Quantmatix

📉 KOSPI 200 The recent drawdown in the KOSPI 200 wasn't sudden, our data flagged it in stages: 🔹 5 June - Trend Exhaustion signal triggered near the highs 🔹 26 June - Momentum Reversal confirmed 🔹 Since then - index down 35% This is exactly the kind of multi-signal confirmation our models are built to surface - exhaustion first, reversal confirmation second. #Quantmatix #KOSPI #QuantFinance Signals generated by Quantmatix analytics. Historical signal performance is not a guarantee of future results and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Japan Market Close Japan's Nikkei 225 $NKY rallied 3.3% to ¥66232.19, as markets reopened following the holiday, with investors returning to semiconductor names ahead of a pivotal week for global tech earnings. Chip equipment maker Advantest jumped 7.7%, adding to the recovery in AI-related stocks after last week's sharp pullback. With earnings from major US technology companies due in the coming days, sentiment towards the AI trade appears to be stabilising. Quantmatix signals, however, suggest leadership is becoming more selective. 🟢 Positive Medium-Term Reversal signals are concentrated in Energy and Healthcare, with Inpex and Astellas Pharma highlighting areas where momentum continues to strengthen. 🔴 Meanwhile, Capital Goods and Materials remain the weakest areas, with bearish signals including Socionext, suggesting not every technology-related name is participating in the rebound. The recovery is encouraging, but Quantmatix data suggests investors should focus on where momentum is building rather than assuming the entire market will move higher together. #Japan #Nikkei225 #AI #Semiconductors #Investing #Quantmatix

European Market Movements The STOXX 600 $SXXP rose 0.6% on Tuesday, with Information Technology and Energy leading gains as investors looked ahead to this week's ECB meeting. Quantmatix signals continue to paint a selective picture beneath the surface. 🟢 Pending Medium-Term Top Quantmatix signals are concentrated in Materials and Industrials, with positive setups emerging on Rentokil Initial, Flow Traders and Huhtamäki Oyj. 🔴 Meanwhile, Health Care and Financials continue to show a cluster of negative signals, highlighting growing divergence across European equities. Adding to the constructive backdrop, VSTOXX triggered a positive Short-Term Reversal, suggesting improving risk sentiment after recent volatility. While the broader index continues to advance, Quantmatix data suggests stock selection remains more important than ever. #Europe #STOXX600 #Investing #Stocks #Trading #Quantmatix

Last week we highlighted a broad deterioration across the AI trade, particularly through the semiconductor supply chain. The $XSD Semiconductor index fell over 5% last Thursday. Since then, the weakness has continued, falling another 1.3% on Friday. Memory names remain under pressure, equipment makers have extended their declines, and investors are beginning to question whether AI infrastructure spending has simply run ahead of near-term demand. This isn't just one stock selling off. It's the supply chain softening together. When multiple links in the semiconductor ecosystem begin weakening at the same time, it often signals a broader slowdown in expectations rather than an isolated company issue. For now, we're watching memory semiconductors closely. Historically, that's often where the first clues of a sector recovery appear. #AI #Semiconductors #Markets

The US market rally is losing breadth. The Dow leads, but mega-cap tech, the Nasdaq 100 and small caps are all beginning to weaken as capital rotates into defensive sectors like Health Care and Utilities. Our strongest TEVO (Expected Value Outcome) signals are now coming from oversold names turning higher, including Shake Shack, TransMedics and Huntington Ingalls. Notably, we're seeing few high-conviction signals across the broader US market, a potential sign that momentum is fading. The next few weeks will be crucial, with earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Amazon, alongside the Fed decision and key GDP, inflation and jobs data. With expectations elevated, any disappointment could trigger a spike in volatility. Not investment advice. Historical performance does not guarantee future returns. #DowJones #Nasdaq #US #Signals

Some interesting market movements happening in Japan. The Nikkei 225 has come under pressure after reaching record highs, breaking ¥70000 earlier this week, driven by profit-taking and the broader global risk-off move. Quantmatix identified a potential turning point in Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519.T) on 29 June, signalling that the stock’s medium term decline may be exhausted. Unlike semiconductor and AI equities that dominate the Japanese markets, Chugai represents a more defensive healthcare exposure, a sector that historically attracts interest when volatility rises. Aiming at +9.24% over the next couple months, with model confidence of 69%. Not Investment advice. Historical prices do not guarantee future returns. #NIKKEI #Markets #Pharmaceuticals

Many are wondering why so many equities were in the red yesterday 08/07, the easiest way to explain it is through watching the Euro Stoxx 50 Volatility index (V2TX). The sharp increase in V2TX, +30% rise from 07/03 to 07/08, reflected investors rapidly increasing their demand for downside protection as geopolitical uncertainty and macroeconomic concerns intensified. Renewed tensions in the Middle East, firmer oil prices, and broader concerns over inflation and global trade weighed on sentiment, prompting investors to hedge equity exposure before significant selling occurred. Most major global equity markets declined on July 8th as investors adopted a broad risk-off stance, with geopolitical uncertainty and higher energy prices raising concerns about global growth and inflation. We signalled this upward trend in the volatility index while the Euro Stoxx index was relatively stable on 06/07, indicating that the options market was already pricing in greater uncertainty before weakness became apparent in equity prices. Although VSTOXX has since pulled back from its high, it remains well above its level at the time of the signal, suggesting investors continue to expect above average market volatility. If volatility resumes its climb toward the Quantmatix target of 23.78 (+26% from today), it would indicate that markets are anticipating another period of elevated uncertainty. This trend outlines how volatility indices are used by institutional investors to predict early warning signs and market sentiment, rather than reacting to rapid market movements. Full report on the Quantmatix newsletter at the link in bio. #Markets #Explained #Volatility #EuropeMarkets #GlobalMarkets

One equity were looking closely at today is PepsiCo $PEP. Quantmatix's software has identified it as multiple market factors would indicate the recent downward trend has exhausted, and is pending a reversal. Looking to target a price of $151.14 (+4%) over a medium length time-frame, with a hit rate confidence of 68%. Purely speculative, not investment advise. #PepsiCo #Quantmatix #Investment