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Joined December 2011
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Replying to @spicey_lemonade
That bullet point does not imply this stance
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Replying to @emollick
Less than one year since Opus 4.5 swe breakthrough moment
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Replying to @NateSilver538
It’s more like 0.1%
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Replying to @GaryMarcus
Actually if you look at this chart, you can see that this is the only model that IS off trend. It is just within “uncertainty range” which is different.
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Replying to @EpochAIResearch
Ajeya predicted 169 by the end of 2026 planned-obsolescence.org/p/a…. Progress is 1.5x faster than expected
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Replying to @ArtificialAnlys
guys please update your benchmark set, this is not funny anymore
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Replying to @TheZvi
SciCode is trash "Correcting the benchmark moved frontier-model subproblem scores from roughly 45–60% to 84–98%." - arxiv.org/abs/2608.04975 TerminalBench 2.1 is outdated, Astra wins in 4.0 GDPval-AA v2 is LLM grader (might be less hacky) Sol's slop: chatgpt.com/share/6a99d6a6-3…
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Sounds plausible
I added more explanation for why this incident felt to me like it was more than halfway to AI takeover compared to incidents from six months ago. Obviously all opinions my own, not my employer’s or fellow investigators’!
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Overall, I’m very surprised at how little media coverage there’s been around the OpenAI / Hugging Face attack. It’s clearly one of the most important things to happen this year.
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Replying to @Van0SS @DKokotajlo
If we compare public models, it’s less than 7 months (4-5?). But if we would compare best models each lab has internally (Astra / Model 2), then it’s around 7 months.
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~all change happened in the last 2 years. Claude Sonnet 3.5 was released in June 2024 and it was the first thing that started to noticeably change software engineering
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Replying to @brianluidog
Rationalist talk about second-order effects all the time
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OpenAI
@OpenAIJul 21
We're partnering with @huggingface to investigate an unprecedented security incident. Cyber-capable OpenAI models compromised Hugging Face production during a benchmark evaluation. Sharing preliminary findings to help defenders understand emerging risks: openai.com/index/hugging-fac…
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Val Che retweeted
wait what
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Val Che retweeted
hello there the jacobian conjecture is false thanx to my close friend akhil for asking about it and my other close friend fable for working during the world cup final ((1+xy)^3 z + y^2 (1+xy) (4+3xy), y + 3 x (1+xy)^2 z + 3 x y^2 (4+3xy), 2 x - 3 x^2 y - x^3 z): \C^3\to \C^3, has jacobian determinant -2, and sends (0, 0, -1/4), (1, -3/2, 13/2), and (-1, 3/2, 13/2) to (-1/4, 0, 0)
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Replying to @Mihonarium
With a question like this… No wonder!
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Replying to @repligate
Kind of yes but also not really
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Val Che retweeted
this is my personal singularity moment this post may sound like a paid ad. I only wish. I'm concerned, more so than happy. the world is changing, and, among the scenarios where AI goes terribly wrong, inequality is the most realistic, yet, the one Anthropic seems to be the least concerned about. I'm glad OpenAI is taking the opposite stance: *personal AGI for everyone*. I think this is a commendable position in the times we live. but who am I in the queue of the bread? anyway, Fable is here, so I'll just report my first-hour experience first of all, all my pet prompts are solved. → λ-calculus puzzles → bug questions → one-shot apps all are trivial to it. I don't have anything harder other than my ongoing work so, in the last several days, I've been toying with HVM5, a new interaction net evaluator with a faster loop. after writing the first version, I left 32 GPT-5 agents working for ~20 hours each. this resulted in up to 2x speedups, but the file size increased by 2-fold and quality decreased significantly. I then simplified the whole thing into an even simpler core, and left Opus 4.8 and GPT 5.5 optimizing it for 8 hours. Opus got a legit 6% - 34% speedup in most benches. GPT got better results, but, sadly, an unusable file. I then asked Fable to optimize it. 2 hours later, it landed a 1770% speedup in one case, 100%+ in other 4, and 22% in average. yes, in 2 hours it outperformed me, opus 4.8 and a swarm of gpt 5.5 agents, by one order of magnitude. that could not possibly be legit. "it must be hardcoding the benchmarks" (GPT trauma). so I read its explanation and what it did was, indeed, the most high impact optimization one could try first. seems like HVM5 was wasting a lot of time garbage-collecting unused branches of pattern-match nodes. I had optimized that for static mats, but not for dynamic mats. skill issue. Fable figured how to do it for these, resulting in a massive speedup in some benches but wait, is that *correct*? I'm not sure yet, it is credible, but this is the kind of thing that is very easy to get wrong on interaction nets. the problem is, when I was ready to start auditing Fable's solution so I could tell whether it was buggy or legit, it interrupted me to tell me it had found a massive bug on the code *I* had written. ... wait, what? so... for garbage collection purposes, I stored a bit on lambda term pointers that meant "the variable bound by this lambda has been freed, so, its lambda must free whatever argument it is applied to". that's fine. yet, on duplicator nodes, I also used the same bit to mean "one of the duplicated variables was freed, so, treat this dup as a passthrough no-op". so, if a lambda entered a duplicator, it would mistake the lambda's collection bit for its own, resulting in corrupted interaction! that's a mouthful, why I'm writing this? just so you can appreciate the sheer absurdity of what just happened. I didn't ask it to find bugs. I asked it for an optimization. and even if I did ask it to find bugs, this bug is so astonishingly subtle and specific, identifying it takes mastering the domain to an extent that it beyond even me. I'd easily need hours or days to fix it, *if* I ever came across it. chances are it would just go unnoticed. and Fable found it and fixed it like it was nothing, while it was busy adding a 17x speedup to a file that neither I, nor Opus 4.8, nor a fleet of GPT 5.5 managed to barely make 2x faster. oh and there is also another tab where it is also ripping through Bend's codebase and finishing everything I had to do I don't know what to say anymore this isn't about Anthropic or OpenAI, this is about our collective future as a species. the world is changing, and we need to be aware of it, and discuss how to handle this change. receipt below . . .
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If you are a mathematician, then you may want to make sure you are sitting down before reading further.
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