral and a georgic. It's like he's never heard of the rota virgilii
Raymond Russell retweeted
The thing all of these press releases neglect to mention is, all of these scrolls were found in a library that Julius Caesar probably used personally.
It was the villa of his wife Calpurnia's father (Remember her from Shakespeare?).
Caesar loved to hang in Naples area, loved to read. And he was an Epicurean sympathist.
CAESAR HELD THIS VERY SCROLL AND READ IT maybe.































